NBA Finals 2019 - Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors, Game 4: Predictions, Odds and Betting Lines

How to Watch

What: Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors

Where: Oracle Arena in Oakland, CA

When: Friday, June 7th at 9:00 PM EST


Series Standing: 2-1

Game 3 Recap:

Toronto Raptors (Away)

Head Coach: Nick Nurse {All-Time 58-24 | TOR}

Season Record: 58-24, 2nd in the East

Projected Starting Five: (G) Kyle Lowry – (G) Danny Green – (F) Kawhi Leonard – (F) Pascal Siakam – (C) Marc Gasol

Top Performers:

  • (F) Kawhi Leonard – 26.7 PPG | 7.3 RPG | 1.8 SPG
  • (F) Pascal Siakam – 17.0 PPG | 6.9 RPG | .368 3P%
  • (G) Kyle Lowry – 14.2 PPG | 8.7 APG | 1.4 SPG

The Toronto Raptors had the advantage against the Warriors in Game 3. The Warriors were limited with their personnel and Toronto capitalized. It was a team effort, which is promising for the Raptors going forward.

The Raptors needed more balanced contributions after their loss in Game 2 and it came for them in Game 3. All but one player – Serge Ibaka – scored 11 or more points if they logged more than 20 minutes in the match.

The Raptors’ odds will certainly change depending on the health of their opponent. Their full-team effort will be needed should the Warriors return in Game 4 with a full complement of their All-Stars.

Golden State Warriors (Home)

Head Coach: Steve Kerr {All-Time 322-88 | GSW}

Season Record: 57-25, 1st in the West

Projected Starting Five: (G) Stephen Curry – (G) Klay Thompson – (F) Andre Iguodala – (F) Draymond Green – (C) Jordan Bell

Top Performers:

  • G Stephen Curry – 31.3 MPG | 25.0 PPG | 7.8 RPG | 5.3 APG
  • F Kevin Durant – 33.5 MPG | 28.8 PPG | 5.0 RPG | 5.3 APG
  • G Klay Thompson – 35.3 MPG | 18.3 PPG | 1.3 BPG | .476 3P%

The Golden State Warriors knew they had the odds stacked against them to begin Game 3. They were lacking two of their greatest weapons in Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson, but still maintained a two-time MVP, a Defensive Player of the Year, and multiple All-Star appearances between Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, and DeMarcus Cousins.

When it came down to it, the Warriors weren’t strong enough as a collective. With Thompson out of the lineup, the Warriors became shockingly predictable with only Stephen Curry as an offensive option.

The Warriors will be begging their training staff to clear Thompson and Durant to play in Game 4. Without them, they were clearly outclassed by the more capable Toronto Raptors. If they’re not available they’ll need another herculean effort from Curry and even more from their reserves.

What’s At Stake?

The Golden State Warriors have dominated the all-time series against the Toronto Raptors. In 45 regular season contests, the Warriors lead the Raptors 28-17. In fact, the Toronto Raptors won in Oakland for the first time since 2004 when they defeated the Warriors on their home court earlier this season.

These two teams have never met before in the playoffs – by nature of the fact that this is the Toronto Raptors first ever Finals appearance.

The Toronto Raptors are looking to put the Warriors on the brink of elimination by going up 3-1 with a win in Game 4.

The Golden State Warriors look to even up the series 2-2 or have the sickly thought of returning to Toronto on the brink of elimination.

The Raptors Front Court is the Difference

The combined effort of Marc Gasol, Pascal Siakam, and Serge Ibaka was essential to the success of the Raptors in Game 3. With their threat in the paint, the entire court opens up for their more than capable shooters.

Without the second-half effort of Serge Ibaka, a win wouldn’t be possible. While he was unsure and disinterested in the first half, he came up big for the Raptors in the second half. He he contributed six points and five rebounds but most shockingly contributed 6 blocks on the evening.

The Raptors front court contributed 46 points and 21 rebounds to contest the limited front line of the Warriors. They attacked DeMarcus Cousins early and he was unable to handle their pressure.

Curry Is Amazing, But He Is Not Enough

Stephen Curry will go down as one of the NBA’s greatest point guard to ever step on the court. In Game 3 he showed his worth, contributing at an almost unprecedented level. Unfortunately, his teammates couldn’t support him.

In Game 3 Curry produced 47 points, 7 assists, 8 rebounds, and 2 steals on the game. He has six three-pointers, which was exactly half of the Warriors’ total three-pointers made. When you look down the line, his support was non-existent.

Only three Warriors contributed double-figure scoring on the match. outside of them, Quinn Cook was the closest with nine. The Warriors are banged up, but it’s no excuse to drop their first game on home court. If no player can support Curry, this series is over.

The Raptors’ Leader Came to Play

While Kawhi Leonard is the silent protagonist of this series for the Raptors, Kyle Lowry is and has been the vocal leader of the Canadian outfit. While he was quiet offensively in Games 1 and 2, his play in Game 3 set the tone for their success.

Lowry produced 23 points, 9 assists, 4 rebounds, and a steal and block in 43 minutes on the court for the Toronto Raptors. His five three-pointers were key to his threat. He was a +14 on the game and there wasn’t a single Warriors defender that could hold him.

When Lowry’s offense is in play for the Raptors, they become incredibly dynamic as a team. The diversity he provides forces a spread focus by the Warriors defense, allowing the Raptors to initiate their offense more easily. If the Warriors can’t contain him in Game 4, there is little hope for a Golden State victory.

The Warriors Defence Needs Urgency

The 50-40-90 club is a prestigious goal for any player in the NBA to join. In Game 3 of the NBA Finals, the Toronto Raptors joined that club as a team. They shot 52% from the field, 45% from three, and 95% from the line.

While the Warriors have chosen to double Kawhi Leonard in an effort to take the ball out of his hands, they have merely opened up the possibility of the Raptors’ role players getting open shots. Shots that Toronto were able to convert on.

Not a single Warriors had a positive net rating and the best Defensive Rating was recorded by Andrew Bogut off of the bench. They have failed to double and scramble back to shooters. The Warriors are getting a taste of their own medicine – they will need to adjust to stave off elimination.

Golden State Warriors Roster Notes

F Kevin Durant – 8 May 2019 – Doubftul (Calf) – Kevin Durant is doubtful to return until the midway point in the series (Game 4).

C Kevon Looney – 2 June 2019 – Questionable (Chest Contusion) – Looney left Game 2 midway through the match and did not return.

G-F Klay Thompson – 2 June 2019 – Questionable (Hamstring) – Thompson limped off the court after attempting to draw a foul during a jump shot. He did not return.

Toronto Raptors Roster Notes

The Toronto Raptors have no roster changes of note.

X-Factors: Serge Ibaka (TOR) vs DeMarcus Cousins (GSW)

Look to the frontcourt enforcers of the Toronto Raptors and the Golden State Warriors for the key matchup of Game 4. The momentum of the series lies in the balance and these two big men are key to their teams’ individual success.

Serge Ibaka

Center | 6-10, 235lb (208cm, 106kg) | Republic of the Congo | Exp. 9 Years

15.0 PPG | 1.3 APG | 8.1 RPG | 0.4 SPG | 1.4 BPG | 1.5 TOV | .529 FG% | .290 3P%

Serge Ibaka looked like his younger self in the second half of his match against the Golden State Warriors. When he contributes off the bench for the Raptors, opponents are sure to struggle.

Ibaka, despite the changes in his game, is still a very capable defender. He had six blocks in Game 3, which helped key the Raptors run to victory. As Toronto looks to run the Warriors off the line, shepherding players into Ibaka’s capable defensive hands has proven a viable defensive choice.

He will still need to produce offensively for the Raptors to be successful. He only attempted four field goals in Game 4, but his ability in the pick-and-pop/roll is an excellent weapon for the Raptors.

DeMarcus Cousins

Center | 6-11, 270lb (211cm, 122kg) | Kentucky | Exp. 8 Years

16.3 PPG | 3.6 APG | 8.2 RPG | 1.3 SPG | 1.5 BPG | 2.4 TOV | .480 FG% | .274 3P%

The curiosity of DeMarcus Cousins continues for the Golden State Warriors. Steve Kerr had him in the starting lineup again but he was taken advantage of by the savvy of Marc Gasol and the athleticism of Serge Ibaka.

Cousins was invisible in Game 3, contributing only 4 points on 1-7 shooting in only 19 minutes of play. Where he made his mark from range and as a playmaker in Game 2, he did no such thing in Game 3.

Cousins was seen wearing an ice-wrap around his ankle/Achilles as he walked off of the court. A health issue may explain his lack of production, but excuses cannot be made regardless of the reason. The NBA Finals are the last games to be played this year, Cousins needs to produce for the Warriors to win.

Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors Predictions and Odds

Klay Thompson is expected to return but Kevin Durant is not. The Toronto Raptors have all the momentum with a win allowing them to take the Larry O’Brien trophy with another win on their home court. The Warriors are seasoned, but there is little their recent play suggests they’ll need to treat Game 4 as an elimination game should they want to take control of the series.

If you are in New Jersey you can bet on the Raptors vs Warriors Game 4 of the NBA Finals, with 888Sport and BetStars

Point Spread

Sportsbook TOR Raptors +4.5 GS Warriors -4.5 Link
888Sport NJ -110 -110
BetStars NJ -110 -110

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Total Points

Sportsbook Over 215.5 Under 215.5 Link
888Sport NJ -109 -112
BetStars NJ -110 -110

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Money Line

Sportsbook TOR Raptors GS Warriors Link
888Sport NJ +160 -195
BetStars NJ +170 -200

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER