NFL Picks Week 7: Picks Against the Spread, Predictions and Odds

After six weeks of professional football, only two undefeated NFL teams remain, the defending Super Bowl Champion 6-0 New England Patriots and the questionably challenged 5-0 San Francisco 49ers, with only two entirely defeated teams, the AFC 0-5-ers (Miami Dolphins and Cincinnati Bengals), still competing.

In Week 6, the Kansas City Chiefs took a tough loss to the Houston Texans and the Pittsburgh Steelers finally found a tough win against a fading L.A. Chargers, while the Cleveland Browns seemed content to give away a huge lead in their sad defeat to a scrambling Russell Wilson and his now one-loss Seattle Seahawks.

Check out also: Power Rankings Week 7.

Bye Week 7

The following four teams have a Week 7 bye:

  1. Carolina Panthers
  2. Cleveland Browns
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  4. Pittsburgh Steelers

There are some important games to watch in the upcoming NFL weekend (and a couple of duds to fast forward through), so here’s a quick take on each of Week 7’s top ten best NFL matchups.

Good luck!

10) 4-2 Kansas City Chiefs at 2-4 Denver Broncos

How to Watch

What: Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

When: Thursday Night Football, October 17, 2019, at 8:20 p.m. ET

Where: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado

How (TV): NFLN

Check out our detailed article on the Chiefs vs Broncos here!

Early Odds 

Point Spread: Chiefs -3, Broncos +3

Money Line: Chiefs -190, Broncos +155

All odds are provided by DraftKings. Find more odds on their sportsbook – DraftKings.

Chiefs vs Broncos Rivalry

This traditional AFC West rivalry has happened 118 times already (but only one of those games was in the postseason), with their last two matchups happening during the fall of the 2018 season and both ending in a Chiefs’ win by scores of 27-23 on October 1 and a score of 30-23 on October 28th.

Why the Kansas City Chiefs Will Win

The Kansas City Chiefs will do on Sunday exactly what they’ve been doing the previous seven times they have played the Denver Broncos, and that is to beat them in a football game, something they have made happen on a yearly basis since way back in 2015.

The Chiefs are coming off their second home loss in a row, so the slightly hobbled Patrick Mahomes and company will be looking to make up for that on the road in Denver against a Broncos team that’s still not even sure if their starting quarterback is going to work out.

Oh, and the Chiefs will win because receiver Tyreek Hill is mostly healthy and starting again, and Hill is one of those playmakers who can turn a game around all by himself (on a throw from his head-turning or not-turning quarterback, of course).

Pick Against the Spread: Why the Broncos Will Win

The 2-4 Denver Broncos have won their last two games in a row, so they are apparently figuring out how to use newly acquired quarterback Joe “Former Super Bowl MVP” Flacco under their center.

The Broncos will win this one because that gelling offense will be facing a far better defense than the Chiefs have, with Denver’s defense now ranked 4th in the league and Kansas City’s at 28th (in other words, currently only four teams are worse).

On average, Denver allows opponents to score 17.7 points per game while Kansas City lets whomever they’re playing score about 24 points every time, so the Broncos could win if Flacco can rise up on offense while the D keeps the Chiefs to under 20 in this one.

Read also: The AFC West 2019-2020 NFL Season.

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9) 5-0 San Francisco 49ers at 1-5 Washington Redskins

How to Watch

What: San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins

When: Sunday, October 20, 2019, at 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: FedEx Field in Prince George’s County, Maryland

How (TV): FOX

Early Odds

Point Spread: 49ers -9.5, Redskins +9.5

Money Line: 49ers -420, Redskins +325

49ers vs Redskins Rivalry

This NFC matchup has happened 32 times before this one (including 4 postseason games), with the 49ers winning 20 of them and the Redskins winning 11 times, with one tie ballgame also happening.

Why the San Francisco 49ers Will Win

Seeing as how the San Francisco 49ers have won as many games this season as the Washington Redskins have lost (that would be five, either way), it’s difficult to imagine how this Week 7 NFC matchup could end in any other way than a big west coast win.

The 49ers had an early bye week this season, and have since come out swinging, easily taking down the Cleveland Browns in Week 5, 31-3, and then beating their divisional rivals, the Los Angeles Rams, by a score of 20-7 in Week 6.

San Francisco will win this one because their defensive line is unstoppable at stopping opponents and sacking quarterbacks and they will get after whomever the Redskins decide to start under center.

Pick Against the Spread: Why the Redskins Will Win

Sure, the Washington Redskins are under new management since head coach Jay Gruden was just fired, but interim fill-in main man Bill Callahan is already 1-0 on the season after leading his newly acquired Redskins to their first 2019 win against the hapless Miami Dolphins, 17-16.

The Redskins could beat the 49ers if their 25th ranked run game can find some holes in the defense worth running through, with running backs Adrian Peterson and Chris Thompson double-threating big enough to help Case Keenum’s passing game.

Speaking of which, the Redskins can win if they choose a starting quarterback and stick to him, which worked in Week 6 when Case Keenum completed 13-of-25 for 166 yards and two touchdowns with zero interceptions in his teams’ accidental win over the pathetic Dolphins.

For more on the Redskins read also: Washington Redskins 2019-2020 Postseason Odds.

8) 6-0 New England Patriots at 1-4 New York Jets

How to Watch

What: New England Patriots at New York Jets

When: Monday Night Football, October 21, 2019, at 8:15 p.m. ET

Where: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey

How (TV): ESPN

Early Odds

Point Spread: Patriots -10, Jets +10

Money Line: Patriots -455, Jets +350

Patriots vs Jets Rivalry

This AFC East divisional rivalry has been going on forever, happening 121 previous times already with the Patriots coming out on top in 66 of those games and the Jets winning 54 of them with 1 tie game happening, too.

Why the Patriots Will Win

The New England Patriots will win this matchup with the New York Jets because they are in their special place, where their defense and offense are both totally doing their jobs while their special teams are dealing with a fill-in (but veteran) placekicker ad surviving.

Good luck beating GOAT quarterback Tom Brady and his arsenal of targets (Josh Gordon and Julian Edelman) while their two-headed rushing attack (Sony Michel and James White) kill you on the ground and even through the air with their yard-gaining ability to run big after each catch.

The Patriots will win this one because their offensive line is better and their defense is currently the best overall and that upcoming win becomes fact once you add to that head coach Bill Belichick’s uncanny ability to spot his weekly opponent’s major strength and game plan around how to completely neutralize it for four entire quarters.

Pick Against the Spread: Why the Jets Will Win

The New York Jets look completely revitalized after their Week 6 win over the Dallas Cowboys by a score of 24-22, the Jets’ first 2019 victory a giant shock to the football world and Cowboys’ fans alike (and probably Jets fans, too, if they’re honest).

The Jets finally have their second-year quarterback Sam Darnold back in the lineup after he had to sit out for a few weeks with an enlarged spleen (caused by his mono) that if hit hard could have ended not just his career but his life.

Put Darnold under center and counter him with recently acquired (and well-rested) superstar playmaker running back Le’Veon Bell (who can also catch the football), and you’ve got a team that could totally surprise the Patriots on a Monday night.

For more on the Jets, check out NY Jets 2019-2020 Postseason Odds.

7) 3-3 Los Angeles Rams at 1-5 Atlanta Falcons

How to Watch

What: Los Angeles Rams at Atlanta Falcons

When: Sunday, October 20, 2019, at 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia

How (TV): FOX

Early Odds

Point Spread: Rams -3, Falcons +3

Money Line: Rams -162, Falcons +133

Rams vs Falcons Rivalry

This will be the 80th time these two teams have faced off, and currently the Rams have won 47 of those meetings while the Falcons have won 30, with 2 of their matchups ending up in ties.

Why the Los Angeles Rams Will Win

The Los Angeles Rams will win one despite running back Todd Gurley being questionable and Aaron Donald being human because they are the better-ranked ream on the defensive side of the ball.

The Rams were shocked by their divisional rivals, the San Francisco 49ers, at home in Week 6 by a score of 7-20, so they will be anxious to follow that up with an on the road win against an Atlanta Falcons team that frankly doesn’t look very good right now.

Head coach Sean McVay’s Rams were expected to easily win the NFC West but they’re at .500 and look entirely beatable right now, so he will have to figure out how to game plan a win with his big-armed quarterback Jared Goff, throwing to young receiver, Cooper Kupp, and continue to keep the Ram’s football head above water until their eventual bye in Week 9.

Pick Against the Spread: Why the Falcons Will Win

The Atlanta Falcons will win this one because Matt Ryan’s offense can score points, averaging 22.5 points per game, just three points less per outing than the Rams whom they are playing have done and well below what they are capable of, given the talent on their roster.

That includes two of the leagues’ best receivers – Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu – along with one of the NFL’s best running backs in Devonta Freeman, who could use a big game right now after averaging just 3.6 yards per carry after six weeks of 2019 football.

The Falcons are actually ranked 7th on offense this season (compared to the Rams at 13th), so if they can click on all cylinders, a home win against a struggling Rams team does not seem all that farfetched to predict.

6) 3-2 Oakland Raiders at 5-1 Green Bay Packers

How to Watch

What: Oakland Raiders at Green Bay Packers

When: Sunday, October 20, 2019, at 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin

How (TV): CBS

Early Odds

Point Spread: Raiders +6.5, Packers -6.5

Money Line: Raiders +235, Packers -295

Raiders vs Packers Rivalry

This cross-conference matchup between the Raiders and the Packers has only happened 13 other times (including 1 postseason game), with the Packers winning 8 of those games and the Raiders winning 5 times.

Why the Packers Will Win

The Green Bay Packers will win because they are finally as good as everyone had predicted they could be, all thanks to a healthy Aaron Rodgers, who engineered a fourth-quarter comeback over the Detroit Lions on Monday Night Football, a solid run game and a Mike Pettine-coordinated defense strong enough to keep opponents’ off the field more often than not this season.

Running back Aaron Jones has proven to be an effective weapon on the ground (and through the air sometimes, too) and has given the Packers’ typically brutal passing attack something to balance off.

The Packers’ defense is only allowing opponents to score 18.6 points per game (6th least in the league) so they become an important factor against this Raiders team that’s averaged 20 points per game this season.

Pick Against the Spread: Why the Oakland Raiders Will Win

The Oakland Raiders seem like a joke at first (especially after the initial Antonio Brown fiasco), but they have put together two wins in a row against formidable opponents, the Indianapolis Colts in Week 4 and the Chicago Bears in Week 5.

The Raiders are coming off a Week 6 bye, so anything that ailed them prior to that should now be relatively healed up, and now it’s time for head coach Jon Gruden and quarterback Derek Carr to keep the wins coming by continuing to hook up with his main targets Zay Jones and Tyrell Williams.

What’s been truly helping these Raiders is their rookie running back, Josh Jacobs, who is now ranked 9th at his position after running the ball 88 times for 430 yards and 4 touchdowns, averaging 4.9 yards per carry in his first NFL season.

Read also: Most NFL Rushing Yards in 2019.

5) 5-1 New Orleans Saints at 3-2 Chicago Bears

How to Watch

What: New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears

When: Sunday, October 20, 2019, at 4:25 p.m. ET

Where: Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois

How (TV): FOX

Early Odds

Point Spread: Saints +3.5, Bears -3.5

Money Line: Saints +155, Bears -190

Saints vs Bears Rivalry

These two NFC teams have met 30 times prior to Sunday’s matchup (including 2 postseason games), with the Saints and the Bears each winning 15 of those games.

Why the Bears Will Win

The Chicago Bears are coming off a bye week rest period that they desperately needed after dropping their first game in four weeks to the Oakland Raiders in London during their unfortunate Week 5 trip abroad.

The big question is whether franchise quarterback Mitchell Trubisky will be able to play in Week 7 with his banged-up shoulder still not at 100%, but the bigger question is whether Matt Nagy’s Bears will be better off with (or without) him since Trubisky has tended to stink after sitting out for a time in the past.

But whether it’s Trubisky or Chase Daniel under center on Sunday, the Bears will beat the Saints at home if their mighty defense, led by Akiem Hicks and Roquan Smith and Khalil Mack, can put the fear of sacks and picks into Saints’ quarterback Teddy Bridgewater’s brain.

Read more on: Most NFL Sacks in 2019.

Pick Against the Spread: Why the New Orleans Saints Will Win

The New Orleans Saints will win this one on the road against the Bears because their offense (ranked 21st) is considerably better than the Bears’ (ranked 30th) and score almost 4 points per game more.

It would be a mistake to underestimate this Saints’ team just because starting quarterback Drew Brees is out with a thumb injury until at least Week 8, because his replacement, Teddy Bridgewater, is perfectly capable of getting the job done, so far completing almost 70% of his passes while filling in.

Of course, it helps to have superstar playmakers like receiver Michael Thomas and dual-threat running back Alvin Kamara, but it’s the Saints’ 10th ranked defense (starring defensive end Cam Jordan) that has been making the biggest difference this season.

4) 3-3 Philadelphia Eagles at 3-3 Dallas Cowboys

How to Watch

What: Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys

When: Sunday Night Football, October 20, 2019, at 8:20 p.m. ET

Where: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas

How (TV): NBC

Early Odds

Point Spread: Eagles +2, Cowboys -2

Money Line: Eagles +123, Cowboys -150

Cowboys vs Eagles Rivalry

This NFC East rivalry between the so far equally matched Cowboys and Eagles has gone down 120 times (including 4 postseason games) before this one, with the Cowboys winning 68 of those matchups and the Eagles winning 52 of them.

Why the Dallas Cowboys

The Dallas Cowboys are on a 3-game downward spiral that culminated in Week 6 with a loss to the hapless New York Jets by a too-close-a-score of 22-24 after Jets’ quarterback Sam Darnold finally returned from his mono scare and proved that he has what it takes to win big games.

The Cowboys could have tied that game (quarterback Dak Prescott couldn’t convert for two-points at the end of the game) and so they have a bitter taste in their football mouths coming into Week 7 facing their NFC East co-leaders.

Dallas will win this one because they’re better on both sides of the ball than the Eagles are right now, but they need a big game from Ezekiel Elliott, who posted 100+ rushing yards and a touchdown plus caught 5 passes for 47 yards in Week 6 despite his teams’ unfortunate loss.

Read more on the Dallas Cowboys odds to make the 2019-2020 playoffs.

Pick Against the Spread: Why the Philadelphia Eagles Will Win

The Philadelphia Eagles can have a shot at winning this upcoming game (and every other game they play this season) if their offense can step up in the fourth quarter, unlike what they did in their Week 6 loss against the Minnesota Vikings where they got shut out.

Carson Wentz threw for 300+ yards and 2 touchdowns in that one (and threw an unfortunate pick), but running back Jordan Howard only had 49 yards on 13 carries, averaging just 3.8 yards per carry, which has to improve against the Cowboys, ranked 12th against the run.

The Eagles’ defense is ranked 14th right now after allowing opponents to gain 353 yards per game, so tackle Fletcher Cox and company need to step up against Prescott and Elliott and while they’re at it, shut down Cowboys’ ever-present receiver Amari Cooper if they expect to win on Sunday.

For more on the Eagles, check out the Philadelphia Eagles 2019-2020 postseason odds.

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3) 4-2 Houston Texans at 3-2 Indianapolis Colts

How to Watch

What: Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

When: Sunday, October 20, 2019, at 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana

How (TV): CBS

Early Odds

Point Spread: Texans +1, Colts -1

Money Line: Texans +102, Colts -124

Texans vs Colts Rivalry

This juicy AFC South rivalry for divisional dominance has taken place 35 other times (including a playoff matchup), with the Colts winning 27 times and the Texans winning just 8 of those games.

Why the Indianapolis Colts Will Win

The Indianapolis Colts are favored to win by a point in this one, and they can easily cover that spread thanks to their new (but actually old) quarterback Jacoby Brissett, who is currently 3-2 as the Colts’ starter under center after filling in often in the past for the shockingly now retired Andrew Luck.

Brissett’s got deep-threat T.Y. Hilton and tight end Eric Ebron as solid targets while running back Marlon Mack keeps defenses honest by averaging 4.7 yards per carry this season.

The Colts can win this one if their equally matched defense can get after Deshaun Watson and force him to make errant throws and slow that Texans’ 10th ranked passing defense down enough to make a difference.

Pick Against the Spread: Why the Texans Will Win

The Houston Texans are finally showing the football world that they can win behind Deshaun Watson, but it sure does help that (unlike in past seasons) he is staying healthy.

Head coach Bill O’Brien also has a wonderful running duo to work with, the soft-handed Duke Johnson and the hard-hitting Carlos Hyde both shooting out of the Texans’ backfield right now.

Houston has a middle of the road defense (ranked 18th right now), so they will need to step up and put a stop to Brissett and Mack if they expect to beat the team that has defeated them three times more than they have ever lost.

2) 4-2 Minnesota Vikings at 2-2-1 Detroit Lions

How to Watch

What: Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

When: Sunday, October 20, 2019, at 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan

How (TV): FOX

Early Odds

Point Spread: Vikings +1, Lions -1

Money Line: Vikings +100, Lions -121

Vikings vs Lions Rivalry

This NFC North rivalry is nothing new, having happened 115 times before with the Vikings dominating this matchup after winning 74 times, while the Lions have 39 victories in this ongoing battle.

Why the Minnesota Vikings Will Win

The Minnesota Vikings are far better than the Detroit Lions, at least on the defensive side of the ball, the Vikes ranked 5th compared to the Lions way down at the bottom of the league at 27th.

Quarterback Kirk Cousins looked good against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 6, completing 22-of-29 passes for 33 yards and 4 touchdowns with just one interception.

The Vikings will also win because they have running back Dalvin Cook and receivers Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs, all gigantic playmakers who can turn the game around towards Minnesota’s favor at any given moment.

Pick Against the Spread: Why the Detroit Lions Will Win

The Detroit Lions did not fare well against the Green Bay Packers in Week 6 on Monday Night Football, letting a fourth-quarter lead slip away (and of course those two questionable “illegal hands to the face” penalties called on Trey Flowers didn’t help their cause any), but they are still an NFC North force to be reckoned with and it would be a mistake to underestimate them.

Quarterback Matthew Stafford has completed 88 passes for 1,122 yards and 9 touchdowns with 2 interceptions, so he is perfectly capable of connecting with his main targets, Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones, and slot man Danny Amendola, it’s just a matter of him getting the job done.

The Lions’ 27th ranked defense is their biggest weakness now (did you see how Rodgers and company marched straight down the field in the final minutes on Monday?), so it would be nice to see defensive ends Trey Flowers and Romeo Okwara put some serious pressure on Kirk Cousins this Sunday and give their secondary a chance to make some big plays.

For more on the Lions, you can check out the Detroit Lions’ biggest offseason moves and Super Bowl odds.

1) 4-2 Baltimore Ravens at 5-1 Seattle Seahawks

How to Watch

What: Baltimore Ravens at Seattle Seahawks

When: Sunday, October 20, 2019 at 4:25 p.m. ET

Where: CenturyLink Field in Seattle, Washington

How (TV): FOX

Early Odds

Point Spread: Ravens +3.5, Seahawks -3.5

Money Line: Ravens +148, Seahawks -180

Ravens vs Seahawks Rivalry

This rivalry, like the unicorn, is a rare sighting, having only taken place 5 other times in NFL history, with the Seahawks getting the best of the Ravens 3-2.

Why the Seahawks Will Win

The Seattle Seahawks are a team bound for the postseason, so they need to win this game against the surging Baltimore Ravens to prove that they can beat any contenders that come their way, even at the level of the playoff-bound Ravens.

If you watched Russell Wilson under center against the Cleveland Browns, then you know that he’s capable of keeping his calm under pressure (and under a temporary scoring deficit) and leading his team (via receivers Tyler Lockett and rookie phenom D.K. Metcalf) to victory.

Running back Chris Carson is certainly carrying his share of the load in 2019, so far with 127 total touches for 644 yards from scrimmage and 4 touchdowns, averaging 4.7 yards per touch.

Pick Against the Spread: Why the Ravens Will Win

The Baltimore Ravens can totally win this one, on the road or otherwise since they just happen to possess the number one overall offense in the NFL right now.

The Ravens lead the AFC North and are led by second-year quarterback Lamar Jackson, whose quick feet and smart decision-making have raised Baltimore to number one in overall offense after averaging 450+ total yards per game.

What also doesn’t hurt the Ravens chances on Sunday against the Seahawks is their solid run game behind the hard-hitting Mark Ingram plus their 13th ranked defense that has kept opponents to under 23 points per game this season.

For more on the Ravens, check out the Baltimore Ravens 2019-20 NFL Postseason Odds.

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