Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Game 5 Predictions, Odds & Picks
- Utah Jazz currently lead the series against the Denver Nuggets 3-1.
- Donovan Mitchell continues to make history, as he’s one of three players with multiple 50-point games in a playoff series.
- The last time a team overcame a 3-1 deficit was in 2016.
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Jazz vs Nuggets Odds
|Team||Point Spread||Total||Money Line|
|Utah Jazz||-3 -108||O 221.5 -109||-152|
|Denver Nuggets||+3 -113||U 221.5 -110||+128|
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Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Predictions and Picks
The Utah Jazz has been clinical in this matchup, while only being encouraged by the return of Mike Conley. Denver, on the other hand, are feeling their losses. We don’t expect the Nuggets to see another game.
How to Watch Jazz vs Nuggets
|Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Information|
|What||Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets|
|Where||ESPN Wide World of Sports, Orlando, FL|
|When||Tuesday, August 25th, 2020; 6:30 PM EST|
|How to Watch/Listen||TNT|
Head-to-Head: Jazz vs Nuggets
|Utah Jazz||Head-to-Head||Denver Nuggets|
|Quin Snyder||Head Coach||Mike Malone|
|44-28 (6th in West, 10th Overall)||Standing||46-27 (3rd in West, 6th Overall)|
|112.3 (10th of 30)||Off Rtg||113.1 (5th of 30)|
|109.9 (24th of 30)||Def Rtg||111.0 (16th of 30)|
|98.6 (24th of 30)||Pace||97.1 (29th of 30)|
Playoff Leaders (Per Game)
|D. Mitchell (39.5)||PPG||J. Murray (28.0)|
|R. Gobert (9.8)||RPG||N. Jokic (8.3)|
|D. Mitchell (5.8)||APG||J. Murray (6.5)|
|M. Conley (1.5)||SPG||P. Millsap (1.0)|
|R. Gobert (1.5)||BPG||J. Grant (1.3)|
|R. Gobert (.750)/D. Mitchell (12.3)||FG%/FGM||J. Murray (.525)/J. Murray (10.5)|
|M. Conley (.688)/M. Conley (5.5)||3P%/3PM||J. Murray (.529)/J. Murray (4.5)|
Can Utah Maintain Their Offensive Efficiency?
The Utah Jazz lost Game 1 due to their inability to shoot from three but still forced the game into overtime. They’ve been on fire since, and it has fuelled them to a 3-1 lead in the series.
It’s been a perfect balance for the Jazz as they’ve increased their three-point rate in response to the fact that Denver has challenged them to do so. On just over 39 attempts per game, the Jazz is converting on 43.3% of their three-point field goal attempts.
Utah’s efficiency isn’t just a product of Denver’s relaxed perimeter defence though. They are exploiting mismatches, moving off the ball, and creating secondary opportunities through their rebounding. Their all-around effort on offence can seal the series for them.
Denver’s Defence is Costing Them
To say that the Colorado-based outfit is struggling on the defensive side of the ball would be an understatement. The Nuggets’ have their fair share of defenders, but due to injuries or exploitation, they haven’t been able to contain the Jazz.
Despite the number of wing defenders on the Nuggets, the Jazz has been exploiting All-Star centre Nikola Jokic’s lack of mobility on the defensive end. Put in constant pick-and-rolls or being forced out to shooters is hurting them.
Not having key contributors Gary Harris and Will Barton is certainly an issue. However, it isn’t as if they don’t have the ability amongst their reserves. In all honesty, it doesn’t look like Denver will be able to tighten it up defensively in this series. But even a small improvement would do them wonders, should it be paired with their own capable offence.
Jazz Key Player: (G) Mike Conley
Mike Conley is back and a perfect 6/6 from 3PT ? pic.twitter.com/9FicX1Wy7E
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) August 21, 2020
There was a concern for the Utah Jazz’s success when it was known that Mike Conley had left the NBA bubble and would not be available until Game 3 of their first-round series. After splitting the first two games, Conley has returned in his best form of the year.
Over his first two games back Mike Conley has averaged 26.5 points, 4.0 assists, and 1.5 steals on 65.4% from the field and 68.8% from three-point range. His percentages aren’t buoyed by low attempts though, he is converting on 5.5 three’s per game as well.
While Conley had his detractors during the regular season, his post-season performance is why he was brought to Utah. Despite playing only two games in the series, Conley’s performances give the Jazz great confidence in their ability to close out this series.
Nuggets Key Player: (F) Michael Porter Jr.
— NBA (@NBA) August 19, 2020
Rookie sensation Michael Porter Jr. has been a revelation for the Nuggets since the season resumed. While he was excellent during the seeding schedule, his rookie experience is being seen in full against the Jazz.
When matched up with Porter Jr. the Jazz are shooting 63.4% from the field and 60% from deep. While he is inexperienced, Porter Jr. certainly has the athletic ability and engine to be better on the defensive end.
The Nuggets rookie is still scoring the ball, 14.3 points per game on 50% from the field, but he needs to pull up his socks and sort out his issues defensively. Porter Jr’s contributions on both ends will define whether or not the Nuggets can salvage this series.
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Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
Email: [email protected]