Arsenal vs Chelsea (FA Cup Final) Prediction, Odds & Picks

  • The final game of the English domestic season sees two London rivals go head-to-head
  • Chelsea start as favorites by virtue of their league finish but this is a tough game to call
  • Both teams are stronger in attack than defense which should produce goals at both end

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Arsenal vs Chelsea Odds

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Match winner and Both teams to score Odds
Chelsea and Yes +340
Arsenal and Yes +510
Tie and Yes +335

Arsenal vs Chelsea Predictions and Picks

Take the Arsenal and Yes option here – a game plan based on absorbing pressure and breaking quickly on the counter-attack could bring the Gunners glory.

Our pick: Arsenal and Yes (+510)

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How to Watch Arsenal vs Chelsea

Arsenal vs Chelsea Information
What Arsenal vs Chelsea
Where Wembley, London, England
When Saturday, 1 August 2020, 12.30 PM EST
How to watch Watch on ESPN here!

The longest Premier League season in history is now over, leaving the FA Cup final as the last game remaining in the 2019/20 domestic campaign in England. This match comes more than two months later than originally planned due to the enforced three-month hiatus, with the August 1 date more synonymous with the Community Shield than the showpiece game of the world’s oldest knockout competition.

Chelsea goes into this weekend’s showdown in a positive frame of mind following their qualification for the Champions League. A 2-0 victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers on Sunday guaranteed their place in next term’s edition of Europe’s foremost tournament, as Frank Lampard’s side avoided falling victim to any unwanted final-day drama. It was an accomplished performance from the Blues and one which sets them up nicely for Saturday’s encounter.

Arsenal was also triumphant last time out, although Mikel Arteta will have been a little concerned by their defensive effort in a 3-2 defeat of Watford. Granted, the Hornets were fighting desperately against relegation – a battle they ultimately lost – but the ease with which they cut through the Gunners at times provided further evidence of the team’s vulnerabilities.

Nevertheless, there is reason to believe that this Arsenal side is currently better suited to facing a fellow member of the big six than a relegation struggler. That may sound counterintuitive but their victories over Liverpool and Manchester City earlier this month provided a blueprint which Arteta will use for this game. If Arsenal can show the same discipline and diligence here, it could well be they who lift the trophy at Wembley.

It is clear that both Arsenal and Chelsea work in progress, but fans of the two London clubs have cause for optimism going forward. A fourth-place finish in the Premier League represents a good achievement for Lampard in his first season in charge, while Arsenal are moving in the right direction with Arteta at the helm despite their lowly eighth-place finish.

Both team’s attacks are stronger than their defenses, but Arsenal’s performances against Liverpool and Manchester City suggest they are better suited to frustrating Chelsea than the other way around. For that reason, back Arsenal to win the FA Cup in a game featuring goals for both teams.

Arsenal Suited to Role of Underdogs as Arteta Eyes Tangible Sign of Progress

Even many Arsenal fans expected their team to come unstuck against Manchester City in the semi-finals, but Arteta’s side turned in a brilliant display to shock the FA Cup holders. Arsenal was well organized defensively, successfully denying City space in the final third and, for the most part, restricting them to half-chances and shots from distance or difficult angles.

Crucially, Arsenal also offered plenty of punch going the other way. True, City made individual errors that aided the Gunners on the day, but the victors still showed a willingness to commit bodies forward on the counter-attack. They were reactive without being timid, and it was a thoroughly impressive performance from front to back.

City is a better team than Chelsea, but there are certain similarities between the two. The Blues have also been undermined by defensive mishaps this season, and they too can be caught out in transition due to a lack of protection for the backline. Just as they did in the semi-final, Arsenal will be happy to cede possession and attempt to strike on the counter.

Questions of Balance Remaining for Chelsea Away From Stamford Bridge

Before the lockdown, Chelsea’s away form was impressive and their record at Stamford Bridge a little disappointing. Yet since the English game returned in the middle of June, the Blues have been much improved at their home stadium but struggled elsewhere, losing three of their final four Premier League away games.

They did, of course, triumph over Manchester United at Wembley in the FA Cup semi-final, but there are still doubts over the team’s balance. Chelsea conceded five goals to Liverpool last week and ended the season with a worse defensive record than Crystal Palace in 14th.

That did not prevent them from winning plenty of matches, but the likes of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Nicolas Pepe, and Bukayo Saka look well placed to take advantage of Chelsea’s structural issues this weekend.

Arsenal’s Backline May Be Breached but Back Them to Come Out on Top

Arsenal struggled to create chances in the recent 1-0 loss to Villa, but that was in part because they were forced to take a proactive approach. Arteta will certainly be keen to add more invention to his squad this summer for the games in which Arsenal dominate possession, but playing on the back foot against Chelsea will suit his side.

Lampard’s charges have plenty of attacking quality and should find the net at Wembley, but the odds available on an Arsenal win – together with their recent success against supposedly superior opponents – makes that the best betting option.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]