Thursday evening at Estadio Akron, the first postseason match in the Apertura campaign kicks off between Chivas Guadalajara hosting Atlas F.C. The most recent encounter saw these two square off on October 5 with Atlas pulling off the away upset, winning 3-2. The last five clashes between the two, have not ended level after 90 minutes.
Arturo Ortega’s crew wrapped up the season finishing in ninth place in the standings with 25 points. The Striped Goats enter this tilt in dip in form as they have only secured one victory in their last four matches.
Meanwhile, Beñat San José men have been absent from the win column, as Los Zorros are winless in their last six attempts. The offense has dried up recently too as Atlas has only hit the scoresheet twice in their last five games leading into the international break.
Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favorite picks for Chivas Guadalajara vs. Atlas F.C.
The books have pegged the hosts as the favorites to capture a win within regulation time in Thursday's play-in game. Chivas Guadalajara are priced at -120 in the moneyline 3-way market white Atlas are listed at +320 to pull off the massive upset. If this match stays even after 90, the draw is pinned down at +270.
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The Striped Goats leading goal-getter, Cade Cowell could be missing in action while on international duty with the U.S. Bagging five goals in 12 league appearances, his possible omission from the lineup on Thursday could leave a gap in the clubs flow going forward.
Looking to carry the load up front, 21-year-old Armando Gonzalez will be called upon to get his side into the phase of the postseason. The striker in this year’s Apertura season collected three goals on 20 total shots taken in 11 outings.
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Eduardo Aguirre capped off the Apertura, finishing with four goals appearing in 17 regular season games. The forward logged over 1200 minutes of playing time, averaging 0.72 shots on target per 90, one of the lowest rates in Liga MX.
Between the sticks, Camilo Vargas had a subpar 2024 Apertura registering five clean sheets in 14 starts. The 35-year-old keeper possessed a 71.8 save percentage while conceding 1.43 goals per 90. Vargas was of one the busier net-minders in the tournament amassing a total of 51 saves.
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Chivas Guadalajara vs. Atlas F.C. pick: Chivas Guadalajara ML 3-way (-120) at bet365
The Striped Goats are the bigger victims between the two contestants sending more players away on duty in the international window, that closes after Tuesday. That said Chivas are a deeper side that are facing a side whose backline is vulnerable when playing as the visitors. Atlas have allowed 18 away goals this year, tied for the third-highest amount by any club in the Apertura. With the suspect away defense Atlas has displayed, it makes their road woes even worse as they have failed to hit the back of the net in their last three away games.
Chivas are a strong home side, only conceding seven goals in nine home dates this year. Looking back in the tale of the tape, the previous 21 affairs at Estadio Akron has seen Chivas win on 10 occasions. It is tough to envision Atlas pulling off two wins in the same season in Guadalajara, we feel Chivas should outclass Atlas in this situational spot.
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When: November 21, 8.05 p.m ET
Where: Estadio Akron
TV: FOX Deportes, Univision, UniMas, Telemundo, Universo, TUDN, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ and ViX+
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