Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Game 4 Predictions, Odds & Picks

  • After going down 0-3, the Indiana Pacers look to avoid the sweep in Game 4!
  • The Heat have been able to shoot 47% from the field and 43% from three against the Pacers.
  • Malcolm Brogdon and Jimmy Butler lead the series top scorers list at 24.3 points per game.

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Odds

Team Point Spread Total Money Line
Indiana Pacers +6 -110 O 216.5 -112 +195
Miami Heat -6 -110 U 216.5 -109 -240


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Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Predictions and Picks

While the Pacers have put up a strong fight, they are clearly outmanned and outgunned against the Heat. Miami hasn’t shown the capacity to capitulate in the clutch and it doesn’t look likely in Game 4.


Miami Heat def. Indiana Pacers -240

Miami -6 -110

Under 216.5 -109

How to Watch Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Information
What Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat
Where ESPN Wide World of Sports, Orlando, FL
When Monday, August 24th, 2020; 6:30 PM EST
How to Watch/Listen TNT

Head-to-Head: Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat

Indiana Pacers Head-to-Head Miami Heat
Nate McMillan Head Coach Erik Spoelstra
45-28 (4th in East, 7th Overall) Standing 44-29 (5th in East, 11th Overall)
L-L-L-W Form W-W-W-L
110.0 (19th of 30) Off Rtg 112.5 (7th of 30)
108.0 (6th of 30) Def Rtg 109.5 (11th of 30)
98.9 (21st of 30) Pace 98.3 (27th of 30)

Playoff Leaders (Per Game)

M. Brogdon (24.3) PPG J. Butler (24.3)
M. Tuner (9.7) RPG B. Adebayo (8.7)
M. Brogdon (11.0) APG G. Dragic (5.7)
T. Warren (3.0) SPG J. Butler (3.0)
M. Turner (3.7) BPG T-Adebayo, Iguodala (1.3)
J. Sampson (.667)/T. Warner (8.0) FG%/FGM Iguodala (.667)/G. Dragic (8.7)
J. Holiday (.583)/T-Brogdon, Holiday, Oladipo (2.3) 3P%/3PM J. Butler (.571)/T-Dragic, Robinson (3.7)

Indiana Need to Play their Game

Despite being down 0-3 in the series, it isn’t as if the Indiana Pacers are a weak team. Sure they’re riddled with injuries and their star is still recovering from a serious health setback, however, they’ve shown success in spurts against the Heat, despite not being able to hold on to it.

Indiana has been trying to push the pace with the Miami Heat, but they’re success all season has been by playing a more methodical game over 48 minutes. They are in the bottom third in the league in possessions per game, but second overall in field goal percentage.

The Pacers need timely execution to beat the Heat in Game 4. They’ve shown that they can’t match Miami’s pace, so forcing them to play their own game is the best way to swing the game in their favour.

Can the Heat Maintain their Hot Shooting?

The Miami Heat always create good chances for each other, but their conversion rate against Indiana has been excellent. The Heat is shooting 47% from the floor and 43% from three. The two-headed attack of Goran Dragic and Jimmy Butler has been incredible for Erik Spoelstra’s team.

In-Game 3 against the Pacers, the Heat were forcing their opponents to play right into their hands. Miami shot 45.3% from the field on just 75 attempts, with just two players shooting below 47.1% on the game.

It is Miami’s ball movement at every position that opens up opportunities for the team. Tyler Herro has been excellent off the bench, unafraid to fire from anywhere on the court. With their offence clicking, there is little the Pacers can do to stop them.

Pacers Key Player: (G) Malcolm Brogdon

Malcolm Brogdon has been excellent for the Pacers in this series. He is leading them in points and assists per game in this first-round series, on top of shooting a solid 42.9% from the field and 36.8% from three.

Brogdon’s playmaking has been the catalyst to all Pacers attacks. However, he’s been the only player able to create for his teammates on a regular basis. With so much pressure on Brogdon, Miami has been able to sit on his play and predict the Pacers’ next pass quite easily.

He may already be averaging 24.3 points per game, but Brogdon needs to be selfish if the Pacers want to live to see another game. He may not be the quickest, but by creating opportunities for himself he can create open shots for his teammates.

Heat Key Player: (F) Jae Crowder

Crowder doesn’t have a complicated role with the Miami Heat, it’s to play tough defence and knock down open shots. However, in Crowder’s last game, he was one of the few to struggle from the field.

The veteran forward was just two of eight from the field, with all eight attempts coming from the three-point line. In previous games, he mixed it up but stuck to the perimeter in Game 3.

If Crowder can contribute 10 to 14 points per game, it’d be huge for the Heat. Crowder is certainly capable, but he’ll have to get into the mindset of hunting down his shot rather than waiting for the pass.

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Christian Jope

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Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.

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