Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks: Predictions and Odds (NFL Week 5)
My prediction for the final score is Seahawks 34, Rams 31.
How to Watch: Rams vs Seahawks
What: Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks
When: Thursday Night Football, October 3 at 8:20 p.m. ET
Where: CenturyLink Field in Seattle, Washington
How (TV): NFLN
Latest point spread: Rams +2, Seahawks -2
The Rams are coming off a disappointing Week 4 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by a score of 55-40 whereas the Seahawks are flying high after beating the luckless Arizona Cardinals, 27-10.
This first matchup will decide which of these two teams will stay atop the NFC West and which will have to spend time eating the other’s dust, so we take a quick look at how each of these two teams are set up for their Week 5 matchup.
The 3-1-0 Los Angeles Rams
The Los Angeles Rams are looking vulnerable these days, barely winning over the Cleveland Browns in Week 3 and getting smoked by the questionable Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 15 points in Week 4.
The good news for Rams fans is that running back Todd Gurley looks healthy and productive after four games, especially when balanced with Malcolm Brown, the hard hitter that shares time in the backfield with Gurley and who is proving his worth this season already.
With talented (and now healthy) receiver Cooper Kupp back on the field and a defense that includes arguably the best player in the league, tackle Aaron Donald, this Rams team looks to be on its way back to the postseason if it can get past these pesky Seahawks.
The 3-1-0 Seattle Seahawks
Head coach Pete Carroll chews gum like his team produces – often and with enviable talent and energy.
Quarterback Russell Wilson has been paid and he is playing like it, his numbers ranking him in the top-10 of his peers and with a completion percentage of 72.9 that is tied for second best among active quarterbacks.
With a defense ranked 8th in the league and an offense that’s scored the 8th most points in the NFL so far (103), these Seahawks have a more than decent chance of coming away with a Week 5 win in front of their boisterous hometown crowd.
What’s at Stake
These two teams have met 42 total times (including 1 postseason game), with Seattle winning 23 of those games and Los Angeles winning 19 times.
The Rams won both matchups against the Seahawks last season, in October (33-31) and in November (36-31).
If the Rams win this matchup, they’ll move to 4-1-0 and stay atop the NFC West, something that’s been expected of them until they almost lost to the Cleveland Browns in Week 3 and fell to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 4.
But if the Seahawks come out on top, then they’ll move to 4-1-0 and suddenly the NFC West gets very interesting because now this forces the Rams to start playing catch up.
Questions to Answer
Who’s favored to win this Week 5 Rams-Seahawks matchup?
Which team has a better offense? Defense? Special teams?
Which team’s quarterback is more likely to lead his team to victory?
We’re going to briefly compare the Rams and the Seahawks next and attempt to answer those questions and more.
Offensive Stats Comparison
Los Angeles Rams Overall Offense
- Ranked 2nd overall in 2018
- Ranked 7th overall in 2019
Passing attack: The Los Angeles Rams have the 4th best passing game in the NFL right now, averaging 298.0 yards per game through the air.
Jared Goff is currently ranked as the 3rd best quarterback in the league, now with 101 completions for 1,254 yards and 6 touchdowns with 6 picks.
The Rams’ leading receiver after four games is Cooper Kupp, who has 32 catches for 388 yards and 3 touchdowns, currently ranked 2nd among all NFL receivers.
Rushing attack: The Rams’ rushing attack is the 22nd best in the NFL after averaging 99.8 yards on the ground each game.
Running back Todd Gurley is averaging 4.5 yards per carry, ranked 20th among backs, so far with 49 total touches for 219 yards and 3 touchdowns, also with 11 receptions for 62 yards and no touchdowns.
Los Angeles has scored 117 total points this season, or 29.2 per game, which is the 6th best total in the league right now.
Los Angeles Offensive Injuries
Listed as questionable for Week 5: currently no offensive Rams players are listed as questionable.
Injury notes: wide receiver Alex Bachman (undisclosed) has been placed on injured reserve.
Seattle Seahawks Overall Offense
- Ranked 18th overall in 2018
- Ranked 13th overall in 2019
Passing attack: Seattle has the 11th ranked passing attack right now after averaging 266.2 yards through the air each game.
Quarterback Russell Wilson has done a decent job so far in 2019, having completed 97 passes for 285.2 yards and 8 touchdowns with no interceptions.
The Seahawks’ best receiver is currently Tyler Lockett, who has pulled in 26 passes for 328 yards and 2 touchdowns in four weeks.
Rushing attack: Seattle has the 16th ranked rushing attack right now, averaging 111.5 yards per game.
Chris Carson is the Seahawks’ best runner and currently the 12th best back in the league with 67 carries for 262 yards and a touchdown, averaging just 3.9 yards per carry and with 14 catches for 100 yards and 1 touchdown on the season.
Seattle has scored 103 points in 2019, averaging 25.8 per game, which is the 9th best total in the league.
Seattle Offensive Injuries
Listed as questionable for Week 5: offensive tackle Duane Brown (biceps) and guards Mike Iupati (foot) and Ethan Pocic (back).
Injury notes: guard Phil Haynes (sports hernia) is listed as PUP-R, while guard Jordan Simmons (knee), running back Adam Choice (undisclosed), tight ends Ed Dickson (knee) and Justin Johnson (Achilles) and offensive tackle Demetrius Knox (knee) have been placed on injured reserve.
The Los Angeles Rams are across the board the better offense right now, and even in Seattle they will have an advantage over the home team in Week 5.
Defensive Stats Comparison
Los Angeles Rams Overall Defense
- Ranked 19th overall in 2018
- Ranked T-10th overall in 2019
Pass coverage: The Rams have the 15th best pass coverage this year, allowing 238.5 yards through the air against them per game.
Los Angeles’s defense has 4 team interceptions and they have 10 total sacks.
Run coverage: The Rams are the 9th best team against the run right now, allowing opponents to rush for 91.8 yards per game.
Los Angeles has allowed their opponents to score 104 total points, or 26 per game, which is ranked 26th least in the NFL (or 7th most).
Rams Defensive Players to Watch
The Rams have a strong safety who loves to tackle – John Johnson, who already has 37 total tackles, also has 2 interceptions and 4 passes defended.
Recently acquired outside linebacker Clay Matthews is performing already, with 5.0 sacks to his name along with 14 tackles and 2 forced fumbles.
Inside linebacker Cory Littleton is worth looking out for, so far, he has an interception, 7 passes defended, a forced fumble and a recovered fumble plus 34 total tackles.
Rams Defensive Injuries
Listed as questionable for Week 5: linebacker Bryce Hager (shoulder) and safety Taylor Rapp (ankle).
Injury notes: linebackers Josh Carraway (Achilles), Micah Kiser (pectoral) and Justin Lawler (foot) have been placed on injured reserve.
Seattle Seahawks Overall Defense
- Ranked 16th overall in 2018
- Ranked 8th overall in 2019
Pass coverage: The Seahawks’ defense is 16th against the pass, allowing opponents to throw for an average of 239.5 yards per game after four weeks.
Seattle’s defense has 2 interceptions on opposing quarterbacks and they have 10 total sacks after four games.
Run coverage: The Seahawks are 6th best against the run, allowing opponents to rush for an average of 79.5 yards per game.
Seattle has allowed their opponents to score 89 total points this season, or 22.2 per game, which is 15th least in the NFL.
Seahawks Defensive Players to Watch
The third best tackler in the NFL right now plays for the Seattle Seahawks, and that’s middle linebacker Bobby Wagner, who has 45 total tackles on the season so far.
The biggest threat to opposing quarterbacks on the Seahawks defense has been defensive end Rasheem Green, who has recorded 2.0 sacks this season and has recovered a fumble.
You gotta watch outside linebacker Jadeveon Clowney, he has an interception for a touchdown this season, plus 4 passes defended, a sack and six tackles.
Seahawks Defensive Injuries
Listed as questionable for Week 5: defensive end Quinton Jefferson (hip).
Injury notes: defensive tackle DeMarcus Christmas (back) is listed as PUP-R, defensive tackle Jarran Reed (suspension) is listed as OUT, while defensive tackle Nazair Jones (knee), linebacker Emmanuel Ellerbee (undisclosed), cornerbacks Jeremy Boykins (undisclosed) and Kalan Reed (neck) have been placed on injured reserve.
Neither of these teams has a shabby defense, but statistically, the Seattle Seahawks will have the edge over the Los Angeles Rams in Week 5.
Special Teams Stats Comparison
Los Angeles’ punter, Johnny Hekker, is in his ninth NFL season, fifth with the Rams, and this season he has punted 10 times for a net average of 36.3 yards per punt, which is the 35th best in the league.
Seattle’s punter, Michael Dickson, is in his second NFL season, both with the Seahawks, and this year he has punted 20 times for a net average of 39.9 yards per punt, 29th best in the NFL.
Los Angeles’ placekicker, Greg Zuerlein, is in his ninth NFL season, his fifth with the Rams.
Zuerlein is 9-of-11 so far this season, his longest a 58-yarder, and he has missed zero extra point attempts (12/12).
Seattle’s placekicker Jason Myers is in his fifth NFL season, his first with the Seahawks.
Myers is 2-for-3 this season, his longest a 33-yarder, and he has missed no extra point attempts (13/13).
Los Angeles’ punt returner, wide receiver JoJo Natson, is ranked 10th in average punt return yardage this year.
Natson has returned 6 punts for 61 yards, averaging 10.2 yards per return, his longest for 32 yards.
Seattle’s punt returner, wide receiver Tyler Lockett, is ranked 37th in punt return average in 2019.
Lockett has returned 7 punts for 19 yards and no touchdowns, averaging 2.7 yards per return, his longest for 10 yards.
Special Teams Advantage
The Rams’ placekicker and punter seem to have bigger legs’ than the Seahawks’ kickers, advantage Los Angeles.
Final Game Analysis
Why Will the Rams Win this Game?
The Los Angeles Rams will win this Week matchup because that is typically what they do against the Seahawks, their last three meetings ending up with wins for the Rams.
The Rams got offensively blown out by the Bucs in Week 4, who scored a season-high 55 points against them, so expect their defense (especially the recently rather quite Aaron Donald) to put on a show in Seattle.
Los Angeles is Super Bowl bound again, at least their built for that, so they will beat the Seahawks (Goff and McVay will see to it through audibles and a balanced rushing attack) and be well on their way.
Why Will the Seahawks Win this Game?
The Seattle Seahawks are easy to underestimate, especially against the ‘almighty’ Rams, but they are a good team this year (and most others, truth be told).
The Seahawks have a top-10 quarterback in Wilson and a top-12 running back in Carson with a top-10 receiver pulling down footballs in Lockett, so they have legitimate playmaking potential on their roster.
Seattle has already lost a home game this season (against New Orleans in Week 3) so they will be ready and able to demonstrate to their home crowd in Week 5 that they can win the big games, and there is no bigger game on their schedule than this Week 5 battle against the Rams.
This Game Goes to the
Seattle Seahawks by a field goal because they are on a roll, at home and the Los Angels Rams are (temporarily?) beatable.
John Breech of CBS Sports predicts the score as Seahawks 34, Rams 31.
My prediction for the final score is the same, Seahawks 34, Rams 31.
Current Odds Listed for Week 5: Rams vs Seahawks
|Sportsbook||LA Rams||SEA Seahawks|
|Sportsbook||LA Rams +1.5||SEA Seahawks -1.5|
|Sportsbook||Over 49.5||Under 49.5|