Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers: Predictions, Odds and Roster Notes

WSN Picks: Toronto Raptors to defeat the Indiana Pacers.

How to Watch

What: Toronto Raptors at Indiana Pacers

Where: Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

When: Friday, 7 February 2020, 8:00 PM EST

How (TV/Radio): ESPN, SN1, Fox Sports Indiana | Sportsnet 590 The FAN, 93.5/107.5 FM The Fan

Toronto Raptors (Away)

Head Coach: Nick Nurse {All-Time 94-38 | TOR}

Season Record: 36-14

Projected Starting Five: (G) Kyle Lowry – (G) Fred Vanvleet – (F) OG Anunoby – (F) Pascal Siakam – (C) Serge Ibaka

Top Performers

  • (F) Pascal Siakam – 34.8 MPG | 23.7 PPG | 7.6 RPG | 3.4 APG
  • (G) Kyle Lowry – 36.6 MPG | 19.4 PPG | 7.3 APG | 4.5 RPG
  • (G) Fred Vanvleet – 35.9 MPG | 17.8 PPG | 7.0 APG | 1.9 SPG

The Toronto Raptors have been the talk of the league as they currently reside at second in the Eastern Conference with a record of 36-14. While they have secured a head coaching spot for Nick Nurse, they still have much to prove against the upper echelon of the East.

The Toronto Raptors are in the top five in the league in man-games lost due to injury. Despite that, they maintain the same record at this point in the season as last year when they had Kawhi Leonard in their ranks. They’ve proven their quality time and again.

Toronto takes on an Indiana Pacers that they lost to in overtime in their first meeting of the season. They are much healthier than their last meeting, so the Toronto Raptors will have a much more defined lineup to take on their Eastern Conference competitors.

Indiana Pacers (Home)

Head Coach: Nate McMillan {All-Time 647-579 | SEA, POR, IND}

Projected Starting Five: (G) Malcolm Brogdon – (G) Aaron Holiday – (F) Jeremy Lamb – (F) Domantas Sabonis – (C) Myles Turner

Season Record: 31-19

Top Performers

  • (F) Domantas Sabonis – 34.5 MPG | 18.3 PPG | 12.7 RPG | 4.6 APG
  • (F) TJ Warren – 32.2 MPG | 18.1 PPG | 3.7 RPG | .378 3P%
  • (G) Malcolm Brogdon – 30.4 MPG | 16.7 PPG | 7.4 APG | 4.5 RPG

The Indiana Pacers are still looking like the bridesmaid and not the bride. They currently sit 3.5 games out of the top four in the Eastern Conference and could gain some real ground in this match against the Toronto Raptors.

The Pacers get by on incredibly efficient play. They took down the Toronto Raptors in their first meeting due to their excellent perimeter defense, which held their opponents to under 30% shooting from deep.

When they take on the Toronto Raptors this time out, they’ll be facing a much more complete side. On a fantastic run since the beginning of 2020, the Raptors will be a handful for Indiana. If the Pacers can maintain a similar defensive intensity to last time out, they should be able to win this match.

What’s at Stake?

The Toronto Raptors and the Indiana Pacers have a rather close regular-season series. Over the course of 89 meetings, the Pacers lead the Raptors 49-40.

A win for the Toronto Raptors would bring them within 6.5 games of the Milwaukee Bucks who are first in the Eastern Conference.

A win for the Indiana Pacers would bring them within 2.5 games of the fourth-place Miami Heat.

Questions to Answer

How can the Toronto Raptors take a bigger step forward in the NBA?

Can the Indiana Pacers beat their shooting funk?

We are going to compare the Toronto Raptors and the Indiana Pacers in an attempt to see who has the advantage in this matchup.

TOR: How Can the Raptors Push Even Further?

The Toronto Raptors have been blessed with a beneficial schedule, in lieu of some disappointing injury woes. They’ve been able to build themselves to the second-best team in the East and the third-best team in the NBA. But how can they take the next step to the top of the table?

A lot of what the Raptors need to do is begin with health. You can’t help injuries, but the heavy burden on Kyle Lowry, Fred Vanvleet, and Pascal Siakam is very reminiscent of the minutes-heavy Derozan days. Tying franchise-record 11-straight wins, they’re team depth and defense has won them some surprising matches.

They face an Indiana Pacers team that touts strengths that directly counter the Raptor’s weaknesses. They are strong on the glass and excellent in half-court play. If Toronto can show that they can overcome this Pacers team, via team rebounding and half-court efficiency, the road forward might be even more positive than expected.

IND: Can the Pacers Beat their Funk?

The Indiana Pacers are not the most prolific offensive team in the NBA, but they should certainly be better than they have been over the course of their last three games. Particularly against weaker opponents in Chicago, New York, and Dallas, they’ve not kept their opposition honest.

Indiana has shot a paltry 25.9% from three over their recent 1-2 homestand. Losses to the New York Knicks and Dallas Mavericks have some Pacers fans holding their breath. The trio of Aaron and Justin Holiday and Doug McDermott combine to shoot well over 40% from deep. Against the Mavericks, they were a combined 2-9.

It won’t get any easier for them when they face the Toronto Raptors. Toronto have a swarming defensive scheme, almost encouraging the draw and kick as they know they can recover. The Raptors hold opponents to 33.5% from three, good enough for second in the league. To say the Pacers need to punish them is an understatement.

TOR: Can the Raptors Reserves Make Up for Norman Powell?

Norman Powell has been having the best season of his career. He’s been doing such with some injury issues and is once again out for an extended period of time, in what is a crucial period for the Raptors. In his stead, three young wings look to make up the difference. But will it be enough?

Patrick McCaw is generally the first guard off the bench, as Nick Nurse loves his defense, distribution ability and IQ. He is unfortunately very passive on offense, being only the second player this season to have zero field-goal attempts in at least 20 minutes of play.

Matt Thomas is much more of a role player, acting as the teams’ designated three-point gunner. He doesn’t do much else, but his 46% mark from deep is more than enough to gain a longer look and some respect from opponents.

Lastly is Terence Davis. The explosive rookie burst onto the scene for the Raptors and is currently sitting in the top five of the Rookie of the Year race. He’s an all-around player, with a penchant for getting hot from deep.

If one of the three can fill Powell’s shoes against a tough Pacers defense, it’ll make the night much easier for Toronto. However, a little bit goes a long way, as a combined effort from the three could create some real problems for Indiana’s swarming defense.

IND: Is Playing Through Sabonis Enough?

The Indiana Pacers had Domantas Sabonis named an All-Star due to his incredible play this season. The accolade is well deserved for the second-generation NBAer. However as he Pacers struggle, his production has been constant. So what more can the Pacers do?

Sabonis is a banger in the paint, unafraid of any opposition and having an eye for the ball. He’s averaged 25.5 points, 10.0 rebounds, and 5.5 assists in their back-to-back losses. Despite his fantastic production, Sabonis can afford to be more selfish.

The Raptors are missing Marc Gasol in the paint and the matchup of Serge Ibaka and Chris Boucher certainly benefits the Lithuanian. Considering the Pacers have been shooting under 26% from deep over their last three, a grinding paint bucket for Sabonis can be worth more than a kick-out against this Raptors team.

Toronto Raptors Roster Notes

(C) Marc Gasol – 4 Feb 2020 – Out (Hamstring) – Gasol is listed as OUT for Wednesday’s (Feb. 5) game.

(F) Rondae Hollis-Jefferson – 4 Feb 2020 – Day To Day (Ankle) – Hollis-Jefferson is listed as questionable for Wednesday’s (Feb. 5) game against the Pacers.

(G) Norman Powell – 1 Feb 2020 – Out (Finger) – The Raptors announced that Powell is out indefinitely with a fractured finger on his left hand.

(C) Dewan Hernandez – 2 Jan 2020 – Out (Ankle) – Hernandez has been out since Dec. 16 against Cleveland with a sprained ankle.

Indiana Pacers Roster Notes

(F) TJ Warren – 4 Feb 2020 – Out (Concussion) – Warren is listed as OUT for Wednesday’s (Feb. 5) game.

Head-to-Head: (G) Terence Davis vs (G) Victor Oladipo

Take a look at the key matchup of the night. Terence Davis is looking like a younger version of Victor Oladipo, dropping big numbers in his few opportunities all season long. On the other side, Victor Oladipo is still rusty as he’s returned from injury. However, he’ll have some extra motivation to perform against the opponent he suffered his injury against.

(G) Terence Davis (6-4, 205lb (193cm, 92kg) | Ole Miss | Rookie)

Season Age Team Games MP PTS REB AST FG% 3P%
19-20 22 TOR 50 16.8 7.7 3.4 1.8 .485 .417

Terence Davis’ motto is “Make ‘Em Believe” and based on his story it is fitting. Undrafted and overlooked until the Toronto Raptors gave him an opportunity in Summer League, the springy combo-guard has been doing damage when the chance arises.

While he wasn’t selected for the Rising Stars Game, Davis is more than deserving based on his production. He had a career high 31 points on 12-15 shooting against the Bulls, making him only the second rookie to score 30 points this year – the other being Ja Morant. He’s a two-way threat off the bench and a key cog in the Raptors’ machine.

(G) Victor Oladipo (6-4, 210lb (193cm, 95kg) | Indiana | 6 Years)

Season Age Team Games MP PTS REB AST FG% 3P%
19-20 27 IND 3 22.0 8.3 1.3 2.3 .205 .143

Victor Oladipo was on the rise of his career, until he was forced out due to injury against the Toronto Raptors last year. It was nobody’s fault, but his rehabilitation process has been long and arduous. While his production certainly isn’t up to standard, Oladipo could present some interesting problems.

He’s on a minutes restriction and is only appearing in an average of 22.0 minutes per game in three games back. While it will take a while for him to find his legs, his inefficiency can’t simply be disregarded. He as an effective field-goal percentage of 24.4% while shooting 20.5% from the field and 14.3% from deep. He doesn’t need to reach All-Star form, but he certainly needs to be more efficient with his opportunities if he’s going to use 22 minutes per game to get back into shape.

Toronto Raptors at Indiana Pacers Predictions

Why the Toronto Raptors Will Win

The Toronto Raptors’ offense is something to marvel at. They are intelligent moving the ball and waste very few opportunities in possession. They lost their first meeting due to some poor shooting from range. If they can get back to their season averages and maintain their defensive effort, the Pacers are not in their league.

Why the Indiana Pacers Will Win

The Indiana Pacers overwhelmed the Raptors in their first meeting with solid perimeter defense and a strong night from Domantas Sabonis on the glass. If they can stave off Toronto’s big men and limit the Raptors’ opportunities on the break, the Pacers can easily take this crucial match.

WSN’s Pick

The Toronto Raptors are almost a different team to who they were when they met earlier this season. Their depth is better and they’ve been on an incredible run since January. Toronto, barring a massive scoring night from Indiana, should take this match.

WSN Picks: Toronto Raptors to defeat the Indiana Pacers.

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers Odds

The odds for Raptors vs Pacers are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook, and 888Sport NJ.


Sportsbook Raptors Pacers
DraftKings -120 +102
888Sport NJ -120 +102

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