With Carolina in desperate need of securing a win before hitting the road, the Hurricanes were able to even up the series, beating the Vegas Golden Knights in overtime in game two of the Stanley Cup Finals. With negative regression looming large over the Golden Knights front line per their result in Expected Goals, expect the Hurricanes to smother their offense and hold them under their team total.
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| Best NHL Prop Bets Today | BetMGM Odds | Kalshi to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights Team Total Under 3 | -105 | Vegas Golden Knights 50% |
| Seth Jarvis Anytime Goal Scorer | +260 | Carolina Hurricanes 50% |
| Nikolaj Ehlers Anytime Goal Scorer | +190 | Carolina Hurricanes 50% |
| Odds and market prices are accurate as of the time of publishing and subject to change before the event. | ||
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With the Vegas Golden Knights generating fewer Expected Goals than Actual Goals two games into their series, expect the Hurricanes back line to round back into form and hold them off the scoreboard.
Even though the Vegas Golden Knights managed to clear the over on their team total in game two, they were very fortunate, generating just 2.53 Expected Goals with the help of overtime. For a majority of the contest, the Golden Knights were incapable of breaking through the Carolina Hurricanes coverage, generating just one Expected Goal through the first forty minutes of play.
Unfortunately for the Golden Knights, they will continue to be vulnerable to falling into prolonged scoring lulls while struggling to pressure the Hurricanes net, facing off against a back line who currently leads the league in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Frederik Andersen capable of walling off their Shots on Goal at a consistent rate, averaging just 1.72 Goals Against per game and a .917 Save Percentage throughout the playoffs.
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The hero of game two for Carolina, Seth Jarvis finished the contest with two Shots on Goal while scoring the game winning goal in overtime. With the Golden Knights struggling in coverage per their current mark in Expected Goals Against in 5-on-5 Play and From Medium Danger Shots, Jarvis will be able to consistently weave the puck through the middle and generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal, increasing his chances of finding the back of the net.
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Since the start of the playoffs, Nikolaj Ehlers has been a consistent source of production for the Hurricanes, averaging 0.34 Expected Goals and 2.21 Shots on Goal per game. With his linemates pulling defensive attention away from him, the width of Ehlers shooting lanes at multiple angles will widen, drastically improving the quality of his Shots on Goal for the full duration of the contest.
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