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Chivas Guadalajara vs. Puebla Prediction: Will Chivas Move Up the Table?

Written by: Angelo Zarra
Published April 6, 2024
8 min read

Saturday evening will see Chivas Guadalajara host Puebla at Estadio Akron in a crucial matchup. Dating back to 2010, this clash between both participants is dead even in the head-to-head department. Both sides have been victorious nine times and have split the points on 11 occasions.

Chivas Guadalajara will look to extend their current unbeaten run to three straight matches. Last weekend Chivas knocked off the top dog in the Clausura, defeating Monterrey 2-0 on the road. A match that went their way playing with a two-man advantage as Monterrey picked up two reds during the match and an own goal that broke the deadlock. Finishing with an xG of 0.10, safe to say Chivas had some luck go their way.

Meanwhile, for Puebla, this is a side that cannot catch a break as they currently sit at the bottom of the Clausura table. Last weekend saw Los Camoteros lose 3-2 to Tigres. With the defeat the club has now suffered seven losses in their last eight matches played.

Chivas Guadalajara vs. Puebla Betting Odds for Saturday, April 6

The books expect Chivas to walk away with all three points in this encounter. Juiced in the -200 in the moneyline range, it’s a little too high to wager straight up on the home side, so we dive into the same game parlay market. For Chivas Guadalajara to win and over 1.5 goals combined is -140. For Puebla to pull off the massive upset and over 1.5 goals combined is +600, for the draw and over 1.5 goals combined is listed at +425.

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Click the odds in the table below to place your bet: $5 at DraftKings and Claim $150 in Bonus Bets instantly!

Result and total same game parlayOdds
Chivas Guadalajara to win and over 1.5 goals+140
Chivas Guadalajara or Puebla to win and over 1.5 goals combined+600
Puebla to win and over 1.5 goals combined+425

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Chivas vs. Puebla 2024 04 06 Prediction

Chivas Guadalajara vs. Puebla Betting Prediction at DraftKings

Chivas Guadalajara

Currently sitting in 10th place with 19 points, Chivas will look to move up the table. Owning a six-point cushion over the closest club looking to lock down a play-in-round invitation, there is some urgency to take all three points on Saturday versus a lowly opponent. Getting into the top eight is the goal to avoid playing an extra match in an already congested schedule.

Roberto Alvarado was the star performer in last weekend's underdog victory. The 25-year-old tallied another assist to bring his 2024 Clausura total to four. Setting up the goal that sealed all three points for Chivas, Alvarado appeared in all 90 minutes of play, finishing the match with the most chances created with three.


On attack, the club ranks near the bottom in major offensive categories that include goal per match averaging 1.1. Collecting shots on target has been a hassle for the last-placed side too, averaging 4 shots per game on target which ranks them 16th in Liga MX. In recent results, a positive spin for Los Camoteros is they have found the back of the net eight times in their last four matches.

A stock that’s currently on the rise in the competition on this Puebla squad is Alberto Herrera. The 23-year-old is making the most of the opportunity that’s given to him. Earning two straight starts, the central midfielder has picked up a goal and two assists in the last 166 minutes played. In his defensive side of the game, Herrera is successfully winning 80 of tackles made and 84 percent of aerial duels won.

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Chivas Guadalajara vs. Puebla - My Pick

With the current direction both contestants are heading towards, it’s hard not to back the home club in this situational spot. Chivas have struggled at home of late, but they had to face stiffer competition in recent weeks. The level of quality Puebla is displaying in the Clausura is a huge drop off from what Chivas has faced. Puebla on the road this calendar year has been atrocious, losing all six away matches. Another ugly road stat for the visitors, they have only managed to chalk up a goal four times, while surrendering 18. Chivas should be able to not only collect all three points, but they should be able to breach it past the keeper on more than one occasion on Saturday night.

How to Watch Chivas Guadalajara vs. Puebla

  • When: Saturday, April 6, 9.05 p.m ET

  • Where: Estadio Akron

  • TV: Univision, Telemundo, Fox Sports, ESPN, Vix and Sling TV

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Angelo Zarra

40 Articles

Hailing from the great white north in Canada, over the last 15 years, Angelo has been wagering on sports and, more specifically, the sport that’s in his blood, soccer. Well-versed in soccer leagues across the globe, keeping tabs on what’s happening in the world of soccer. Since 2022, Angelo has published MLS betting previews on various websites, including on Major League Soccer's official betting page for a short while. Through the power of social media, Angelo has been invited to talk soccer betting on national TV & radio on Sports Grid.

In Angelo’s free time, he can be found walking his dog and lounging at home watching any game that's on while enjoying his second favourite thing after sports: food! 

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