Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers: Predictions, Odds and Roster Notes

How to Watch

What: Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers

Where: Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

When: Wednesday, 8 January 2020, 7:00 PM EST

How (TV/Radio): Fox Sports Indiana, Fox Sports Sun | 93.5/107.5 FM The Fan, WAXY 790 AM / S: WAQI 710 AM

Miami Heat (Away)

Head Coach: Erik Spoelstra {All-Time 549-373 | MIA}

Season Record: 26-10

Projected Starting Five: (G) Kendrick Nunn – (G) Duncan Robinson – (F) Jimmy Butler – (F) Meyers Leonard – (C) Bam Adebayo

Top Performers

  • (F) Jimmy Butler – 35.4 MPG | 20.4 PPG | 6.9 RPG | 6.6 APG
  • (G) Goran Dragic – 28.2 MPG | 15.9 PPG | 5.0 APG | .412 3P%
  • (C) Bam Adebayo – 34.4 MPG | 15.6 PPG | 10.6 RPG | 4.5 APG

The Miami Heat remain in the top three of the Eastern Conference. While they’ve dropped from second due to a run by the Boston Celtics, they still maintain a healthy two game lead over the Toronto Raptors in fourth place.

Miami is coming off of a win over the Portland Trail Blazers. While the Blazers pushed back in the second half, a dominant first two quarters built them enough of a lead to weather a 34 point effort from Damian Lillard.

The Heat will have their hands full when they take on the Indiana Pacers. Both teams are strong in similar areas of the court, so efficiency will be paramount to Miami’s success.

Indiana Pacers (Home)

Head Coach: Nate McMillan {All-Time 639-574 | SEA, POR, IND}

Projected Starting Five: (G) Aaron Holiday – (G) Jeremy Lamb – (F) TJ Warren – (F) Domantis Sabonis – (C) Myles Turner

Season Record: 23-14

Top Performers

  • (F) TJ Warren – 32.6 MPG | 18.3 PPG | 3.8 RPG | .550 FG%
  • (F) Domantas Sabonis – 34.3 MPG | 17.8 PPG | 13.0 RPG | 4.2 APG
  • (G) Malcolm Brogdon – 30.5 MPG | 17.7 PPG | 7.4 APG | 4.4 RPG

The Indiana Pacers are fighting to crack the top four of the Eastern Conference. They are just 1.5 games back from the Toronto Raptors in fourth and a win over the Miami Heat may just be the extra boss that they need.

The Pacers are coming off of an impressive win over the Charlotte Hornets. They were almost unstoppable in the paint, shooting 52.8% from the field for the match. TJ Warren was brilliant for them while Domantas Sabonis was once again a force on the boards.

The Pacers take on a Heat team that is fantastic on both ends of the court. Despite lacking the star power, their effort as a team has lead to some impressive wins. With a depleted squad, the Pacers have little space for error.

What’s at Stake?

The Miami Heat and the Indiana Pacers have met 114 times over the course of their regular-season history. The Pacers lead the all-time series 66-48.

A win for the Miami Heat would send them back to second in the Eastern Conference.

A win for the Indiana Pacers would bring them to level with the Philadelphia 76ers for fifth in the Eastern Conference.

Questions to Answer

Can the Miami Heat find their range?

How can the Indiana Pacers overcome their injuries?

We are going to compare the Miami Heat and the Indiana Pacers in an attempt to see who has the advantage in this matchup.

James Johnson Is Welcome Back

James Johnson was a welcome contributor for the Miami Heat last season. He boasted excellent size and athleticism as a defender and provided some needed playmaking at the point of attack. This season has been different, as Sunday was only his seventh appearance of the season.

Johnson came into training camp out of shape, so it is unsurprising that the Heat held him out. He was brilliant on Sunday though, contributing 12 points, six rebounds, two assists, and two blocks in only 22 minutes of play.

Depending on the health of Jimmy Butler and Justise Winslow, we may see some more of James Johnson against the Pacers. His size will be crucial against the likes of TJ Warren and Jeremy Lamb.

The Pacers Must Start Quickly

In their last match against the Charlotte Hornets, the Pacers were a bit lethargic to open the festivities. They lost the first half by two points, and it seemed to be a sign of a close game.

Whatever Nate McMillan said at half time seemed to spur them on though. The Pacers won the third quarter 37-21, enough of a lead for the Pacers to weather the late run by the Hornets.

Indiana won’t have the same opportunity against the Heat. Miami have a consistent, disciplined offense. Indiana can’t afford to be passive when the match begins.

Can the Heat Punish the Pacers With their Shooting?

Miami have been flip-flopping games over the course of their last five and much of their struggles can be attributed to their shooting. The Orlando Magic had the length to disrupt them in the paint, and they couldn’t keep up from deep.

They were back in form against the Portland Trail Blazers, but they certainly need more from one of their most capable shooters. Duncan Robinson, a 44.4% three-point shooter, has attempted 22 three-point but only converted on five of those attempts.

The Indiana Pacers are excellent at disrupting three-point shots, ranking fourth in the NBA in opponents three-point field-goal percentage. Robinson, and the rest of the Miami supporting cast, will need to do more to take a win from this hungry Pacers team.

Indiana Must Control the Glass

The Indiana Pacers will be taking on one of the NBA’s toughest rebounding teams in the Miami Heat. The Pacer have a couple of strong rebounders, but they don’t get on the glass well as a unit.

Domantas Sabonis leads their team in rebounds with 13.0 per game, but the next closest to him is center Myles Turner who averages only 5.8 rebounds per game.

If Indiana wants to compete with the length and athleticism of the Heat’s frontcourt, they’ll need all hands on deck when rebounding the ball. If they hope to take down the Heat, they need to neutralize Adebayo and Leonard on the glass.

Miami Heat Roster Notes

(F) Jimmy Butler – 5 Jan 2020 – Day To Day (Back) – Butler is listed as OUT for Sunday’s (Jan. 5) game against the Blazers.

(F) Justise Winslow – 5 Jan 2020 – Day To Day (Back) – Winslow is OUT for Sunday’s (Jan. 5) game against Portland.

Indiana Pacers Roster Notes

(G) Naz Mitrou-Long – 6 Jan 2020 – Day To Day (Ankle) – Mitrou-Long did not play in Monday’s (Jan. 6) game against the Hornets.

(G) Malcolm Brogdon – 5 Jan 2020 – Day To Day (Back) – Brogdon did not play in Monday’s (Jan. 6) game against the Hornets.

(G) Victor Oladipo – 2 Jan 2020 – Out (Quad) – Oladipo is hoping to return by the end of January, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.

Head-to-Head: (G) Goran Dragic vs (F) TJ Warren

These two players are coming off of explosive scoring matches their last time out. With a step up in competition, expect a step up in their focus and production.

(G) Goran Dragic (6-3, 190lb (190cm, 86kg) | Slovenia | 11 Years)



Season Age Team Games MP PTS REB AST FG% 3P%
19-20 33 MIA 26 28.2 15.9 3.2 5.0 .451 .412


Goran Dragic is coming off of a fantastic game in a win over the Portland Trail Blazers. In 29 minutes of play he contributes 29 points and 13 assists while shooting 11-17 from the field and 7-10 from deep.

The Pacers are starved for options in the backcourt due to injuries to Malcolm Brogdon, Victor Oladipo, and TJ McConnell. Dragic won’t have much to oppose him, so don’t be surprised to see another big scoring night from him.

(F) TJ Warren (6-8, 215lb (203cm, 97kg) | NC State | 5 Years)



Season Age Team Games MP PTS REB AST FG% 3P%
19-20 26 IND 37 32.6 18.3 3.8 1.4 .507 .371


TJ Warren bullied his way to a win against the Charlotte Hornets. He scored 36 points in his last game on 15-24 shooting. He didn’t knock down a three, but he was almost unstoppable when he got into the paint.

Warren will be tough to match for the Miami Heat, but they’ve a number of rangy defenders that can give him some trouble. Warren can’t just live in the paint, he’ll have to show his range.

Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers Predictions

Why the Miami Heat Will Win

The Miami Heat must be diligent with their defense if they hope to win this game. The Pacers are efficient, despite their low pace. An organized defensive scheme on top of their regular scoring output can help them take this game.

Why the Indiana Pacers Will Win

The Pacers can win this game if they own the glass. While Sabonis has been a monster on the boards for them, none have quite been able to support him on a regular basis. If they can win the rebounding battle, they can take down the Heat.

WSN’s Pick

The Indiana Pacers are mighty, but they are so riddled with injuries that the Miami Heat are likely to take advantage of them. Miami is a much deeper team than the Pacers, their reserves will make the difference.

WSN Picks: Miami Heat to defeat the Indiana Pacers.

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Odds

The latest odds for Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers are provided by bet365 NJ, DraftKings Sportsbook, and 888Sport NJ.

Money Line

Sportsbook Miami Heat Indiana Pacers
bet365 NJ +100 -120
DraftKings TBA TBA
888Sport NJ -106 -113

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