NBA Finals 2019 - Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors, Game 5: Predictions, Odds and Betting Lines

How to Watch

What: Golden State Warriors at Toronto Raptors

Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON, Canada

When: Monday, June 10th at 9:00 PM EST

How (TV): ABC, SN1/E/O/W/P, RDS, and CityTV

Series Standing: 3-1

Game 4 Recap:

Golden State Warriors (Away)

Head Coach: Steve Kerr {All-Time 322-88 | GSW}

Season Record: 57-25, 1st in the West

Projected Starting Five: (G) Stephen Curry – (G) Klay Thompson – (F) Andre Iguodala – (F) Draymond Green – (C) DeMarcus Cousins

Top Performers:

  • G Stephen Curry – 31.3 MPG | 25.0 PPG | 7.8 RPG | 5.3 APG
  • F Kevin Durant – 33.5 MPG | 28.8 PPG | 5.0 RPG | 5.3 APG
  • G Klay Thompson – 35.3 MPG | 18.3 PPG | 1.3 BPG | .476 3P%

The Golden State Warriors were spanked in what may very well have been the Warriors’ last game in their near fifty-year-old arena. Where they looked to even the series, they were put on the brink of elimination.

It was the same old story for the Golden State Warriors, in this NBA Finals. They received some fantastic contributions from Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson, but there was nobody else who could produce.

The Warriors are hoping for talisman Kevin Durant to return to the series, but they need to be capable regardless of his health. They’ve been unable to beat the Raptors’ disciplined defense, so they need to find a new approach to stay in this series.

Toronto Raptors (Home)

Head Coach: Nick Nurse {All-Time 58-24 | TOR}

Season Record: 58-24, 2nd in the East

Projected Starting Five: (G) Kyle Lowry – (G) Danny Green – (F) Kawhi Leonard – (F) Pascal Siakam – (C) Marc Gasol

Top Performers:

  • (F) Kawhi Leonard – 26.7 PPG | 7.3 RPG | 1.8 SPG
  • (F) Pascal Siakam – 17.0 PPG | 6.9 RPG | .368 3P%
  • (G) Kyle Lowry – 14.2 PPG | 8.7 APG | 1.4 SPG

The Toronto Raptors looked to be out of their rhythm to start Game 4. They were struggling to score against the Warriors in the first half, but flipped the script and punished the Warriors with a dynamic second half to take the game.

Toronto displayed their versatility in Game 4. When they failed to score the ball their defense made up for it. The Raptors received contributions from across the board, which keyed their victory.

While the Toronto fans have shown themselves to be world-class and the best in the NBA, the Raptors have been all business. They are true veterans, entering Game 5 knowing it could be taken away from them in a second. Game 5 will be the game of their lives.

What’s At Stake?

The Golden State Warriors have dominated the all-time series against the Toronto Raptors. In 45 regular season contests, the Warriors lead the Raptors 28-17. In fact, the Toronto Raptors won in Oakland for the first time since 2004 when they defeated the Warriors on their home court earlier this season.

These two teams have never met before in the playoffs – by nature of the fact that this is the Toronto Raptors first ever Finals appearance.

The last time the Warriors were down 3-1 in a series they came back to defeat the Oklahoma City Thunder to reach the NBA Finals. They’ll look to find the same magic in Game 5.

The Toronto Raptors are a win away from their first ever NBA Championship. They have at most three games to fall back on, but definitely, want to finish the series here and now.

The Warriors Looked Overprivileged in Game 4

With a must-win game in tow for the Warriors in Game 4, they failed to perform in a way that encouraged success. While their offense was on in the first half, they took their opponents for granted in the second half.

The second half defense by the Warriors was embarrassing. They continued to trap Kawhi Leonard, which he continued to pick apart at every opportunity. The Warriors failed to respect anyone other than Leonard on the court and it hurt them.

For the Warriors to have a shot at success in Game 5, they may need to risk single coverage on Leonard. He has taken advantage of every defender he’s come across, but the Warriors can’t afford to let any other Raptors find their rhythm.

Nick Nurse’s Game Plan Has Been Brilliant

While Stephen Curry was a star for the Warriors in Game 3, it wasn’t enough to carry them to victory. The result of his 47 point game was a focused Nick Nurse whose gameplan was enough to shock the Warriors.

To begin the game the Raptors attempted to run the Warriors out of the gym. While they didn’t score the ball well, it had a clear affect on Golden State as the game wore on. The nurse then brought out the Box-And-One defense again, after holding it back in Game 3 after its success in Game 2.

There have been criticisms of Nick Nurse’s methods – from schoolboy-esque methods to a lack of overall experience. Despite that, he has led his side to an amazing 3-1 lead over the Golden State Warriors. Instead of beating them at their own game, as many have attempted, he has shown faith in his own sides ability and they have rewarded him.

The Warriors Need to Control the Ball

Careless turnovers are the end of any team in the NBA. However, the Golden State Warriors lack the team depth to compensate for a number of giveaways – when a team like the Toronto Raptors can capitalize so quickly.

The ball movement of the Golden State Warriors has come off as incredibly shallow, especially when the desired end product of said movement is always Stephen Curry.

The Warriors are banged up and leaning too hard on Stephen Curry. Their ball movement needs to find easy opportunities for their role players if they hope to keep their chances in the NBA Finals alive. Opportunity needs to be high and turnovers need to be low.

Board Man Gets Paid

While the Toronto Raptors have played well as a team, they would not be in their position without the contributions of Kawhi Leonard. When the Raptors struggle, he has been the glue that keeps the side together.

When the Raptors began Game 4 down, Leonard’s scoring was all that kept the game close. It was also his scoring that brought the Raptors back in their amazing 37-21 point third quarter the swung the odds in their favor.

Leonard posted 36 points, 12 rebounds, and 4 steals on the game. Without him going, the Raptors wouldn’t have outscored the Warriors by sixteen in the third. There are no signs of him slowing down, but the Raptors need to continue to empower him as a whole.

Golden State Warriors Roster Notes

F Kevin Durant – 8 May 2019 – Doubftul (Calf) – Kevin Durant returned to practice with the Warriors, but will be a game-time decision for Game 5 of the NBA Finals.

Toronto Raptors Roster Notes

The Toronto Raptors have no roster changes of note.

X-Factors: Andre Iguodala (GSW) vs Serge Ibaka (TOR)

Two veteran pieces are exactly what the Warriors and Raptors need to bolster their performance in Game 5. Iguodala contributed very little on the offensive end in Game 4 while Ibaka was the catalyst for the Raptors success.

Andre Iguodala

Small Forward | 6-6, 215lb (198cm, 97kg) | Arizona | Exp. 14 Years

5.7 PPG | 3.2 APG | 3.7 RPG | 0.9 SPG | 0.8 BPG | 0.8 TOV | .500 FG% | .333 3P%

The former Finals MVP played 38 minutes in Game 4 for the Golden State Warriors. In that time, he was incredibly inconsequential on the offensive side of the floor.

As always, Iguodala was great on the defensive end. Shepherding players into other defenders is his specialty, unfortunately the Raptors have too many weapons for the Warriors to overcome.

Iguodala was 1-6 from the field in Game 4, hitting from the field once and splitting a pair of free throws. With Kevin Durant’s status up in the air, the Warriors need more from him to be successful.

Serge Ibaka

Center | 6-10, 235lb (208cm, 106kg) | Republic of the Congo | Exp. 9 Years

15.0 PPG | 1.3 APG | 8.1 RPG | 0.4 SPG | 1.4 BPG | 1.5 TOV | .529 FG% | .290 3P%

Serge Ibaka was a rock for the Toronto Raptors during the regular season. His versatility on the court is almost unmatched at the center position. In Game 4, he was a difference maker.

In 22 minutes, Ibaka produced 20 points, 4 rebounds, and 2 blocks. The Congolese center turned the tide for the Raptors in the second half. No Warriors player could keep up with Ibaka.

Ibaka’s energy off the bench is needed if the Raptors want to close out the series in Game 5. Ibaka and Gasol have been defensive stalwarts for the Raptors, their continued efforts are needed if they want to win the Larry O’Brien Trophy.

Golden State Warriors at Toronto Raptors Predictions and Odds

A win for the Raptors would end the series and give them their first ever NBA Championship. The Golden State Warriors need a win or their dynasty may very well see its last game together.

If you are in New Jersey you can bet on the Warriors vs Raptors Game 5, with 888Sport and BetStars. Here are the latest odds:

Point Spread

Sportsbook GS Warriors +2 TOR Raptors -2 Link
888Sport NJ -112 -109
BetStars NJ -110 -110

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Total Points

Sportsbook Over 214 Under 214 Link
888Sport NJ -108 -113
BetStars NJ -105 -118

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Money Line

Sportsbook GS Warriors TOR Raptors Link
888Sport NJ +106 -125
BetStars NJ +105 -125

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

DraftKings Odds – Money Line

Sportsbook GS Warriors TOR Raptors Link
DraftKings +107 -121

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER