Sunday is the final day of the 2024 Liga MX Clausura season as Necaxa hosts Monterrey at Estadio Victoria. The most recent engagement between these two sides was back in October as Monterrey defeated Necaxa soundly, 3-0. Head-to-head Monterrey have been the superior side, winning on 11 occasions and drawing six times in their 22 previous contests.
Necaxa is coming off a 5-2 drubbing defeat to Tigres last weekend which snapped their two-game winning streak. It was the first time in nearly three years that Necaxa conceded five goals in the match. Despite the setback Necaxa is going to play past the regular season, it will just be a matter if it’s the play-in-round or straight to the playoffs.
Meanwhile, for Monterrey, they’re coming off a 2-0 away defeat against Leon. With the loss, Monterrey has now collected two victories in their last six matches in all competitions. Finishing first overall is out of reach, but currently sitting in fourth place with 29 points, the Rayados will look to avoid playing an extra match via the play-in route with a victory on Sunday.
Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for Necaxa vs. Monterrey.
Heading into Sunday evening clash, the books have both teams finding the back of the net favoured at -150. One or both teams not finding a way to breach one past the goalkeeper is priced +110.
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One of the more free-flowing clubs in Liga MX is Necaxa, with an average scoreline of 3.25 in their matches this year. They rank fourth in the competition averaging 1.8 goals scored per match. Only once in the 2024 Clausura, they have failed to find the back of net which was back in January with a scoreless draw against Club America.
With Necaxa's leading goal scorer Diber Cambindo still injured, Jose Paradela will have to pick up the slack. The 25-year-old has tallied five goals and three assists in 14 domestic league matches. Last weekend's losing effort Cambindo saw 66 minutes of playing time, generating two shots on target with one sneaking by the goalkeeper. He completed 95 percent of his passes going 20-for-21.
Monterey suffered a bit of a glitch last weekend getting shutout to 11th place Leon, failing to find the score sheet for only the third time in 2024. The Rayados overall are finding their stride up on attack, averaging 1.7 goals scored per match which ranks them as the third-best side in Mexico.
Helping keep the ball out of the net is Esteban Andrada. The 33-year-old veteran goalkeeper has appeared in all of Monterrey Liga MX fixtures. Andrada is in the upper echelon in the competition amongst his peers possesses a 73 percent save percentage and has amassed 46 saves throughout his 16 starts. With help mainly from the backline the Argentinian is allowing 1.06 goals against per 90 minutes.
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The Liga MX average where both teams catalog a goal piece in a match is currently at 58 percent. The two sides kicking off against each other have strong backings to wagering on both teams to score market. Monterrey has participated in nine matches while Necaxa has 13 times this year where both clubs found the back of the net. The giants from the north in all competitions in 2024 have failed to get on the scorer's sheets once in their away affairs. Monterrey is more than capable of bagging a goal on the road in this situation. Necaxa shouldn’t have any strenuous moments hitting the back of the net scoring 13 times in eight home affairs.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey pick: Both teams to score (-150) at bet365
When: Sunday, April 28, 8 p.m ET
Where: Estadio Victoria
TV: Univision, Telemundo, Fox Sports, ESPN, Vix and Sling TV
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