Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Predictions, Odds & Picks

  • Tyler Herro’s history-making Game 4 performance brought the Heat within one win of the NBA Finals.
  • The Boston Celtics have been to the Eastern Conference Finals in three of the last five years, but have never won the series.
  • Jayson Tatum leads all scorers in the series with 26.0 points per game.

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Heat vs Celtics Odds

Team Point Spread Total Money Line
Miami Heat +3.5 -109 O 212.5 -112 +133
Boston Celtics -3.5 -112 U 212.5 -108 -159

 

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Heat vs Celtics Predictions and Picks

With their backs against the wall, the Boston Celtics must summon their greatest effort to stave off elimination. The Celtics’ strong second half is something to build on, while another record-setting night for Miami’s star rookie is unlikely.

Picks:

Boston Celtics def. Miami Heat -159

Boston -3.5 -112

Over 212.5 -112

How to Watch Heat vs Celtics

Heat vs Celtics Information
What Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics
Where ESPN Wide World of Sports, Orlando, FL
When Friday, September 25, 2020; 8:30 PM EST
How to Watch/Listen Watch on ESPN+ here!

Head-to-Head: Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Miami Heat Head-to-Head Boston Celtics
Erik Spoelstra Head Coach Brad Stevens
44-29 (5th in East, 11th Overall) Standing 48-24 (3rd in East, 5th Overall)
W-L-W-W Form L-W-L-L
112.5 (7th of 30) Off Rtg 113.3 (4th of 30)
109.5 (11th of 30) Def Rtg 107.0 (4th of 30)
98.3 (27th of 30) Pace 99.5 (17th of 30)

Playoff Leaders (Per Game)

G. Dragic (21.3) PPG J. Tatum (25.5)
B. Adebayo (11.5) RPG J. Tatum (10.2)
B. Adebayo (4.7) APG K. Walker (4.9)
J. Butler (2.0) SPG G. Hayward (2.3)
B. Adebayo (0.9) BPG J. Tatum (1.3)
B. Adebayo (.563)/G. Dragic (7.8) FG%/FGM R. Williams (.733)/J. Tatum (8.5)
D. Jones (.444)/J. Crowder (3.2) 3P%/3PM G. Williams (.625)/J. Tatum (2.7)

Can Miami’s Shortened Rotation Keep the Pace?

In-Game 4 against the Celtics, Heat head coach Erik Spoelstra relied on a shortened rotation in order to keep the pace with the Boston Celtics.

Only going to Tyler Herro and Andre Iguodala for significant minutes off the bench, Miami relied on their stars for production. They certainly delivered.

When the Heat plays a shorter rotation they are much stronger defensively. While fatigue seemed to set in late for Miami, the consistent quality they boast on the floor can be a game-changer for the versatile Celtics.

Boston Needs to Take Care of the Ball

The Boston Celtics are still a young team, but having participated in three of the last five Eastern Conference Finals you’d hope that they could finally put together a concentrated finals run. It doesn’t look great for them going into Game 5.

Boston’s struggles are in large part due to their inability to take care of the ball. Unforced turnovers and struggles against Miami’s defence defined their Game 4 issues. After giving up 19 turnovers in their 112-109 loss,

Navigating Miami’s zone defence is priority number one. The Celtics have struggled to find an alternative when their shooting is off. On the brink of elimination, they’ve run out of chances to figure it out.

Heat Key Player: (G) Tyler Herro

Outside of Jimmy Butler and Goran Dragic, Miami Heat rookie Tyler Herro is likely the team’s most talented scorer. A capable shooter from everywhere on the court with unshakable confidence, Herro is a difference-maker for the Heat.

Herro posted 37 points, six rebounds, and three assists on 14-21 shooting from the field. The last rookie to score 30-plus points in the Conference Finals was NBA legend, Magic Johnson.

The Boston Celtics have an impressive team defence. Reliable late-clock creators are in short supply and Herro is proving himself one of them.

Celtics Key Player: (F) Jayson Tatum

With the series on the line, all eyes are on young Celtics star Jayson Tatum. While the Celtics maintain a team-oriented effort, Brad Stevens has gone to Jayson Tatum in the clutch to varying results.

In Game 4 against the Miami Heat, Tatum posted 28 points, nine rebounds, and two assists on 10-22 shooting from the field. His biggest issue was the six turnovers he committed in the evening.

Tatum needs to show his quality in an elimination game. It won’t be easy against the Heat, but Tatum’s shown the ability to keep his team in the game. He’ll just need to put in a bit more in order to push his team over the top.

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Christian Jope

Expert on NBA

Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.

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