French Open Men’s Singles Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks
- Novak Djokovic can succeed in sluggish conditions
- In-form Diego Schwartzman can master quarter
- Back Dellien and Djere to claim first-round wins
French Open Men’s Singles Odds
|Pablo Carreno Busta||+5000|
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French Open Men’s Singles Predictions and Picks
Novak Djokovic has lost only once in 2020 (by default) and looks the value alternative to Nadal. Worth backing at +210 at bet365.
Diego Schwartzman upset Nadal at the Rome Masters and can continue his good form by winning the third quarter at odds of +1000 BetMGM.
Novak Djokovic to win th tournament +210
Diego Schwartzman to win the third quarter +1000
Hugo Dellien and Laslo Djere to win their R1 matches +124
How to Watch the French Open
|French Open Information|
|What||French Open Men’s Singles|
|Where||Roland Garros, Paris, France|
|When||Sunday, September 27 to Sunday, October 11|
|How to Watch||Tennis Channel and NBC share coverage|
Value Lies With Djokovic
The outright betting for the 2020 French Open is dominated by the three reigning Grand Slam champions – Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic, and Dominic Thiem. Nadal is defending the title here, one he has won a remarkable 12 times in his stellar career. But all of those wins have come when the event was staged in May and June. In this most bizarre of years, his title bid will come in September and October – something which brings fresh challenges.
Basically, it will be cooler and damper and that will affect Nadal’s game. The heavy spin he puts on his forehand won’t have its full effect in such conditions, the ball bouncing lower. Neither will a change of ball supplier help on this front – Wilson are providing the equipment this year with the faster Babolat balls a thing of the past at Roland Garros.
Nadal was beaten last week in Rome by Diego Schwartzman when conditions were heavy and while that was a particularly bad serving day by the Spaniard, it went to show he is more vulnerable when the balls aren’t fizzing.
Djokovic, the winner of the Rome title, looks better equipped to deal with the expected conditions and arrives with an aura of invincibility around him. His only 2020 loss remains his US Open default – basically, he beat himself – and there don’t look too many capable of beating him in Paris. The Serb had the best of the draw, avoiding Thiem, who landed in the same half as Nadal.
That gives Djokovic a decent route to the final and if he does face Nadal there he will do so knowing he’s 5-5 against the ‘King of Clay’ in their last 10 meetings on the surface. He’s also one of only two people to have defeated Nadal at Roland Garros.
For me, Djokovic is the best at the prices.
Diego the Quartermaster
Dominic Thiem is the other big contender – he’s been to the last two finals here and the clay is his favorite surface. With the power to hit through a slow court and the confidence gained by winning the US Open, it’s not hard to make a case for the Austrian. However, there are also concerns about potential backers.
How will he react to becoming a Grand Slam champion? If he does suffer a letdown in the immediate aftermath, he wouldn’t be the first. One immediate effect of victory in New York is that Thiem didn’t play a warm-up event on clay which he wouldn’t have envisaged. That’s not insurmountable but a tough draw which sees him open against Marin Cilic and possibly faces the in-form Casper Ruud in the first week is far from ideal in the circumstances.
Given his price, Thiem can be opposed and the way to do it best is to back Diego Schwartzman to win his quarter. He can’t meet Thiem (or Cilic, Ruud, Felix Auger-Aliassime, Stan Wawrinka) until the quarter-finals and instead looks to have a decent path through the first half of the tournament.
Gael Monfils is the higher-ranked seed in his section and the Frenchman is yet to win a set, let alone a match, since the tour’s resumption.
Schwartzman’s victory over Nadal in Rome – his first over a top-five player – will have filled him with confidence and he looks to have the game which can thrive in the expected sluggish conditions.
‘Peque’ made the last eight here in 2018, losing to Nadal in four sets, while in 2017 he took Djokovic the full five sets. With conditions now more in his favor, the Argentine looks capable of claiming a big scalp.
Money-Line Parlay: Double up With Dellien and Djere
A first-round money-line parlay of Hugo Dellien and Laslo Djere pays +124 and looks the solid business.
Hugo Dellien, a proper clay courter, will be happy with the slow conditions and should easily see off Ricardas Berankis. The Lithuanian has played only five claycourt matches at any level in the past three years. In contrast, Dellien has contested more than 150. Of those against players ranked in the world’s top 300, Berankis has lost them all in straight sets. The sets scores have been 6-2 6-2 6-0 6-4 6-4 6-2 6-1 6-1.
Laslo Djere should also prove too good for Kevin Anderson, who is struggling with his return from injury.
Anderson has won just one match since the tour’s resumption last month and on clay, he’s been beaten by Ugo Humbert and Tommy Paul. His major weapon is his big serve, one which took him to both the Wimbledon and US Open finals in the past, will be blunted by the slow clay.
In contrast, Djere made the semis in Kitzbuhel as a qualifier, beating Schwartzman along the way.
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Andy is a sports journalist of more than 20 years’ experience and is a former betting editor of the UK-based website, Sporting Life. He has specialized in tennis for many years, previewing hundreds of ATP Tour events and reporting from tournaments such as the ATP Finals and Davis Cup final. Andy has also covered numerous other sports, with a particular interest in soccer and cricket.