Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants: Predictions and Odds (NFL Week 9)
This game goes to the Cowboys by almost 2 touchdowns. Final score: Cowboys 33, Giants 20.
How to Watch: Cowboys vs Giants
What: Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants
When: Monday Night Football, November 4 at 8:15 pm ET
Where: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey
How (TV): ESPN
Latest point spread: Cowboys -7.5, Giants +7.5
Dak Prescott’s Cowboys are well-rested coming off a bye week that followed their Week 7 spanking of the Philadelphia Eagles at home, while the Giants are still sore from their Week 8 loss to the Detroit Lions despite a four-touchdown day from quarterback Daniel Jones.
Both of these teams are hoping to move up a win in their division, though only one of them looks worthy of the postseason, so let’s take a quick look at how they measure up against each other for their Week 9 Monday night meeting.
For more on Week 9 watch our video on NFL Week 9 – Picks & Best Bets.
The 4-3-0 Dallas Cowboys
This one seems like a given for these NFC East-leading Dallas Cowboys, as compared to the Giants they lead in just about every statistical category except sacks and picks, and that could very well change come Monday night.
Dak Prescott’s passing offense is on fire (it’s ranked 3rd best in the league right now), good news against a Giants team that ranks near the bottom of the barrel against the pass, and Ezekiel Elliott should fare as well in the run game since New York is at the bottom third of the league defending against the run.
And then when you add in the Cowboys’ top-ten defense (though one of their best players, Leighton Vander Esch has a sore neck and is listed as questionable, see below), this game looks like it could get out of control quickly.
For more on the Cowboys check out also: “Dallas Cowboys Posteason Odds 2019-2020“.
The 2-6-0 New York Giants
Fine, the New York Giants lost last week to the Lions, but there was a huge bright spot in that loss – their rookie quarterback Daniel Jones threw for four touchdowns and proved he is capable (and ready) to take over under center full time for New York.
Even Saquon Barkley caught a Week 8 touchdown pass, reminding the Giants (and the football world) that they have one of the top dual-threat running backs in the league playing for them, a good thing to have against a Cowboys team that struggles a bit covering backs in the passing game.
The big problem for the Giants right now is that their defense is letting opponents score over 27 points per game while their offense is only averaging less than 20, so both sides of the ball will have to step up on Monday night against a Cowboys team that’s powerful both ways.
For more on the Giants, read also: “New York Giants 2019-2020 Postseason“.
What’s at Stake for Cowboys vs Giants?
These two divisional rivals have met 115 total times (including 1 postseason game), with Dallas winning 67 of those times and New York winning the other 46 games, as well as two tied ballgames.
Their most recent matchup was earlier this season in September when the Giants traveled to Arlington, Texas to get beat by the Cowboys 17-35.
If the Cowboys come out winners in this one, they’ll go to 5-3-0 and remain atop the NFC East at least a game ahead of the Philadelphia Eagles, who enter Week 9 with a 4-4 record.
But if the Giants win this matchup, they’ll move to 3-6-0 and though that doesn’t exactly put them in the NFC East playoff race just yet, it does keep them ahead of the one-win Washington Redskins.
Questions to Answer
Who’s favored to win this Week 9 Cowboys-Giants matchup?
Which team has a better offense? Defense? Special teams?
Which team’s quarterback is more likely to lead his team to victory?
We’re going to briefly compare the Cowboys and the Giants next and attempt to answer those questions and more.
Check out also our latest Super Bowl LIV Odds and Predictions.
Offensive Stats Comparison
Dallas Cowboys Overall Offense
- Ranked 22nd overall in 2018
- Ranked 1st overall in 2019
Passing attack: The Dallas Cowboys have the 3rd ranked passing offense in the league right now, averaging 291.9 yards per game through the air after eight weeks.
Quarterback Dak Prescott is currently under center in Dallas and ranked the 11th most productive passer in the league having completed 168-of-238 passes for 2,123 yards and 12 touchdowns with 7 interceptions and a completion percentage of 70.6.
The Cowboys’ leading receiver after eight weeks is Amari Cooper, who is currently ranked 9th in the league with 38 catches for 621 yards and 5 touchdowns.
Rushing attack: The Cowboys’ rushing attack is ranked 4th in the NFL after averaging 146.0 yards on the ground per game.
Ezekiel Elliott is the Cowboys’ best runner and he is currently the 7th best in the NFL with 135 carries for 602 yards and 6 rushing touchdowns, averaging 4.5 yards per carry.
Dallas has scored 190 total points this season, or 27.1 per game, which is the 6th best total in the NFL.
Dallas Offensive Injuries
Listed as questionable for Week 9: offensive tackle Tyron Smith (ankle), offensive tackles La’el Collins (knee – MCL), Cameron Fleming (calf) and Tyron Smith (ankle) and offensive guard Zack Martin (back).
Injury notes: wide receiver Noah Brown (knee) is listed as PUP-R, while wide receivers Jon’Vea Johnson (shoulder) and Lance Lenoir (knee) and guards Connor McGovern (pectoral) and Cody Wichmann (calf) have been placed on injured reserve.
The Dallas Cowboys will play the Bills this Thanksgiving. Check out which are the other Thanksgiving Day Game matchups.
New York Giants Overall Offense
- Ranked 17th overall in 2018
- Ranked 24th overall in 2019
Passing attack: New York has the 17th best passing attack in the league right now after averaging 231.4 yards through the air each game.
Quarterback Daniel Jones is the 24th most productive NFL passer after completing 135-of-216 passes for 1,466 yards and 10 touchdowns with 7 interceptions and a completion percentage of 62.5.
The Giants’ best receiver is currently tight end Evan Engram, who has caught 38 passes for 419 yards with 3 touchdowns in eight weeks, ranked 37th among NFL receivers right now.
Rushing attack: New York has the 17th ranked rushing attack, so far averaging 102.4 yards on the ground per game.
Saquon Barkley is the Giants’ best runner and now he is the 21st most productive in the NFL with 74 carries for 373 yards and 2 touchdowns, averaging 5.0 yards per carry.
New York has scored 158 points in 2019, averaging 19.8 per game, which is currently the 22nd highest scoring average in the NFL.
New York Offensive Injuries
Listed as questionable for Week 9: wide receiver Sterling Shepard (concussion)
Injury notes: wide receivers Corey Coleman (knee – ACL), Amba Etta-Tawo (Achilles) and Russell Shepard (foot), tight end Isaiah Searight (hamstring) and offensive tackle George Asafo-Adjei (concussion) have been placed on injured reserve.
Right now, the Dallas Cowboys have the number one total offense in the league, so they automatically get the offensive advantage over the Giants in this one.
Defensive Stats Comparison
Dallas Cowboys Overall Defense
- Ranked 7th overall in 2018
- Ranked 8th overall in 2019
Pass coverage: The Cowboys have the 9th best pass defense in 2019 so far, allowing opponents to throw for 228.0 yards through the air per game.
Dallas’s defense has 3 team interceptions and they have 17 sacks total.
Run coverage: The Cowboys are the 12th best NFL team against the run right now after allowing opponents to run for 96.9 yards per game.
Dallas has allowed their opponents to score 124 total points, or 17.7 per game, which is the 7th fewest in the NFL.
Cowboys Defensive Players to Watch
There are plenty of great tacklers playing for the Cowboys worth watching, like middle linebacker Jaylon Smith, who has 56 total tackles (3 for a loss), 2.0 sacks, 2 quarterback hits, and 2 forced fumbles.
Cowboys defensive end Robert Quinn leads the team in sacks with 6.0, plus 7 quarterback hits, 3 passes defended and 11 total tackles (6 for a loss).
Make sure to scan the Cowboys’ secondary for talented cornerback Chidobe Awuzie, who has an interception and 7 passes defended, a fumble recovery and 33 total tackles.
Cowboys Defensive Injuries
Listed as questionable for Week 9: cornerback Anthony Brown (hamstring) and linebacker Leighton Vander Esch (neck).
Injury notes: defensive end Randy Gregory (suspension) is listed as OUT, while defensive end Jalen Jelks (undisclosed), defensive tackles Daniel Ross (shoulder) and Tyrone Crawford (hip), cornerback Chris Westry (undisclosed) and safety Kavon Frazier (pectoral) have been placed on injured reserve.
New York Giants Overall Defense
- Ranked 24th overall in 2018
- Ranked 28th overall in 2019
Pass coverage: The Giants’ defense is 25th best against the pass, allowing their opponents to throw for an average of 264.4 yards per matchup.
New York’s defense has 7 interceptions on opposing quarterbacks and they have 22 total sacks after eight weeks.
Run coverage: The Giants are 22nd best against a rushing attack, allowing opponents to run for an average of 122.4 yards per game.
New York has allowed its opponents to score 218 total points this season, or 27.2 per matchup, which is 27th fewest (or 6th most) in the NFL.
Giants Defensive Players to Watch
The best tackler on the Giants’ defense so far this season has been free safety Antoine Bethea, who has 58 total tackles, a pass defended and a fumble recovery.
Check out New York’s linebacker Markus Golden, who has 5.5 total sacks, 13 quarterback hits, a forced fumble and a fumble recovery that led to a touchdown and 34 total tackles (4 for a loss).
With the league’s second-most interceptions is Giants’ cornerback Janoris Jenkins, who has 4, plus 14 passes defended and 35 total tackles.
Giants Defensive Injuries
Listed as questionable for Week 9: cornerback Corey Ballentine (concussion)
Injury notes: defensive end Nate Harvey (knee), linebackers Ryan Connelly (knee – ACL) and Kareem Martin (knee) and cornerbacks Sam Beal (hamstring), Henre’ Toliver (undisclosed) and Ronald Zamort (ankle) and safeties Kenny Ladler (undisclosed) and Mark McLaurin (foot) have been placed on injured reserve.
The Dallas Cowboys are just plain better on defense (though the Giants do currently have more sacks and picks than them) so the Cowboys will have the defensive advantage on Monday night.
Special Teams Stats Comparison
Dallas’ veteran punter, Chris Jones, is in his ninth NFL season, all with the Cowboys, and this year he has punted 22 times for a net average of 38.8 yards per punt, which was the 33rd best in the league.
New York’s punter, Riley Dixon, is in his fourth NFL season and he has punted 31 times so far this season for a net average of 41.3 yards per punt, which is the 24th best in the league.
Dallas’ placekicker, Brett Maher, is in his second NFL season, both with the Cowboys.
Maher has made 10-of-14 field goals in 2019, his longest a 63 yarder, and so far, he has missed no extra point attempts (22/22).
New York’s placekicker, Aldrick Rosas, is in his 3rd NFL season, all with the Giants.
Rosas has made 4-of-6 field goals this year, his longest a 36-yarder, and he has missed one extra point attempt (18/19).
Dallas’ main punt returner, wide receiver Tavon Austin, is in his seventh NFL season, his second with the Cowboys.
Austin has returned 7 punts for 26 yards and 0 touchdowns this year, averaging 4.6 yards per return.
New York’s punt returner is often wide receiver Golden Tate, who is currently ranked 2nd in average punt return yardage.
Tate has returned 2 punts for 34 yards, averaging 17.0 yards per return, his longest for 17 yards.
Special Teams Advantage
The Cowboys have a placekicker who can make a 63-yard field goal and who hasn’t missed an extra point attempt all season, so Dallas has the special teams advantage over the Giants on Sunday.
Final Game Analysis
Why Will the Cowboys Win this Game?
The Dallas Cowboys are superior to the Giants in just about every category, so they will win this game if they play their brand of football (a hard run game with the threat of deep passes) and keep from making mistakes like penalties and turnovers that give New York a chance.
Prescott is going to have a big game through the air and get into the end zone a bunch using Amari Cooper and Jason Witten, and the same goes with Elliott because the Giants won’t be able to slow down all of those fast and hard-hitting targets.
The Cowboys will win this one because it’s a divisional game that they need in order to position themselves better in the postseason, so expect them to be pros and get the job done in front of a national audience and Jerry Jones.
Why Will the Giants Win this Game?
New York will win this game if they can get to Dak Prescott and force him to scramble and make some ill-advised throws, something he’s been forced into in the past but not so much lately.
The Giants would also have to shut down Ezekiel Elliott and force the Cowboys into depending too heavily on the pass, which is easier to defend if you know it’s coming.
Daniel Jones would have to play the kind of game he did last week (his passer rating was 124.2) if the Giants expect to win this one, and he might be more capable of doing that against a team like the Cowboys on Monday because it’s in front of a hometown New Jersey crowd known for their 12th man help.
The Dallas vs Giants Game Goes To
Dallas Cowboys by almost two touchdowns – there’s no way this shaky Giants team can measure up to a postseason-bound team like the Cowboys.
John Breech of CBS Sports predicts the score as Cowboys 34, Giants 24.
My prediction for the final score is Cowboys 33, Giants 20.
Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants – Game Odds