FIBA World Cup 2019 Semi-Finals: Spain vs Australia - Predictions, Odds and How to Watch

If there is one thing that Spain is lacking it is athleticism at key positions. While Gasol, Rubio, the Hernangomez's, and Fernandez are crafty players, they lack the innate athletic ability to change the game at a moment.

How to Watch

What: Semi-Final, Spain vs Australia

Where: Wukesong Sport Arena, Beijing, China

When: Friday, 13 September 2019, 4:00 AM EST

How (TV): ESPN+

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Australia (Home)

Head Coach: Andrej Lemanis {Brisbane Bullets}

Assistant Coach(es): Luc Longley {Australia}, Adam Caporn {Basketball Australia Centre of Excellence}

Record: 6-0

Projected Starting Five: (G) Matthew Dellavedova – (G) Patty Mills – (F) Joe Ingles – (F) Jock Landale – (C) Aron Baynes

Last Match against the Czech Republic

Top Performers

  • G Patty Mills – 22.2 PPG | 4.5 APG | .405 3P%
  • F Joe Ingles – 10.5 PPG | 5.8 APG | 5.7 RPG
  • G Matthew Dellavedova – 10.2 PPG | 6.0 APG | .414 3P%

Australia are a mere win away from joining the final of the 2019 FIBA World Cup. Before they can do that though, they face off against a nation that has been a basketball power for the last two decades.

The Spanish national side will be Australia’s toughest test yet. While The Boomers are strong on both ends of the court, Spain has shown a veteran savvy that has overcome even the most capable defenses.

Australia struggled shooting the ball from the field in their last match against the Czech Republic. Fortunately, their increased output was what helped carry them through. The defense of Spain is something that won’t forgive such inefficiencies this time out.

Spain (Home)

Head Coach: Sergio Scariolo {Toronto Raptors}

Assistant Coach(es): Luis Guil {Saga Ballooners}, Angel Sanchez {Spain}

Record: 6-0

Projected Starting Five: (G) Ricky Rubio – (G) Rudy Fernandez – (F) Juancho Hernangomez – (F) Pierre Oriola – (C) Marc Gasol

Last match against Poland

Top Performers

  • G Ricky Rubio – 15.3 PPG | 5.5 APG | 1.3 SPG
  • C Marc Gasol – 11.3 PPG | 5.2 RPG | 3.7 APG
  • F Juan Hernangomez – 10.8 PPG | 5.7 RPG | .421 3P%

Spain continues to prove itself to be a basketball power that the world should not forget. While the Olympics looms around the corner, all eyes are on the Spanish goal of regaining the FIBA World Cup.

The European giants are coming off of a dominant win over Poland in what ended up being a deserved win. While Poland came with their best effort, the Spanish quality was just too great to overcome.

They will face their toughest challenge against the Boomers and their relentless offensive and defensive attack. Spain has the skill, but do they have the stamina to defeat the Australians?

What’s at Stake?

This is a semi-final match between Spain and Australia.

The winner of the match will face off with the winner of France-Argentina in the other semi-final matchup.

The loser of the match will face off against the loser of France-Argentina in the third-place matchup.

Australia Must Force and Convert on Mistakes

Granted, Spain is a much more talented side than the Czech Republic. But that doesn’t mean that The Boomers can’t force their opponents into mistakes. Converting on opportunities manufactured by their defense is how Australia beat the upstart Czech team.

In their last match, the Boomers forced sixteen turnovers from their opponents. Off of those turnovers, Australia was able to create 25 points. Many of those turnovers were keyed in the third quarter, which the Aussies won by twelve points.

Their opponents are a very responsible Spanish side. The veteran outfit averages a mere 12.7 turnovers per game, with every single player being capable of moving the ball swiftly and intelligently. Australia’s defense will have to be suffocating or gamble heavily to force the hand of their opponent.

Efficiency Is Key for the Spanish

If there is one thing that Spain is lacking it is athleticism at key positions. While Gasol, Rubio, the Hernangomez’s, and Fernandez are crafty players, they lack the innate athletic ability to change the game at a moment.

As such the Spanish will have to rely on their execution to come away with a win. In particular, their shooting must stay strong to have a chance against the Boomers. They shot 50% from the field against Poland, but are still a low output team.

Should the Australians push the tempo, not many of the Spanish are expected to be able to keep up. Enforcing their game will be key, especially on the glass. The Spanish allowed 10 offensive rebounds to Poland compared to their own 23 defensive rebounds. A stat that they can’t afford against Australia.

Glass Work is The Boomers Calling Card

It’s been hammered to death throughout the tournament but it is pure fact. The Australians succeed when they are winning the battle on the glass. Will they be able to keep it up against the equally gritty Spain?

In their last match against the Czech Republic, the Boomers won the rebounding battle easily 41-34. Not only did they collect 23 defensive rebounds, but their ability getting second chances keyed their victory.

Australia collected 18 offensive rebounds against the Czechs while accumulating 14-second chance points on the night. The Spanish will be tougher to handle on the glass, but the Australian’s work rate will always make it a close fight on the boards.

Spain Must Have A Paint Alternative

Scoring inside and out is a talent of the Spanish national team. Sergio Scariolo has assembled a squad who are adept finishers and passers in order to complement one another.

Most of the Spanish scoring effort comes in the paint. Against Poland, 38% of their points came close to the basket. They will find a difficult challenge when they attempt to match Australia in the paint due to their sheer size.

Expect Scariolo’s squad to draw opposing big men out of the paint, while using high-post passes to open up their back cutters. Their ranged shooting hasn’t impressed, so hopes are high that they won’t have to rely on that.

Australia Roster Notes

Australia has no roster changes of note.

Spain Roster Notes

Spain has no roster changes of note.

X-Factors: Patty Mills (AUS) vs Ricky Rubio (ESP)

Mills and Rubio face off as the leaders of their teams and the respective stars of the tournament for their nations. Both with a tremendous weight on their shoulders, both seem equipped to put on a fantastic performance.

(G) Patty Mills

SeasonAgeTeamGamesMPPTSREBASTFG%3P%
201931AUS632.122.22.34.5.512.405

In their biggest match of the tournament, all Australian eyes are on their star player Patty Mills. The scoring-oriented guard is not only leading his side to victories but is in the running for tournament MVP.

The Spanish are certain to try and stop Mills on offense, who is scoring at a torrid pace. Initially projected as a pure shooting threat, Mills has been brilliant scoring in the paint as well.

Mills is not without his faults. He is averaging three turnovers per game to his four assists per game. He will see many traps and doubles in this match, his decision making will decide the result of this match.

(G) Ricky Rubio

SeasonAgeTeamGamesMPPTSREBASTFG%3P%
201928ESP624.915.33.85.5.453.476

For another game, Ricky Rubio was brilliant. While Marc Gasol mans the defensive end of the ball for Spain, Rubio has been commanding their offense like a true star. Once in the shadow of legendary point guard Jose Calderon, Rubio has come on as Spain’s greatest ever point guard.

In his last match against Poland, Rubio led his team in all major categories. He accumulated 19 points, 5 rebounds, and 9 assists on the game. Not only was he excellent scoring the ball, but his efficiency was commendable – shooting 7-11 from the field and 3/4 from deep.

Patty Mills and Matthew Dellavedova are relentless backcourt defenders who will challenge Rubio. The Spaniard will also have to navigate the crushing screens of Jock Landale, Aron Baynes, and Andrew Bogut. Rubio will face his toughest test yet.

Spain at Australia Predictions and Odds

If you are in New Jersey you can bet on the FIBA World on 888Sport NJ or on BetMGM. If you are in either New Jersey or West Virginia you can visit DraftKings to bet on Spain vs Australia. Find the latest odds for the game below. Good luck!

Point Spread

SportsbookAustralia

+3.5

Spain

-3.5

Link
888Sport NJ-110-110
BetMGM NJ-121-110
DraftKings-122+100

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Money Line

SportsbookAustraliaSpainLink
888Sport NJ+125-155
BetMGM NJ+140-167
DraftKings+125-155

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Total Points

SportsbookOverUnderLink
888Sport NJ160

-108

160

-113

BetMGM NJ162.5

-139

162.5

+105

DraftKings160

-108

160

-113

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

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