Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 4 Predictions, Odds & Picks

  • After looking listless in Game 3’s overtime period, the Houston Rockets look to regain their form.
  • Despite making 15 three-pointers, the Houston Rockets shot a mediocre 30% from deep.
  • James Harden remains the series’ leading scorer with 32.0 points per game.

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Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

Team Point Spread Total Money Line
Houston Rockets -3.5 -112 O 219.5 -112 -155
Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5 -109 U 219.5 -109 +130

 

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Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions and Picks

Despite some questionable late-game events, the Oklahoma City Thunder were able to close Game 3 like seasoned professionals in overtime. With the Thunder seemingly finding their defensive form, they can put some real pressure on the Rockets.

Picks:

Oklahoma City Thunder def. Houston Rockets +130

Oklahoma City +3.5 -109

Under 219.5 -109

How to Watch Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Information
What Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Where ESPN Wide World of Sports, Orlando, FL
When Monday, August 24th, 2020; 4:00 PM EST
How to Watch/Listen TNT

Head-to-Head: Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Houston Rockets Head-to-Head Oklahoma City Thunder
Mike D’Antoni Head Coach Billy Donovan
44-28 (4th in West, 8th Overall) Standing 44-28 (5th in West, 9th Overall)
L-W-W-L Form W-L-L-L
112.9 (6th of 30) Off Rtg 110.8 (16th of 30)
110.1 (14th of 30) Def Rtg 108.8 (7th of 30)
103.7 (3rd of 30) Pace 98.8 (22nd of 30)

Playoff Leaders (Per Game)

J. Harden (32.0) PPG D. Gallinari (22.0)
J. Harden (7.7) RPG S. Adams (12.0)
J. Harden (6.7) APG C. Paul (5.3)
R. Covington (2.0) SPG S. Gilgeous-Alexander (1.7)
E. Gordon (1.3) BPG L. Dort (2.0)
J. Green (.611)/J. Harden (9.7) FG%/FGM S. Adams (.583)/C. Paul (8.0)
J. Green (.524)/T-Green, Harden (3.7) 3P%/3PM T. Ferguson (.667)/C. Paul (3.0)

Houston Must Convert on Available Chances

The Houston Rockets can create pretty much any shot they desire due to the speed and ball movement that they put on the court. However, without efficiency shooting the ball, the Rockets don’t boast a defense that can hold off their opponents.

In-Game 3 the Houston Rockets shot just 41.3% from the field and 30% from three-point range. Despite taking a shocking 50 three-pointers during the match, they were only able to convert on 15 of them.

The Rockets matched the Thunder in field-goal attempts but made three fewer. In order to beat Oklahoma City in Game 4, Houston must find shooting consistency from their key players.

The Thunder Have Had Success Going Small

It isn’t a criticism of Thunder centers Steven Adams or Nerlens Noel, but the matchup against the Houston Rockets simply does not call for their services as much as head coach Billy Donovan has requested of them.

Adams and Noel simply don’t provide enough offensively to make up for the size difference that they create. Instead, the Thunder has shown impressive success running a wing-oriented lineup with guard-on-guard screens.

With pure shooting ability available and the speed to make up for mismatches on defense, don’t be surprised to see OKC go in the direction of small-ball even more in Game 4. It worked in Game 3 and the Rockets were caught unprepared.

Rockets Key Player: (G) Eric Gordon


Eric Gordon can fill the stat sheet, but there seems to be a genuine lack of impact as his attempt rate increases. Gordon is an excellent shooter, but finding better opportunities rather than more may serve him well.

Over the last three games, Gordon has shot 34.4% from the field, 15.4% from three, and is attempting 20.3 field-goals per game. His volume is incredibly high and he’s shown to be rather inefficient.

If Gordon can reign in his shooting and perform more efficiently, there are few on the Thunder that can stop him. Adding reliability beside Harden is crucial in a series that hinges on his playmaking.

Thunder Key Player: (G) Luguentz Dort


Thunder rookie Luguentz Dort may not be the offensive threat that teams are looking for in an undersized wing, but at 6’3 and 215lbs Luguentz Dort has been brilliant defending the ball all season.

Lateral quickness, strength, and defensive awareness define Dort during this early portion of his career. While he’s obviously incapable of shutting down a player of Harden’s caliber entirely, the Canadian has shown enough versatility to be the former MVP’s primary defender.

If Dort can find some rhythm on the offensive end, he could be a real menace on the court. He only shoots 29.7% from three on the year, so seeing massive improvements immediately are unlikely. However, after going six of 20 in his first two games, as well as two of 14 from three, Dort needs to improve his shot-making in order to truly threaten the Rockets.

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Christian Jope

Expert on NBA

Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.

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