Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks: Predictions, Odds and Roster Notes

How to Watch – Raptors vs Mavericks

Where: American Airlines Centre, Dallas, TX

When: Saturday, 16 November 2019, 8:30 PM EST

How (TV/Radio): TSN, Fox Sports Southwest | TSN Radio 1050 Toronto, ESPN 103.3

Toronto Raptors (Away)

Head Coach: Nick Nurse {All-Time 66-27 | TOR}

Season Record: 8-3

Projected Starting Five: (G) Fred Vanvleet – (G) Norman Powell – (F) OG Anunoby – (F) Pascal Siakam – (C) Marc Gasol

Top Performers

  • (F) Pascal Siakam – 36.7 MPG | 27.2 PPG | 9.2 RPG | .546 EFG%
  • (G) Kyle Lowry – 36.1 MPG | 21.8 PPG | 6.5 APG | 1.1 SPG
  • (G) Fred Vanvleet – 38.5 MPG | 17.1 PPG | 7.6 APG | .406 3P%

The Toronto Raptors certainly look like NBA Champions, don’t they? Despite losing a myriad of keep pieces and putting together what looked to be a shadow of their former team, the Toronto Raptors are showing they are a program built on success.

With four of their key eight rotation players out due to injury, the Raptors have gone deeper into their bench than expected during this early season. Despite that, they are 8-3 overall and 3-1 in their last four during their Western Conference road trip.

The Raptors will face one final test on their Western Conference road trip in the Dallas Mavericks. Significantly improved and difficult to handle, the Raptors will have to show that their team defence is enough to stop Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis.

Dallas Mavericks (Home)

Head Coach: Rick Carlisle {All-Time 757-631 | DET, IND, DAL}

Projected Starting Five: (G) Luka Doncic – (G) Seth Curry – (F) Dorian Finney-Smith – (F) Kristaps Porzingis – (C) Maxi Kleber

Season Record: 6-5

Top Performers

  • (G) Luka Doncic – 34.8 MPG | 28.3 PPG | 10.3 RPG | 9.1 APG
  • (F-C) Kristaps Porzingis – 31.4 MPG | 18.3 PPG | 7.9 RPG | 2.4 BPG
  • (G) Tim Hardaway Jr – 23.0 MPG | 11.6 PPG | 2.3 RPG | .328 3P%

Home sweet home for the Dallas Mavericks. After a three-game Eastern Conference road trip, in which they went 1-2, the Mavericks return home to host the reigning champion Toronto Raptors.

Dallas will have their hands full with Toronto, who look every bit NBA Championship caliber despite the loss of Kawhi Leonard over the offseason. Dallas has struggled to defend the ball, especially late, and the Raptors won’t give them the opportunity to make up for their mistakes.

Porzingis and Doncic showed up, despite their most recent loss to the New York Knicks. Once again they are searching for that third player that can send their team over the top.

What’s at Stake?

Being from different conferences, the Toronto Raptors and the Dallas Mavericks don’t meet often. In 45 regular-season meetings, the Mavericks lead the Raptors 25-20.

A win for the Toronto Raptors would keep them in place, second in the East but within a game of the first-place Boston Celtics.

A win for the Dallas Mavericks would push them into the top eight of the Western Conference table.

Questions to Answer

Can the Raptors reserves keep the pace?

Will Dallas sort out its defensive issues?

We are going to compare the Toronto Raptors and the Dallas Mavericks in an attempt to see who has the advantage in this matchup.

Jumping At Opportunity

It’s no secret that the Toronto Raptors are down some key pieces. Serge Ibaka, Kyle Lowry, Patrick McCaw, and OG Anunoby all have missed time with some serious issues. However, the Raptors’ deeper bench unit have really stepped it up.

Chris Boucher, Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, Matt Thomas, and Terence Davis are players that none expected to play major minutes during the year, but injuries have forced coach Nick Nurse’s hands. They have responded well though, showing their quality over the last three games:

  • (F) Chris Boucher – 20.3 MPG | 10.0 PPG | 5.0 RPG | 1.67 BPG
  • (G) Terence Davis – 21.5 MPG | 11.0 PPG | 4.0 RPG | .538 3P%
  • (F) Rondae Hollis-Jefferson – 23.3 MPG | 11.7 PPG | 7.7 RPG | 1.3 SPG
  • (G) Matt Thomas – 12.6 MPG | 5.0 PPG | .500 FG% | .429 3P%

While the sample size is low, their performances came against some of the top teams in the NBA. They took wins from the Los Angeles Lakers and Portland Trail Blazers in impressive fashion and holding reigning Finals MVP Kawhi Leonard to 2-11 shooting in a loss. The Raptors developmental program is one of the best in the league.

The Mavericks Are One Way Traffic

The Dallas Mavericks are a fun team to watch. However, for all the good that they do on the offensive end, they tend to let it go on the defensive end of the ball. Despite some athletic players, their defensive standards are well below Rick Carlisle’s liking.

The Mavericks are top ten in the NBA in scoring, second in offensive rating, but 20th in defensive rating. For some reason, it isn’t coming together, and unfortunately, the problem lies in their stars.

Doncic and Porzingis are very capable on offense, but struggle when attacked on the defensive end. Their length helps, but their foot speed is limiting their side. The Toronto Raptors are a ball movement heavy team, if Doncic and Porzingis can’t keep up at the point of attack, it’ll be curtains for Dallas.

Siakam and Vanvleet Are Soaring

The Toronto Raptors are expected to make the transition from Lowry and Ibaka to Vanvleet and Siakam, however, none thought that transition would happen so quickly. With both veterans going down in the same game, Vanvleet and Siakam have been stars in their stead.

With more opportunity comes more minutes and more shots. Siakam and Vanvleet have upped their offensive volume, but also looked like All-Stars since Lowry and Ibaka went down:

Last four matches against NOP, LAL, LAC, POR

  • (G) Fred Vanvleet – 40.2 MPG | 19.8 PPG | 9.0 APG | 2.5 SPG | .387 3P%
  • (F) Pascal Siakam – 41.6 MPG | 30.0 PPG | 9.3 RPG | 4.3 APG | 1.3 BPG

These two players are shaping up to not be the future of the Toronto Raptors, but the immediate present. Their play has been stellar all year, but they’ve stepped it up in the absence of their star veterans. They’ll need to sustain this form if they hope to stay high in the table until they return.

The Mavericks Bench Has Been Outplayed

It isn’t as if the Dallas Mavericks lack talent off of the bench. If anything, they are overflowing with it. But in their most recent loss to the Knicks, the reserve unit struggled.

After losing to the Knicks twice in one week, the Mavericks need to reevaluate themselves going forward. Hardaway Jr and Marjanovic gave them good minutes off the bench, but Brunson, Wright, and Kleber were nowhere to be found.

The Toronto Raptors boast a development program that could call itself the best in the NBA. Their bench is loaded with capable players who are just waiting for the right opportunity. The Mavericks need to at least meet the Raptors’ effort, if they hope to take a game from the Champions.

Toronto Raptors Roster Notes

(F) OG Anunoby – 12 Nov 2019 – Day To Day (Eye) – Anunoby did not play in Wednesday’s (Nov 13) game against the Trail Blazers.

(C) Serge Ibaka – 9 Nov 2019 – Out (Right Ankle) – Ibaka will have tests on his sprained right ankle and is out indefinitely at this point, according to Josh Lewenberg of TSN Sports.

(G) Kyle Lowry – 9 Nov 2019 – Out (Left Thumb) – Lowry will miss at least two weeks with a fractured left thumb, according to Rachel Nichols of ESPN.

(G-F) Patrick McCaw – 6 Nov 2019 – Out (Knee) – McCaw had surgery on his left knee and will be re-evaluated in a month, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.

Dallas Mavericks Roster Notes

The Dallas Mavericks have no roster changes of note.

Head-to-Head: (F) Rondae Hollis-Jefferson vs (G) Luka Doncic

It’s an offence versus defence matchup when the Toronto Raptors and the Dallas Mavericks face off.

Luka Doncic is looking like an All-NBA talent just over ten games into his sophomore season in the NBA. He’ll have his work cut out for him against Rondae Hollis-Jefferson though, who in his last three matches held LeBron James, Kawhi Leonard, and Damian Lillard to a combined 9-38 from the field.

(F) Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (6-6, 217lb (198cm, 98kg) | Arizona | 4 Years)

Season Age Team Games MP PTS REB AST FG% 3P%
19-20 25 TOR 4 18.5 9.0 5.8 1.0 .560 n/a

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson had a rough start to his time in Toronto. After being called out for his lack of effort and understanding in training camp, he found himself on the fringes of the rotation and then out with injury.

Since his opportunity against the Laker though, he’s flourished. Acting as the primary defender of their opponents best player, Hollis-Jefferson has had an average defensive rating of 99, with a surprising offensive rating of 113. He draws Luka Doncic this time out.

(G) Luka Doncic (6-7, 218lb (201cm, 98kg) | Slovenia | 1 Years)

Season Age Team Games MP PTS REB AST FG% 3P%
19-20 20 DAL 11 34.8 28.3 10.3 9.1 .485 .318

Luka Doncic is progressing into stardom nicely. His disposition is amazing and his production is fantastic. If one were to look at his stat line alone, it would be difficult to differentiate between him and LeBron James.

Doncic fell short in their last match against the Knicks. After another splendid night, the Mavs failed to execute with the ball out of his hands. Expect more of the Mavericks’ play to go through Doncic, even against their tough defense.

Toronto Raptors at Dallas Mavericks – Predictions

Why the Toronto Raptors Will Win

The Toronto Raptors are scoring at will, but it is their fifth-ranked defense that is setting opponents off. If they can remain as efficient scoring the ball as they are defending it, they should come out with a victory.

Why the Dallas Mavericks Will Win

Dallas has the offensive firepower to keep up with most of the league, but how will they contend with the length of the Toronto Raptors’ defense? If they remain undeterred offensively and can find an average defensive night, they can take one from the World Champions.

Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks – Game Odds

The odds for the Raptors vs Mavericks are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and Caesars NJ.


Sportsbook TOR Raptors DAL Maverick
DraftKings +135 -162
Caesars NJ +140 -160

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