Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers: Predictions and Odds (NFL Week 15)
Final score prediction: Packers 24, Bears 21.
How to Watch: Bears vs Packers
What: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers
When: Sunday, December 15 at 1:00 pm ET
Where: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin
How (TV): NFLN
Bears vs Packers – Point Spread
Bears +4.5, Packers -4.5
Chicago vs Green Bay – Game Preview
It’s Mitchell Trubisky’s 7-6 Chicago Bears, who are desperate for a win if they expect to snag an NFC Wild Card spot with so much competition, against Aaron Rodgers’ 10-3 division-leading Green Bay Packers, who right now are projected to be the 2nd NFC seed in the playoffs.
This will be the 200th time these two old divisional rivals have met, so let’s take a side-by-side look at how the Bears and the Packers measure up to each other for this Week 15 black and blue battle for dominance.
For more on Week 15, check out our latest NFL Week 15 Power Rankings.
The Packers are also Adam Forsyth’s best bet this week. To skip to Bears vs Packers go to 8:55.
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The 7-6-0 Chicago Bears
The Chicago Bears won a big game on last Thursday Night Football, beating the fluttering Dallas Cowboys by a score of 31-24, a game where the Bears’ Mitchell Trubisky began to look like an actual NFL quarterback, something his haters were beginning to doubt.
Another nice surprise in that one was Chicago’s rushing attack, which exceeded 150 yards (they typically average less than 85 yards on the ground per game), led by backup running back David Montgomery, who carried the ball 20 times for 86 yards, and Trubisky, who ran for 63 yards and a touchdown.
Fortunately, the Bears have a Top-10 defense, and they have been able to keep Chicago in many of the games that have started out slow offensively, and they will become a key factor in this Week 15 game against the Packers, a team whose quarterback has an excellent arm and whose running back gets plenty of yards after the initial hit.
The 10-3-0 Green Bay Packers
The Green Bay Packers might have instilled more confidence in their ability to get the job done easily against weaker opponents if they had won bigger over the failing Washington Redskins in Week 15, but they just managed to squeak out a win by a score of 20-15, and that was at home in Lambeau Field, no less.
Quarterback Aaron Rodgers is typically great, often good, but in this last one against the Skins, he was but mediocre, throwing for under 200 yards and a single touchdown but with no interceptions, numbers that seem light for such a heavy hitter as Rodgers has proven to be.
Having a career season out of the backfield is running back Aaron Jones, who put on a display in Week 15, running the ball 16 times for 134 yards and a touchdown while also catching 6 balls for another 58 yards, proving his dual-threat status is no joke.
Bears vs Packers – History
These two longtime NFC North rivals have met 199 total times (including 2 postseason games), with Chicago winning 95 of those times and Green Bay winning the other 98 games, along with 6 tied games.
The last time these two teams played was in the first game of this season back in September, when the Packers traveled to Soldier Field and barely beat the Bears by a relatively modest final score of 10-3.
If the Bears win this matchup, they’ll move to 8-6-0 and, though that won’t do much for their third-place standing in the NFC North, it would definitely help them in their postseason hunt, right now projected to be the 8th NFC playoff seed.
But if the Packers come out winners in this one, they’ll be 11-3-0 and stay leaders of the NFC North and the projected 2nd NFC playoff seed, the Minnesota Vikings right behind them with a 9-4 record going into Week 15.
Questions to Answer
Who’s favored to win this Week 15 Bears-Packers matchup?
Which team has a better offense? Defense? Special teams?
Which team’s quarterback is more likely to lead his team to victory?
We’re going to briefly compare the Bears and the Packers next and attempt to answer those questions and more.
Offensive Stats Comparison
Chicago Bears Overall Offense
- Ranked 29th overall in 2019
- Passing attack currently ranked 28th
- Rushing attack currently ranked 29th
Let’s face it, the Chicago Bears are not that strong on offense (only two teams are weaker right now) and that’s mainly because their franchise quarterback, Mitchell Trubisky, has taken an awfully long time (emphasis on the ‘awful’) to prove he’s NFL worthy this season.
The Bears move the ball less than 290 yards and score less than 19 points per game, something that can only work if your defense is as strong as the Bears have been, although that’s asking a lot of any defense, even one as talented as Chicago’s.
Chicago’s offense could take several hits in Week 15 due to injury, with tight end Ben Braunecker (concussion), wide receivers Taylor Gabriel (concussion) and Javon Wims (knee) and offensive tackle Bobby Massie (ankle) all listed as questionable.
Green Bay Packers Overall Offense
- Ranked 23rd overall in 2019
- Passing attack currently ranked 16th
- Rushing attack currently ranked 17th
Must be nice to have an eventual Hall-of-Fame quarterback under center, which the Green Bay Packers have in Aaron Rodgers, who is having an okay season (for him), right now ranked 11th among quarterbacks with 3,260 total passing yards for 23 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions.
Green Bay’s offense does get in the endzone, however, averaging almost 24 points per game, which has led to double-digit wins and an almost certain spot in the playoffs, with star playmakers Davante Adams and Aaron Jones having seasons to remember.
Week 15 is going to be extra challenging for the Green Bay offense, since many of their key players are listed as questionable, including wide receiver Geronimo Allison (knee), tight end Jimmy Graham (wrist), fullback Danny Vitale (calf) and guard Billy Turner (knee).
As long as the Green Bay Packers have a fairly healthy Aaron Rodgers under center, they will have the offensive advantage over most teams, especially the Chicago Bears at this point, whose quarterback is still having to prove he even belongs in the league.
Defensive Stats Comparison
Chicago Bears Overall Defense
- Ranked 10th overall in 2019
- Passing defense currently ranked 13th
- Rushing defense currently ranked 7th
This is where the Chicago Bears start to get competitive, on the defensive side of the ball, where they are ranked in the top ten overall after allowing opponents to gain just 326 yards and score under 18 points per game.
At this point, football fans know all about Bears’ outside linebacker Khalil Mack (he’s got 7.5 sacks, 5 forced fumbles, and 41 total tackles) but also check out defensive tackle Nick Williams, who has 6.0 sacks of his own, 2 fumble recoveries and 34 total tackles on the season.
The Bears may have to play this one without some key players on defense, with defensive end Roy Robertons-Harris (foot) and linebacker Danny Trevathan (elbow) listed as questionable for Week 15, and both will be game-time decisions.
Green Bay Packers Overall Defense
- Ranked 22nd overall in 2019
- Passing defense currently ranked 21st
- Rushing defense currently ranked 25th
The Packers’ defense started out strong this season, and then slowly started to get mediocre, right now ranked 22nd overall after allowing opponents to gain almost 370 yards and score almost 21 points per game.
Of course, there are many bright spots on coordinator Mike Pettine’s defensive squad, including the Smith Brothers (no relation), linebacker Preston Smith, who has 11.5 tackles, an interception, and a forced fumble, and linebacker Za’Darius Smith, who has 10 sacks, a forced fumble, and 46 total tackles.
Unfortunately, Green Bay may have to play the Bears without cornerback Kevin King, who right now is listed questionable for Sunday with an injury to his shoulder and he will be a game-time decision in Week 15.
The Chicago Bears are the better team on defense and will have the advantage on Sunday, although that does not mean that Trubisky will be safe from the Smith Brothers and their quarterback-hunting pals.
Bears vs Packers – Final Game Analysis
Why Will the Bears Win this Game?
The Chicago Bears can win this one if Mitchell Trubisky can continue his ongoing improvement to the next level, something that is entirely possible against the Packers’ pass defense, right now ranked in the bottom third of the league in effectiveness.
The Bears will need another big day from Montgomery out of the backfield, and from Tarik Cohen, too, for that matter, whose ability to run and catch the ball can turn a game around (and this is the game to do that in!).
The Chicago Bears are talented – and their strong defense is going to keep them in this one to the very end, but then it will be up to their placekicker, Eddy Pineiro, to tie the game and it will be his big moment to prove that he is worth keeping around.
Why Will the Packers Win this Game?
To win this one, the Green Bay Packers will need to put a tremendous amount of pressure on Trubisky and force him to panic, scramble and make errors (and throw interceptions), which is basically how he was playing football this season up until recently.
Plus, Aaron Rodgers will have to have a big game (275+ passing yards, 2+ touchdowns, 0 picks) against a strong defense because chances are the Packers’ defense is going to allow the Bears to score a few touchdowns.
Green Bay will win this one because they are playing in Lambeau Field, where they are 6-1, and those hometown fans truly hate the Bears and hate Trubisky and the Windy City, and they will do their very best to make it loud and impossible for Chicago throughout all sixty minutes of play.
Bears vs Packers – Who Will Win?
The Green Bay Packers will win this one by a field goal because they are the better team and they have no time for any losses to the Bears this season – not when they’re out to get their Rodgers another ring.
The Green Men of WSN’s Picks and Best Bets Podcast predict the Green Bay Packers will win this one.
My prediction for the final score is Packers 24, Bears 21.
Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Odds