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Club America vs. Toluca Prediction: Battle for Top Spot on the Line

Written by: Angelo Zarra
Published April 12, 2024
8 min read

Saturday evening will see the top two sides battle it out to become the league leaders as Club America hosts Toluca at the Mexican soccer cathedral Estadio Azteca. In their 35 previous encounters, it’s been a borderline evenly matchup with Club America winning on 12 occasions, while Toluca has won ten times. Their most recent affair saw them split the points in a feisty affair that saw a combined 28 total shots made towards the target in the 1-1 draw.

Club America's goal differential puts them in the second spot in the Clausura table. in domestic play, the club has not suffered a defeat in their last seven. Last weekend saw Las Aguilas earn a tough point in a cagey affair with 12th-place Leon on the road. It will be another busy week for the Mexican giants as they will have a semi-final spot on the line facing the New England Revolution in the CONCACAF Champions Cup during the week.

Meanwhile, the surprise story in 2024 in Liga MX is the play of Toluca. The Diablos Rojos finished in 12th place in the 2023 Apertura, but in 2024 they roared back with a vengeance sitting first overall. Toluca's last defeat came back in February in continental play which saw them eliminated from the Champions Cup. Last weekend saw them cruise to a 4-1 victory over Atlas, extending their winning streak to three.

Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for Club America vs. Toluca.

Club America vs. Toluca Betting Odds for Saturday, April 13

The books are leaning towards to seeing goals finding the back of the net as the over 2.5 mark is set at -134. The under in this encounter is listed at +105. In 14 matches Toluca has played in, nine times have their matches finished over the 2.5 goals benchmark.

Odds from bet365 Sportsbook. Click the odds in the table below to place your bet and get $1,000 First Bet Safety Net or Bet $5 Get $150 at bet365

Goal totalOdds
Over 2.5 goals-134
Under 2.5 goals+105
Club America vs. Toluca 2024 04 13 Prediction

Club America vs. Toluca Betting Prediction

Club America Preview

Club America is in the driver's seat looking to win back-to-back titles to sweep the 2023/24 campaign. One of the key reasons why the Mexican giants are favourites to land another title is their discipline on the pitch. Andre Jardine men have kept their cool and avoided the antics that can happen within a 90-minute match. Las Aguilas have the least amount of yellow cards with 18, and only average 8.1 fouls per match which is the lowest in the Clausura.

Boasting one of the most talented rosters in Mexico, a player who’s in scorching form currently is Alex Zendejas. The American international in his last seven matches in all competitions has registered six goals and amassed three assists. In last weekend's draw, Zendejas came off the bench appearing in 22 minutes of play, finding the scorers sheet, and finishing with a 71 percent passing competition going 10-for-14.

Toluca Preview

The darlings in Mexican soccer in 2024, Toluca are looking to finish at the top of the tournament since finishing first in the 2018 Clausura. The Diablos Rojos are over-exceeding their expectations when it comes to chalking up goals. In 14 matches this side has banged in 32 goals with an xG 23.6. It could be a matter of time before Toluca comes back down to earth and finds some difficulties chalking up a goal or two.

Currently, Alexis Vega has not had a problematic time burying one past the keeper. The winger has achieved a goal in his last three starts, manufacturing his personal best stretch of the campaign. In addition to logging a goal, last weekend saw the 26-year-old create three chances, fire two shots on target and go 31-for-35 in accurate passes.

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Club America vs. Toluca - My Pick

Surprisingly Toluca is sizzling up on attack averaging 2.3 goals scored per match, though on the road they are averaging 1.71 goals per game. In their last three away fixtures, Toluca has scored only four goals, and taking on Club America this weekend will be a step up in the class facing their opponent’s backline.

Club America is rigid on the backend, averaging a league-best 0.6 goals conceded per match. With eight clean sheets through 14 Clausura matches, it will be troublesome for Toluca to break through. In Las Aguilas last three-midweek Champions Cup affairs, their following domestic league play resulted in the under 2.5 goals cashing. The home side here will be fatigued and with a rotating squad might not get the full potential we would normally see with the Mexican giants. Think we get a cagey contest where both sides will play not to lose.

How to Watch Club America vs. Toluca

  • When: Saturday, April 13, 9 p.m ET

  • Where: Estadio Azteca

  • TV: Univision, Telemundo, Fox Sports, ESPN, Vix and Sling TV

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Angelo Zarra

47 Articles

Hailing from the great white north in Canada, over the last 15 years, Angelo has been wagering on sports and, more specifically, the sport that’s in his blood, soccer. Well-versed in soccer leagues across the globe, keeping tabs on what’s happening in the world of soccer. Since 2022, Angelo has published MLS betting previews on various websites, including on Major League Soccer's official betting page for a short while. Through the power of social media, Angelo has been invited to talk soccer betting on national TV & radio on Sports Grid.

In Angelo’s free time, he can be found walking his dog and lounging at home watching any game that's on while enjoying his second favourite thing after sports: food! 

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