NBA Finals 2019 - Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors, Game 6: Predictions, Odds and Betting Lines

How to Watch

What: Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors

Where: Oracle Arena in Oakland, CA

When: Thursday, June 13th at 9:00 PM EST


Series Standing: 3-2 TOR

Game 5 Recap:

Toronto Raptors (Away)

Head Coach: Nick Nurse {All-Time 58-24 | TOR}

Season Record: 58-24, 2nd in the East

Projected Starting Five: (G) Kyle Lowry – (G) Danny Green – (F) Kawhi Leonard – (F) Pascal Siakam – (C) Marc Gasol

Top Performers:

  • (F) Kawhi Leonard – 26.7 PPG | 7.3 RPG | 1.8 SPG
  • (F) Pascal Siakam – 17.0 PPG | 6.9 RPG | .368 3P%
  • (G) Kyle Lowry – 14.2 PPG | 8.7 APG | 1.4 SPG

The Toronto Raptors were shocked at home by the Golden State Warriors in Game 5. They were able to come back from a ten point deficit, but some key late errors swung the odds in the favor of the Golden State Warriors.

The Raptors’ late-game run wasn’t enough to carry them through to the finish line and now face a mountainous task when they take on the Warriors on their home court. After showing impressive composure in previous matches, they faltered for the first time this series.

The Raptors were dreadful from the floor and still managed to lose by only one and have an opportunity to win it at the very end. They’ll be facing a rambunctious Oracle Arena crowd and will definitely be in for the fight of their lives.

Golden State Warriors (Home)

Head Coach: Steve Kerr {All-Time 322-88 | GSW}

Season Record: 57-25, 1st in the West

Projected Starting Five: (G) Stephen Curry – (G) Klay Thompson – (F) Andre Iguodala – (F) Draymond Green – (C) DeMarcus Cousins

Top Performers:

  • G Stephen Curry – 31.3 MPG | 25.0 PPG | 7.8 RPG | 5.3 APG
  • F Kevin Durant – 33.5 MPG | 28.8 PPG | 5.0 RPG | 5.3 APG
  • G Klay Thompson – 35.3 MPG | 18.3 PPG | 1.3 BPG | .476 3P%

The Warriors found some inspiration when Kevin Durant returned to the lineup and led for all but a minute of the entire match. With a more balanced approach, the Warriors had the lead on the Raptors for the majority of the game.

The tides turned for the Warriors when Durant left the court though. The Raptors defense stayed vigilant and picked apart the Warriors through some key plays. The Dubs were able to take advantage of some late openings though, going on a 9-2 run to win the match.

The Warriors will be playing their last game at Oracle Arena on Thursday, as they hope to stave off elimination. They’ll surely want to leave their Oakland fans with memories of success and not another team winning the NBA Championship on their court.

What’s At Stake?

The Golden State Warriors have dominated the all-time series against the Toronto Raptors. In 45 regular season contests, the Warriors lead the Raptors 28-17. In fact, the Toronto Raptors won in Oakland for the first time since 2004 when they defeated the Warriors on their home court earlier this season.

These two teams have never met before in the playoffs – by nature of the fact that this is the Toronto Raptors first ever Finals appearance.

The Toronto Raptors let one slip away on their home court but still have the opportunity to win the Larry O’Brien Trophy with a win in Oakland.

The Golden State Warriors staved off elimination once but will need a win in Oakland to force a Game 7.

The Raptors Can’t Win Without the Three-Ball

The Toronto Raptors are known for their incredible defense and timely offense. They were one of two teams in the league to rank in the top five of Defensive and Offensive Rating during the regular season.

Unfortunately for the Raptors, Game 5 saw them clank a number of open opportunities from three off the rim. Compared to Golden State’s 48% mark from three, the Raptors converted on a measly 25% of their three-point attempts.

Yet the Raptors lost Game 5 by a single point. They once again held the Warriors to less than 109 points and allowed only Thompson and Curry to have significantly impactful nights. The Raptors can’t play from behind at Oracle Arena if they want to take Game 6 and the NBA Championship.

The Warriors Were Heartless

In sports, there is no value in wondering what could have been. When a team wins, all questions prior are washed away. Upon inserting Kevin Durant into the starting lineup, the Warriors seemed to have their talisman back for the series.

Durant lifted the Warriors, providing 11 points in as many minutes, but left the game mid-second quarter. Durant seemingly ruptured his achilles on a simple dribble move and was carried off the court.

The Warriors have a dynasty to maintain and the health of anyone, including their star player, certainly isn’t of any concern to them in the grand scheme of their success. The Raptors’ Kawhi Leonard famously defended himself when he was injured with the Spurs and he is once again one of the NBA’s top players. Going into free agency, the future of Durant is in question. On the positive side for the Warriors, they grabbed the win and showed they are willing to forsake their own to get it.

The Raptors Bench Continues to Impress

With Durant out of the lineup, the Raptors-Warriors series is back to square one. The most telling sign of the Raptors’ favor continues to be the contributions of their reserve lineup.

Serge Ibaka, Fred Vanvleet, and Norman Powell have all been very productive in their limited opportunities. When they are on the court they’ve been able to push the play and outpace the less talented Warriors bench.

Ibaka, in particular, has been a force in recent games. After a frustrating first half, he came alive in the second to deter multiple Warriors from attacking the rim and was key on the offensive boards. If all factors maintain in Game 6, the bench may propel the Raptors to victory.

Can the Warriors Find Their Advantage?

For all of their success in their last match, the Warriors won by a single point on a game-saving block from Draymond Green. They out-shot the Raptors from three but weren’t able to deter them in the paint.

While the Warriors converted on 48% of their three-pointers, Thompson, Curry, and Durant accounted for 75% of their made threes. Three players out of twelve that made an appearance made all but five three-pointers – that isn’t a good sign.

When the Warriors lean back on Alfonzo McKinnie and Shaun Livingston, will they be able to produce? Durant gave them the boost they needed in Game 5, but they will need more from everyone if they hope to win at Oracle. Curry and Thompson are productive, but Golden State will need to live up to their moniker if they don’t want to lose on their home court.

Golden State Warriors Roster Notes

F Kevin Durant – 8 May 2019 – Doubftul (Calf) – Kevin Durant returned in Game 5 of the NBA Finals, but re-aggravated his injury mid-game and left the arena on crutches and in a walking boot.

Toronto Raptors Roster Notes

The Toronto Raptors have no roster changes of note.

X-Factors: Pascal Siakam (TOR) vs Draymond Green (GSW)

The Warriors and Raptors boast some of the most athletic and defensively adept power forwards in the NBA. Unfortunately in Game 5, neither Green or Siakam had a significant effect on the game. They will need to be more present if their respective teams hope to achieve victory.

Pascal Siakam

Power Forward | 6-9, 230lb (206cm, 104kg) | New Mexico State | Exp. 2 Years

16.9 PPG | 3.1 APG | 6.9 RPG | 0.9 SPG | 0.7 BPG | 1.9 TOV | .549 FG% | .369 3P%

It seems like ages ago that Pascal Siakam accomplished his record-setting playoff debut. He has failed to have an impact for the Raptors in much of this series and his lack of consistency is worrying.

In Game 5 Siakam posted 12 points on 6-15 shooting. While he played solid man-to-man defense, he needs to be more of an offensive threat so that Toronto has other options when their shot isn’t falling.

Siakam needs to be an option in transition, as he was for much of the beginning of the Finals. He recorded no fast-break points in Game 5, falling into the Warriors defensive traps in the half court. If Toronto wants to pull off a Game 6 win, Siakam needs to have an effect.

Draymond Green

Power Forward | 6-7, 230lb (201cm, 104kg) | Michigan State | Exp. 6 Years

7.4 PPG | 6.9 APG | 7.3 RPG | 1.4 SPG | 1.1 BPG | 2.6 TOV | .445 FG% | .285 3P%

With the status of key pieces Kevin Durant and Kevon Looney up in the air, Draymond Green will need to be as productive as ever to keep the Warriors alive. He had an impact in Game 5 but will need to do more to key a Warriors win.

In Game 5 Green posted 10 points, 10 rebounds, and 8 steals to go along with a steal and the game-saving block on Kyle Lowry. He was however only 4-9 from the field and needs to be more of an offensive threat going forward.

There are no signs that he will start hitting from three with accuracy, but he can certainly be a force as a rim-runner and break-starter. The Raptors slowed the pace in Game 5, but Green needs to initiate the offense better in Game 6.

Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors Odds and Betting Lines

With three games in hand, the Raptors have all of the power in the series. But the Warriors look confident after a road win, as they look to force Game 7 with a win on their home court.

If you are in New Jersey you can bet on Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Raptors and the Warriors with 888Sport and BetStars. Good luck!

Point Spread

Sportsbook TOR Raptors +3 GS Warriors -3 Link
888Sport NJ -110 -110
BetStars NJ -110 -110

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Total Points

Sportsbook Over 211.5 Under 211.5 Link
888Sport NJ -109 -110
BetStars NJ -110 -110

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Money Line

Sportsbook TOR Raptors GS Warriors Link
888Sport NJ +130 -155
BetStars NJ +125 -143

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER