Wimbledon 2021 Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

Wimbledon 2021 Predictions

  • Kudla to send seed out
  • Oppose slow-starting Tsitsipas
  • Tie-breaks likely in Isner contest
  • Thompson can upset Ruud

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Wimbledon Picks

Denis Kudla to beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at -104 at PointsBet

Frances Tiafoe to win the first set v Stefanos Tsitsipas at +300 at bet365

Over 1.5 tie-breaks in Yoshihito Nishioka v John Isner at +100 at bet365

Jordan Thompson to beat Casper Ruud at +145 at PointsBet

Novak Djokovic to win Wimbledon at -125 at William Hill

Marin Cilic to reach the final at +2000 at PointsBet

John Isner to reach the final at +12500 at bet365

How to Watch Wimbledon

Wimbledon 2021 Information
What The Championships, Wimbledon
Location All England Club, Wimbledon, London, England, UK
Time Monday, June 28 to Sunday, July 11
How to Watch ESPN and Tennis Channel

Yoshihito Nishioka vs John Isner

Odds taken from bet365. Get up to $100 in FREE credits at bet365 NJ today!

Player Odds
Yoshihito Nishioka +525
John Isner -770

Isner’s huge serve is renowned at Wimbledon.

Who can forget his 11-hour epic with Nicolas Mahut in 2010? Or his rule-changing semi-final against Kevin Anderson three years ago?

This match provides an opportunity to make a profit from it too.

His serve is incredibly tough to beat in grasscourt conditions, while Isner’s return game has long been one of the worst among the top 100. This season he’s at 67th for return games won having broken serve just 8% of the time.

That’s a combination that leads to tie-breaks – 23 of the 26 completed Wimbledon matches in his career have seen one.

Not surprisingly, over 0.5 tie-breaks is a shot price here but over 1.5 at +100 looks good value.

That’s occurred in 17 of the 26 – and these days there’s the added bonus of a tie-break being possible in the fifth set too.

Nishioka is nothing special but Isner rarely blows anyone away due to his poor returning.

Bet on Yoshihito Nishioka v John Isner, Here!

Jordan Thompson vs Casper Ruud

Odds taken from PointsBet! Click on the links in the table below to head to the sportsbook, sign-up, and place your bet!

Player Odds
Jordan Thompson +150
Casper Ruud -186

Thompson likes playing on the grass and looks capable of taking out seed Ruud, whose experience of grass is small indeed.

His first career wins on the surface came only last week in Mallorca but were against Gilles Simon and Tennys Sandgren – nothing to write home about.

Thompson should provide a much stiffer test. He likes to come forward and be aggressive when he can, tactics which will serve him well in slick early-tournament conditions.

He’s played three warm-up events with his defeats all coming against players currently in the world’s top 20.

Ruud sits at 14th in the ranking list but Thompson can turn that run of top-20 losses around here.

Bet on Jordan Thompson, Here!

Denis Kudla vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Odds taken from PointsBet! Click on the links in the table below to head to the sportsbook, sign-up, and place your bet!

Player Odds
Denis Kudla -104
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -121

Davidovich Fokina looks a seed under early threat at Wimbledon 2021.

Yes, he’s a former junior champion here but he’s only played three matches on grass at tour-level, winning just the one. That came in Eastbourne last week against the world number 98.

In the following round, he quit due to a back injury – one which also bothered him at the recent French Open which he left after telling reporters he had struggled to put his socks on due to the problem.

That can’t be a good sign heading into a clash with a player vastly more experienced on grass and one who’s had success on the surface – Kudla made the last 16 here in 2015 and has also played in the semi-finals of Halle in the past.

In the current grasscourt campaign, the American has a win over world number 27 Dan Evans to his name. That came at one of the Nottingham Challengers where he went on to make the final.

He’s since qualified for Wimbledon impressively, holding serve throughout his three matches.

Even if Fokina is at the top of his game – which seems unlikely – Kudla has the tools on a grasscourt to spring the (slight) upset.

Bet on Denis Kudla, Here!

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Frances Tiafoe

Odds from bet365. Get up to $100 in FREE credits at bet365 NJ today or check out more offers and promo codes for the best online sportsbooks.

Player Odds
Stefanos Tsitsipas -670
Frances Tiafoe +480

For those seeking a big-priced underdog, you could do worse than take a look at Tiafoe, a player who is enjoying the best grasscourt season of his career.

He won a Challenger Tour title in Nottingham before going on to reach the quarter-finals at Queen’s Club.

Tsitsipas is another player who has yet to truly settle on the grass and this will be his first match on the surface for two years – he opted out of the warm-up events following his agonizing loss in the French Open final and the death of his grandmother.

Given that preparation (or lack of it) I would not be surprised to see him start slowly in southwest London. Given this, it’s also interesting to note that Tsitsipas has lost the first set in 10 of his 15 tour-level matches on grass.

That’s a nod to the best bet here – not Tiafoe to win the match but the first set. That’s a +300 chance.

Bet on Frances Tiafoe, Here!

Best Outright Picks

It’s hard to look past Novak Djokovic.

He’s fully justified his world number one ranking this season, winning the first two Grand Slam tournaments, and he arrives here looking for a sixth Wimbledon title.

He’s been a member of the so-called Big Four, who between them have won the last 17 editions of Wimbledon.

However, this year there’s no Rafael Nadal, while both Roger Federer and Andy Murray look seriously undercooked having played very little following long-term injury problems.

Many of the younger contenders have very little experience on the grass so Djokovic looks in a great position.

For value, the suggestion is to look for a pick to reach the final on the opposite side of the draw to Djokovic, one featuring Federer and second seed Daniil Medvedev.

Two names appeal – Marin Cilic and John Isner.

Cilic (+2000) has rediscovered some form in recent weeks, winning the warm-up event in Stuttgart and reaching the quarter-finals at Queen’s Club.

He’s made the final at Wimbledon in the past, using his strong serve and ability to come forward to great effect.

Isner (+12500) is another whose serve is a huge weapon – that shot and his sledgehammer forehand will win a lot of points in these conditions, as they did in 2018 when the American made the last four.

He hasn’t played any grasscourt events this year but showed during the clay season that his game is in decent shape, notably playing well in the fast conditions of Madrid.

Bet on Wimbledon, Here!

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Andy Schooler

Expert on Tennis

Andy is a sports journalist of more than 20 years’ experience and is a former betting editor of the UK-based website, Sporting Life. He has specialized in tennis for many years, previewing hundreds of ATP Tour events and reporting from tournaments such as the ATP Finals and Davis Cup final. Andy has also covered numerous other sports, with a particular interest in soccer and cricket.