Federated Auto Parts 400 Predictions, Odds & Picks (Cup Series)
Favorites to Win the 2019 Federated Auto Parts 400
Martin Truex Jr.
After winning at Richmond in April this year, Martin Truex Jr. is the early favorite.
It was the 2017 champion’s first career win in the Cup Series at a short track.
Truex had shown some signs that the result would end up coming sooner rather than later.
He led a race-high 163 laps and won both stages in last year’s edition of the Federated Auto Parts 400.
While he did not win a stage in April, he did lead 186 laps in another dominant showing.
This time around, however, Truex was finally able to walk away with a win.
He led the most laps in the 2017 edition of the Federated Auto Parts 400, and in the April 2018 race as well.
In other words, Truex has led the most laps at Richmond in the last four starts.
He scored three stage wins during that run.
Another important point is that the 2017 champion has the seventh best average finishing position at Richmond in the last five races.
Following his win in the postseason opener at Las Vegas, Truex has already qualified for the Round of 12.
He leads the standings and could look to deny one of his competitors at Richmond.
|Sportsbook||Martin Truex Jr.|
Kyle Busch leads all active drivers with six wins at Richmond.
The Joe Gibbs driver is usually considered the class of the field at the short oval.
Busch swept both races at the track last season.
He had another strong showing this April, leading 101 laps and winning the first stage.
The 2015 champion has an amazing career average finish of 6.96 at Richmond, which is by far the best among active drivers.
Busch has 21 top 10 finishes in 28 starts at the track.
After a terrible race at Las Vegas, the Joe Gibbs driver lost his cushion in the standings.
Busch has dropped to fourth in points, but is under no serious threat.
Kevin Harvick has the second-best average finish at Richmond in the last five races.
The Stewart-Haas driver is coming off back-to-back poles at the track.
Harvick finished second last year in this same race, having led 40 laps.
He finished fourth in April and led 30 laps.
The 2014 champion has three wins in the last eight races this season.
Harvick is second in points after the first playoff race.
Outside Picks for the 2019 Federated Auto Parts 400
Joey Logano holds the highest average finish at Richmond in the last five races.
The Team Penske driver has four top 5 finishes during that span, including one win.
Logano swept both stages in the 2018 edition of this race, and also won a stage in April.
He has one career win at the track, which came in 2017.
The reigning Cup Series champion is third in points and has two wins in 2019.
Hometown hero Denny Hamlin is also a solid pick for the weekend.
The Joe Gibbs Racing driver has three wins at his home track.
Hamlin’s most recent triumph at Richmond came in 2016, a dominant win from the pole while leading 189 laps.
He scored four top 5 finishes in five starts after that, but has only led 65 laps.
Hamlin failed to lead a single lap in his last two starts at Richmond.
He is down to seventh in points after a poor race at Las Vegas.
Hamlin has four wins, 13 top 5 and 17 top 10 finishes this season.
Kyle Larson scored his most recent Cup Series win at Richmond two years ago.
The Chip Ganassi driver has gone winless in 84 starts since then.
Larson came close to ending that drought on more than one occasion this season.
He has two second place finishes and swept both stages at Pocono in June.
After a terrible start to the year, Larson enters the playoffs carrying plenty of momentum.
The Ganassi driver has five top 5 and seven top 10 finishes in the last ten races.
Larson is currently eighth in points, but has been Chevrolet’s top performer in the most recent races.
2019 Federated Auto Parts 400 Odds