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Tijuana vs. Club Necaxa Prediction: Will Tijuana Get Their First Win?

Written by: Angelo Zarra
Published April 5, 2024
8 min read

Friday evening will see Club Necaxa make its way to Estadio Caliente to take on Tijuana. The script has exactly repeated in their four previous clashes, scoring one goal each and splitting the points after 90 minutes. In their last 19 head-to-head meetings, Tijuana has the edge winning eight times while grabbing six draws.

The hosts in this fixture remain the only side in Liga MX without a victory. Tijuana is coming off a 2-0 away defeat against Mazatlan last weekend placing them in the second-last position of the Clausura table. It was the fifth time in the calendar that Tijuana failed to find the scoresheet.

Meanwhile, the visitors are coming off a heartbreaking match at home losing to Leon 2-1, conceding in the 89th minute. The loss last weekend snapped their two-game winning streak. Currently, Necaxa sits in seventh place, only sitting three points back from fourth-placed Tigres.

Tijuana vs. Club Necaxa Betting Odds for Friday, April 5

Heading into Friday's contest, the books are favouriting the outcome that both teams will find the back of the net. For both teams to score is listed at -159, for both teams to fail finding the scoresheet is priced at +110. The competition averages for both clubs bagging a goal has been bumped up to 60 percent in the Clausura season. Both participants have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches.

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Both teams to score Odds
Yes -159
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No +110
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Tijuana vs. Club Necaxa 2024 04 05

Tijuana vs. Club Necaxa Betting Prediction

Tijuana Prediction

With four matches left and sitting six points behind the play-in round, time is running out for The Xolos. If they want to have any shot at a postseason appearance, they will need some luck with the clubs above them in the table to drop points. Tijuana will look to snap their winless run which currently stands at 15 games.

In last weekend's defeat, a player that stood out for Tijuana was Kevin Castaneda. The 24-year-old participated in all 90 minutes of play, registering three shots, which all missed the target. The midfielder finished the match with the most completed passes made with 63, with a success rating of 83 percent.

Club Necaxa Prediction

Primed to join the Liga MX postseason, positioning is yet to still be determined. Los Rayos have only suffered two defeats in the Clausura season, which is a far cry from their most recent Apertura season squandering a total of eight losses and only picking up three victories.

Despite the defeat last weekend, Los Rayos midfielder Bryan Garnica put in a convincing shift. The 27-year-old turned up for all 90 minutes finding the back of the net with the only shot he took in the match in the 64th minute. His second goal in the competition snapped a six-game scoring drought. Garnica is also a key setup man in the middle of the pitch, the versatile midfielder has also tallied three assists in over 1000 minutes played.

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Tijuana vs. Club Necaxa - My Pick

When it comes to the two sides in this clash, they are exceeding the competition's current average in matches that feature both teams scoring. There are solid numbers that back wagering on yes for both clubs to hit the back of the net.

Tijuana has played in eight matches in the Clausura where both teams successfully registered a goal. They’re a side that hasn’t kept a clean sheet in 11 straight matches. In six home matches this year, the combined average total is 2.33 per game, a sign that Tijuana doesn’t play in low-scoring appearances at home.

On the other hand, Club Necaxa, owns the second-best both teams to score form in Liga MX with 11 times out of 13 both clubs chalked up a goal. Like Tijuana, Necaxa plays in higher-scoring contests on the road averaging a combined game total of 3.17 goals per game. In their last 15 road appearances, Los Rayos has been involved 67 percent of the time where both squads buried the ball.

How to Watch Tijuana vs. Club Necaxa

  • When: Friday, April 5, 11 p.m ET

  • Where: Estadio Caliente

  • TV: Univision, Telemundo, Fox Sports, ESPN, Vix and Sling TV

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AUTHOR

Angelo Zarra

40 Articles

Hailing from the great white north in Canada, over the last 15 years, Angelo has been wagering on sports and, more specifically, the sport that’s in his blood, soccer. Well-versed in soccer leagues across the globe, keeping tabs on what’s happening in the world of soccer. Since 2022, Angelo has published MLS betting previews on various websites, including on Major League Soccer's official betting page for a short while. Through the power of social media, Angelo has been invited to talk soccer betting on national TV & radio on Sports Grid.

In Angelo’s free time, he can be found walking his dog and lounging at home watching any game that's on while enjoying his second favourite thing after sports: food! 

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