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Club America vs. Toluca Prediction: Top Two Regular-Season Clubs Face Off in Final Leg 1

Published: May. 21, 2025, 09:00 AM ET
4 min read
  • Club America enter the final phase, 180 minutes away from securing their fourth straight league title

  • First-place finishers in the campaign, Toluca, are hoping to snap their three-game winless run versus Las Águilas

On Thursday evening, the first of two championship tilts will take place at Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes as Club America hosts Toluca. These two most recently clashed during the 2025 Clausura regular season, which saw Club America throttle Toluca, winning 3-0 on March 1.

Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for Club America vs. Toluca.

Club America vs. Toluca Betting Odds for Thursday, May 22

Checking into this affair, the books have placed the hosts as the favourites in the moneyline 3-way market. Las Águilas are priced at +100 to win while Toluca are listed at +250. If both sides are level after 90, the draw is pegged at +260.

Club America vs. Toluca Odds

The following odds are taken from bet365 Sportsbook. Use our promo code WSN365 at bet365 to claim your bonus: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

Moneyline 3-way Odds
Club America  +100
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Draw +250
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Toluca  +260
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Club America vs. Toluca Prediction 2025 05 22

Club America vs. Toluca Betting Prediction

Club America Preview

The Clasico Joven went the way of Andre Jardine’s men, who eliminated their city rivals, Cruz Azul, on Sunday. Over the two-game aggregate, which saw the contestants play to a 2-2 tie, Club America advanced as they were the higher seed in the table during the regular season. 

Scoring the winning goal in their 2-1 win over Cruz Azul, Cristian Borja was voted the Player of the match on Sunday. The left-back appeared for the full 90-minute shift, finishing as the game's most accurate passer at 96 percent. The Colombian international has worn the Las Águilas kit on 40 occasions across all competitions since joining last June. 

In a struggling year, Henry Martin came up massive when his team needed him the most. The 32-year-old found the back of the net on Sunday, cataloging his second goal between the 2025 Clausura regular and postseason phases. Three shy of 300 all-time appearances with Club America, since 2017, the lethal striker has stockpiled 116 goals in all competitive matches. 

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Toluca Preview

Antonio Mohamed’s troops rolled past Tigres UANL on Saturday, winning 3-0 and a final aggregate score of 4-1, which saw the Red Devils advance to their first final since the 2022 Apertura final. Going back to the regular season, Toluca have only suffered one setback in their previous 11 contests. 

Alexis Vega was all over the pitch on Saturday in the second leg, as the attacking winger contributed to all three Toluca goals that were tallied. With his two goals and one assist outing versus Tigres, Vega has amassed 12 goals and 10 assists in 21 appearances during his 2025 Clausura tournament. 

Star striker on the squad, Paulinho, failed to find the back of the net, which saw his two-game scoring streak come to a halt on Saturday. Facing the Mexican giants, if Toluca have a shot of obtaining the advantage going into the second leg at home, they will need their star striker to supply offence as he has hit home 14 goals in 18 Clausura starts this year.

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Club America vs. Toluca - My Pick

We sense that the first leg will see the host come away with the advantage going into the final game on the road in the Clausura tournament. Despite playing their home matches at Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes, their temporary home, they still performed like an elite side, capturing five wins in nine, while only conceding five goals. Overall, in the last 19 clashes with Las Águilas designated as the home team against Toluca, they have prevailed in 10 instances. It won’t be a cakewalk for the hosts, Toluca are a formidable force which showed this year, but Club America thrive in these pressure-cooked situations, which is why we're taking a shot on the home team Thursday evening.

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How to Watch Club America vs. Toluca

  • When: May 22, 10 p.m. ET

  • Where: Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes

  • TV: FOX Deportes, Univision, UniMas, Telemundo, Universo, TUDN, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ and ViX+

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Angelo Zarra WSN Contributor

Angelo Zarra

Soccer Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLS
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Hailing from the great white north in Canada, over the last 15 years, Angelo has been wagering on sports and, more specifically, the sport that’s in his blood, soccer. Well-versed in soccer leagues across the globe, keeping tabs on what’s happening in the world of soccer. Since 2022, Angelo has published MLS betting previews on various websites, including on Major League Soccer's official betting page for a short while. Through the power of social media, Angelo has been invited to talk soccer betting on national TV & radio on Sports Grid. In Angelo’s free time, he can be found walking his dog and lounging at home watching any game that's on while enjoying his second favourite thing after sports: food! 
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Accounting and Payroll
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Experience: 15 years
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