Liverpool vs Chelsea - Prediction, Betting Odds & Picks

  • Liverpool will want to end the season on a high despite points record being out of reach
  • Chelsea will be buoyed by their FA Cup semi-final triumph at the weekend
  • This is a tough game to call but a cagey, low-scoring affair is unlikely

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What Liverpool vs Chelsea
Where Anfield, Liverpool, England
When Wednesday, 22 July 2020, 3.15 PM EST
How to watch NBC Sports

It was a case of fourth time lucky for Chelsea at the weekend. Each of their three previous meetings with Manchester United this season – two in the Premier League and one in the League Cup – had ended in defeat. But on Sunday, the Blues ran out 3-1 winners at Wembley to book their place in the FA Cup final at the expense of Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side.

The two teams are also engaged in a more indirect battle in the Premier League, with Leicester City also involved. Two of the three will qualify for next season’s edition of the Champions League alongside Manchester City and Liverpool, who will entertain Chelsea at Anfield on Wednesday.

The Blues are in the strongest position of the trio. They have a point more than both United and Leicester, and unlike the Foxes they still have two games left to play. Neither of those matches will be straightforward, though, with Wolverhampton Wanderers set to provide the opposition at Stamford Bridge on the final day, when United and Leicester will lock horns at Old Trafford.

Victory over Liverpool would secure Chelsea’s spot in the competition with a game to spare, although winning at Anfield is something no visiting team has done in the Premier League since April 2017, when Crystal Palace sprung a surprise on Jurgen Klopp’s men. That shows the scale of the task confronting Chelsea, but Lampard will hope that Liverpool’s patchy form since wrapping up the title continues this week.

Liverpool vs Chelsea Odds

Total goals Odds
Over 3.5 +130
Under 3.5 -182

Odds taken from BetMGM.

Chelsea defended well against United on Sunday, only conceding late on when Bruno Fernandes converted from the penalty spot. Yet this is still a team that can be exploited at the back, as evidenced by a pretty poor record of 49 goals conceded in 36 Premier League matches – more than anyone else in the top half of the Premier League.

Liverpool’s attack has not been at its sharpest in recent matches, but facing another big team at Anfield could be the spark the whole team needs. With that in mind, put your money on at least four goals being scored on Wednesday.

Liverpool Can No Longer Be Centurions but Will Want to Finish Strongly

A 2-1 loss to Arsenal last Wednesday ended Liverpool’s hopes of setting a new English top-flight points record. Three wins from their final three matches would have moved the Reds onto 101 for the campaign, surpassing the 100-point haul managed by Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City two seasons ago.

Liverpool fans will not really care. They have waited 30 long years to see their team be crowned champions of England for a 19th time, and they would have settled for this outcome no matter what last summer.

Yet it is a shame that such a great team has been unable to claim any sort of significant record for themselves. There is no doubt that this Liverpool side are one of the greatest in Premier League history, and some sort of unique or unparalleled achievement would have made it easier to remember them in the years to come. Getting to 99 points would, however, rank them only behind the City of 2017/18 in the all-time ranking, and Klopp will be keen for his team to kick on and do just that.

Chelsea May Be More Attack-Minded Given Top-Four Situation

Given the way the fixtures have fallen, Lampard may spy an opportunity on Wednesday. United and Leicester cannot both take maximum points from their remaining fixtures because the two teams will go head-to-head on the final weekend. That means victory over either Liverpool or Wolves would guarantee Chelsea a top-four finish.

That will not compel Lampard to go gung-ho from the first whistle at Anfield, but he will surely show ambition in the knowledge that Chelsea’s fate could be decided before the final weekend. He may also reason that attack is the best form of defense given how much his team have struggled with the traditional approach towards keeping opponents out this term.

Liverpool’s Intensity Has Dipped and That Further Boosts Chances of Goals

Despite Klopp’s insistence that his team would continue playing with the same focus and intensity as before, there has been a clear drop-off from Liverpool since they secured the title. That is only natural and we have seen many similar examples in the past; it does not diminish the team’s quality in any way, and being able to enjoy a handful of pressure-free matches is a luxury the Reds have earned for themselves.

They will still be determined to defeat Chelsea, of course, but the evidence of recent weeks suggests their defense is not as rock-solid as before. That could bode well for neutrals hoping for an entertaining affair at Anfield on Wednesday.

Our Pick

Take the Over option here – Liverpool will want to make a statement but Chelsea still need the points for their top-four bid.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]