Top 10 Best NFL Picks for Week 3 - Odds and Predictions

Week 2 of the NFL season is now officially in the books and at this point quarterback injuries have neutered the Jacksonville Jaguars, the New Orleans Saints and the Pittsburgh Steelers, the NFC West is being highly contested, and, for the first time in awhile, the AFC East has an undefeated team other than the New England Patriots (although they are also undefeated, of course).

No team has yet beaten the Baltimore Ravens or the Kansas City Chiefs and it took the Cleveland Browns until Week 2 to finally live up to their paper hype while the Miami Dolphins, the Denver Broncos, the Washington Redskins and the Carolina Panthers have all failed to win any games at all in 2019, much to the dismay of their faithful fans.

It’s Week 3 of the 100th NFL season and we have chosen the Top Ten best games that stand out as critical for their football importance, gambling merit or overall dramatic interest and we briefly analyze why the favored team of each matchup might win and project how the underdogs could possibly surprise the world.

Good luck!

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10) Miami Dolphins at Dallas Cowboys

How to Watch

What: Miami Dolphins at Dallas Cowboys

When: Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas

How (TV): FOX

Why the Favored Team Will Win

The 2-0 Dallas Cowboys have looked to be in postseason form these first two weeks, with Dak Prescott leading the way, finally looking like a quarterback who deserves as much financial love as any other NFL franchise leader.

With Prescott under center and holdout running back Ezekiel Elliott now getting comfortable in the backfield, the Cowboys should easily take down the 2019 Miami Dolphins who, after two weeks of football, are dead last in overall offense and defense.

Dallas needs to use this Week 3 easy win at home against the floundering Phins to work on improving their 18th ranked defense, featuring star defensive end Taco Charlton and linebackers Sean Lee and Leighton Vander Esch, a squad that’s allowed opponents to score an average of 19 points per game, 14th fewest in the league.

How the Underdog Could Surprise the World

The way these Dolphins look, they could go winless in 2019, which may be exactly what owner Steve Ross wants for his desperately rebuilding franchise in order to get the next first overall draft pick.

However, they do have Ryan Fitzpatrick under center, and that NFL journeyman is capable of a miraculous win at any given point, his periodic bursts of “Fitzmagic” causing sudden fits of complete passes, avoided tackles and red zone scores, so you just never know.

Miami running back Kenyon Drake, wide receiver DeVante Parker and tight end Mike Gesicki would also need to step up their output against this Cowboys defense that could make the mistake of underestimating these slow starting Miami playmakers.

Point Spread:

SportsbookMIA Dolphins +21DAL Cowboys -21
888Sport NJ-110-110

Money Line

SportsbookMIA DolphinsDAL Cowboys
888Sport NJ+1150-3335

9) Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars

How to Watch

What: Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars

When: Thursday, September 19, 2019 at 8:20 p.m. ET

Where: TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, FL

How (TV): NFLN

Check out our detailed article on the Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars here.

Why the Favored Team Will Win

It is fitting that the spread in this Week 3 matchup is just a point, given how narrow the losses were for each of these teams in Week 2, with the Jacksonville Jaguars losing to the Houston Texans by a score of 12-13 and the Tennessee Titans falling to the Indianapolis Colts, 19-17.

The Titans will win against the Jaguars because they have a better defense, ranked 10th to the Jags’ 21st, and because it’s how it always seems to go – they’ve won the last four straight against Jacksonville and have gone 7-1 in their last eight.

Quarterback Marcus Mariota hasn’t thrown for a lot of yards yet (201.0, ranked 24th) but he hasn’t thrown a pick yet either and has 4 touchdown passes, tied for 10th most among quarterbacks in the league.

How the Underdog Could Surprise the World

What better way for the Jacksonville Jaguars new backup turned starting quarterback Gardner Minshew II to prove he can fill the shoes of injured backup turned starting quarterback Nick Foles (who just broke his collarbone and underwent surgery), than to win against a Titans teams that odds makers find to be almost evenly matched.

Receivers Marqise Lee and Dede Westbrook will have to have their biggest game yet, the Jags’ passing attack ranked just 16th after two weeks of play, and same goes for running backs Leonard Fournette and Ryquell Armstead, who have yet to score on the ground for Jacksonville, their total rushing offense ranked 22nd overall.

To win this one, the Jaguars defense will have to do better than they’ve done in the first two weeks when they have allowed opponents to score an average of 26.5 points per game, especially against the Titans, the league’s 6th ranked scorer who have posted 60 points total so far.

Point Spread:

SportsbookTEN Titans +1JAX Jaguars -1
888Sport NJ-110-110

Money Line

SportsbookTEN TitansJAX Jaguars
888Sport NJ-120-103

8) Los Angeles Rams at Cleveland Browns

How to Watch

What: Los Angeles Rams at Cleveland Browns

When: Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 8:20 p.m. ET

Where: FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, Ohio

How (TV): NBC

Current Point Spread

Rams -3, Browns +3

Why the Favored Team Will Win

The undefeated 2-0 Los Angeles Rams were 6-2 in away games last season, so they will be perfectly comfortable beating the Cleveland Browns in their northern Ohio hometown.

These Rams have looked every bit as good as they did last season (or better, since Gurley appears to be healthy) as they easily took care of the New Orleans Saints in Week 2 by a score of 27-9, ending all doubts of whether they deserved their Super Bowl appearance the prior year.

Los Angeles will not underestimate this talented Browns team, of course, and with quarterback Jarod Goff comfortable throwing to a healthy Cooper Kupp and Todd Gurley getting warmed up out of the backfield, these Rams are far too experienced at winning big games to fall to these Cleveland upstarts who are just beginning to find their traction, especially on national television.

How the Underdog Could Surprise the World

If you watched what the Cleveland Browns did to the New York Jets on Monday Night Football in Week 2 (Baker Mayfield was 19-of-35 for 325 yards and 1 touchdown with a pick and Odell Beckham had 6 catches for 161 yards and 1 touchdown), then you know that this team is talented enough to beat anyone, even the mighty Los Angeles Rams.

It won’t hurt that the game will be in front of a Cleveland home crowd dying for a win, especially after the Browns’ disappointing showing in Week 1 at home against the 1-1 Tennessee Titans.

The 1-1 Cleveland Browns will win this one against the traveling Rams because they have the talent on both sides of the ball to neutralize a slow-starting Gurley and to run with Nick Chubb past a banged-up Aaron Donald, proving all that off-season hype just might have legs after all.

7) Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers

How to Watch

What: Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers

When: Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 4:25 p.m. ET

Where: Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, California

How (TV): CBS

Why the Favored Team Will Win

The Los Angeles Chargers are favored by over a field goal in this one for several good reasons – two of them being they’re ranked better on offense (4th) and defense (17th) than the Texans (21st and 23rd) after two weeks of football.

Once again, quarterback Philip Rivers is quietly maintaining a top-ten spot among his peers by averaging 313 yards through the air per game along with 3 touchdowns and 2 picks and a completion percentage of 65.7.

The Chargers only lost to the Detroit Lions in Week 2 by a fourth quarter touchdown and after two penalty-negated and one fumble-negated touchdowns, or they’d be 2-0, so they are ust a few adjustments (and wins) away from being an AFC West factor.

How the Underdog Could Surprise the World

The Houston Texans almost beat the Saints in Week 1 and barely beat the Jaguars in Week 2, so they are the underdogs in this Week 3 matchup with the Chargers, but never underestimate the ability of quarterback Deshaun Watson to find the W.

Houston receiver DeAndre Hopkins is just getting started, so far tied for the 11th most catches in the league with 13 already, translating into 151 total yards and 2 touchdowns.

The most underestimated part of the Texans 21st ranked offense is their run game, especially since starting running back Lamar Miller tore his ACL in the preseason, but keep an eye on recently acquired running backs Carlos Hyde and Duke Johnson, both former Cleveland Browns with plenty of talent and ready to break out.

Point Spread:

SportsbookHOU Texans +3.5LA Chargers -3.5
888Sport NJ-114-107

Money Line

SportsbookHOU TexansLA Chargers
888Sport NJ+143-177

6) Denver Broncos at Green Bay Packers

How to Watch

What: Denver Broncos at Green Bay Packers

When: Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin

How (TV): FOX

Why the Favored Team Will Win

The Green Bay Packers put all doubts about their offense to rest in Week 2 against the Minnesota Vikings at home with quarterback Aaron Rodgers throwing for two touchdowns and running back Aaron Jones running for another.

Coordinator Mike Pettine’s defense continued to shine as it did in Week 1, holding the Vikings to 16 points and not allowing them to score in either the first or fourth quarters, which set the tone for the game and then put all thoughts of a comeback to rest.

This Packers team should easily take care of these Denver Broncos who have looked weak on both sides of the ball for two weeks, especially under center, where the displaced Joe Flacco is the eternal main man now that rookie quarterback Drew Lock has been place on injured reserve due to a preseason thumb injury.

How the Underdog Could Surprise the World

Okay, the 0-2 Denver Broncos have not won a game yet, but with a 9th ranked defense they don’t have to be all that great on offense (which they aren’t, ranked at 15th overall) to win a few games in 2019.

Maybe Flacco has looked a bit stiff in his first two weeks, but his numbers aren’t all that bad, completing 56-of-81 for a completion percentage of 69.1 and 560 total yards with 2 touchdowns and a pick.

One player that needs to step up if the Broncos are going to beat the Packers is running back Phillip Lindsay, who is only averaging 3.3 yards per carry these first two weeks, well below his career average of 5.2.

Point Spread:

SportsbookDEN Broncos +8GB Packers -8
888Sport NJ-110-110

Money Line

SportsbookDEN BroncosGB Packers
888Sport NJ+285-375

5) Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills

How to Watch

What: Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills

When: Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: New Era Field in Orchard Park, New York

How (TV): CBS

Why the Favored Team Will Win

It has been a while since the Buffalo Bills have been the favored team, but here they are in 2019 with a 6th ranked defense and a 9th ranked offense and a 2-0 record to their name.

The Bills should easily handle these Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday, a team that looks lost at best, pathetic at worst, so far 0-2 despite having an 11th ranked offense.

What will make this an easy win for second-year quarterback Josh Allen and his Bills is the Bengals’ 25th ranked defense, which has allowed opponents to score a total of 62 points, the fourth most in all the league.

How the Underdog Could Surprise the World

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton is ready for a breakout game – right now after two weeks of football he has the second most passing yards (729) in the league.

His main receiver, John Ross, currently leads the league in total reception yards (270 and is tied for the most passing touchdowns (3), so their passing attack has been effective (ranked 2nd).

It’s the Bengals rushing attack (last in the league) that has let them down, with starter Joe Mixon’s ankle now listed as questionable, so if they are going to beat the Buffalo Bills in Week 3, backup running back Giovani Bernard (13 rushes for 27 yards) definitely needs to step up and shine.

Point Spread:

SportsbookCIN Bengals +6BUF Bills -6
888Sport NJ-110-110

Money Line

SportsbookCIN BengalsBUF Bills
888Sport NJ+210-265

4) Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles

How to Watch

What: Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles

When: Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

How (TV): FOX

Why the Favored Team Will Win

The Philadelphia Eagles are pretty banged up, but that should not keep them from taking care of the 1-0-1 Detroit Lions, who have their own share of injuries with defensive end Austin Bryan and wide receiver Jermaine Kearse on injured reserve.

The biggest hits to the Eagles’ roster are with receivers DeSean Jackson (groin) and Alshon Jeffrey (calf) who are both listed as questionable for this Week 3 matchup.

But even if only Philadelphia’s second team played in this one they would still most likely win because the Lions’ 27th ranked defense will not be able to handle Carson Wentz’s unbelievable arm that is (incredibly) just as effective when he is less than an inch off his knees.

How the Underdog Could Surprise the World

The Detroit Lions’ second-year head coach Matt Patricia may be in a walking cast right now, but that doesn’t mean he considers himself handicapped (he’s still on the sidelines during games), or his team, for that matter, the Lions’ 8th ranked offense a big reason why.

Quarterback Matthew Stafford is ranked fifth among NFL quarterbacks after two weeks of play, posting 630 total passing yards with 5 touchdowns (T-4th most) and 2 interceptions.

A big game by outside linebacker Devon Kennard would certainly help the Lions beat the injured Eagles in Week 3, the big man already with 3.0 sacks (T-3rd most), 9 tackles and a fumble recovery.

Point Spread:

SportsbookDET Lions +7PHI Eagles -7
888Sport NJ-110-110

Money Line

SportsbookDET LionsPHI Eagles
888Sport NJ+250-305

3) Atlanta Falcons at Indianapolis Colts

How to Watch

What: Atlanta Falcons at Indianapolis Colts

When: Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana

How (TV): CBS

Current Point Spread

Falcons +2.5, Colts -2.5

Why the Favored Team Will Win

It would be a big mistake to underestimate these Indianapolis Colts just because they no longer have retired quarterback Andrew Luck under center.

Backup turned starting quarterback Jacoby Brissett has been doing the job decently, so far with 38 completions for 336 yards and 5 touchdowns (T-4th) with just 1 interception on the season, hooking up with speedy receiver T.Y. Hilton in Week 2 for an eventual game-winning fourth quarter touchdown pass.

And don’t forget the Colts’ defense, ranked 13th, with linebacker Darius Leonard leading the way, already with 18 tackles (one for loss), a sack, a pass defended and a quarterback hit.

How the Underdog Could Surprise the World

Anyone who watched the Atlanta Falcons beat the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday Night Football in Week 2 can imagine the same team beating these Luck-less Indianapolis Colts.

The big play in that game was receiver Julio Jones’ remarkable touchdown reception courtesy of two blocks, one by fellow receiver Mohamed Sanu and the other by pulling left tackle Jake Matthews.

The Falcons have plenty more of that magic if they can just stay healthy – and a win against these leaderless (for now) 1-1 Colts could remind the football world of just how dangerous quarterback Matt Ryan and his Falcon crew can be.

Point Spread:

SportsbookATL Falcons +2.5IND Colts -2.5
888Sport NJ-110-110

Money Line

SportsbookATL FalconsIND Colts
888Sport NJ+120-148

2) Oakland Raiders at Minnesota Vikings

How to Watch

What: Oakland Raiders at Minnesota Vikings

When: Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota

How (TV): FOX

Why the Favored Team Will Win

The Minnesota Vikings will win this matchup because they are the better team right now on both sides of the ball and they will be at home where they went 5-3 last season.

You can’t be blamed if you don’t trust Kirk Cousins under center yet, especially after he threw 2 picks last week to his one touchdown against rival Green Bay Packers and only completed 14-of-32 for a lousy completion percentage of 43.75.

But despite that, his Vikings are 1-1 and with on-fire running back Dalvin Cook will most likely add another win to that total at home against these up-and-mostly-down Oakland Raiders, a team that seems incapable of any kind of momentum under the dramatic leadership of head coach Jon Gruden.

How the Underdog Could Surprise the World

It is exactly that same Gruden-laced leadership that will get these 1-1 Oakland Raiders the win against the Vikings in Week 3, since he seems to be able to convince the world and anyone who will listen that he is still a viable NFL head coach.

Raiders’ quarterback Derek Carr needs to be more accurate with the ball (he threw 2 interceptions against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 2), but it didn’t help losing deep threat Antonio Brown before the season even started.

The big surprise for these Raiders is rookie running back Josh Jacobs, who has posted the fourth most total rushing yards in the league (184) and already has 2 touchdowns with zero fumbles.

Point Spread:

SportsbookOAK Raiders +8.5MIN Vikings -8.5
888Sport NJ-110-110

Money Line

SportsbookOAK RaidersMIN Vikings
888Sport NJ+280-375

1) Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs

How to Watch

What: Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs

When: Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri

How (TV): CBS

Check out our detailed article on the Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs here.

Why the Favored Team Will Win

The Kansas City Chiefs may have lost elite wide receiver Tyreek Hill for 4-6 weeks due to his collarbone injury, but they still have quarterback Patrick Mahomes, so therefore they are still favored to win.

Mahomes already has 821 yards of passing (1st in NFL) and 7 touchdowns (T-1st) but he also has zero interceptions, showing that the third-year quarterback also understands when not to throw the football.

The Chiefs have a 19th ranked defense, not stellar, but way better than last season when their defense was more in the basement, so expect them to make easy work of this undefeated Baltimore Ravens team that has yet to be tested this season by a proven winner.

How the Underdog Could Surprise the World:

The 2-0 Baltimore Ravens not only have a 2nd ranked defense, they also have the number one offense, so the only reason they are the underdogs in this matchup is that they have not beaten any playoff bound teams just yet.

That will change against the Kansas City Chiefs who do not have the defense to hold these RPO-heavy Ravens back.

Baltimore quarterback Lamar Jackson is having fun proving to the football world that not only can he run the ball but he can actually throw the football, too, so expect him to get busy with speedy rookie reciever Marquise “Hollywood” Brown and sneak by these deep-threat-less Kansas City Chiefs.

Point Spread:

SportsbookBAL Ravens +7KC Chiefs -7
888Sport NJ-112-109

Money Line

SportsbookBAL RavensKC Chiefs
888Sport NJ+240-305

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