NBA Player Props and Best Bets: Play the Morant, Mobley Overs
The NBA is on fire with its thrilling matchups and shocking storylines, and we’re here to reveal our best NBA player prop picks for Tuesday’s games.
The biggest story on Monday night was the Minnesota Timberwolves rallying from down 16 with less than four minutes remaining to beat the Oklahoma City Thunder outright in overtime. Zach LaVine also had an excellent night, going 8-9 from three to score 42 points en route to a 42-point win over the Charlotte Hornets.
Here are our best NBA player prop bets for Tuesday night.
Best NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday, February 25
Evan Mobley Over 17.5 Points
Mobley has been great as a scorer recently, averaging 21.1 points per game in February to improve his 18.7-point-per-game season average. He also scored 25 points in his last game and went over this line in all three games coming out of the All-Star break.
Mobley only shot 27.3 percent from beyond the arc this month, but he took eight three-point attempts in his last game, which shows his increased comfort shooting from range. The Orlando Magic have gotten a lot better on defense since they got healthy but will still struggle to deal with what has been the best offense in the Association.
Brandin Podziemski Over 3.5 Assists
Podziemski has a new license as a creator and distributor now that Jimmy Butler has entered the fold, meaning that he dropped down the pecking order in defensive responsibilities for opposing teams and doesn’t face as tight of coverage. That resulted in him going over this line in three of his last four and in six of his last eight games.
The Golden State Warriors are about to face the Charlotte Hornets, who are on the second night of a back-to-back on the road. The Hornets also ranked 20th in assists allowed per game over their last 10 games and gave up 130 points to the Sacramento Kings last night, not to mention that Malik Monk recorded 10 assists.
Max Christie Over 11.5 Points
A lot has been made about Luka Doncic’s revenge game against his former team, but this is also Christie’s return to the place that drafted him as a 19-year-old and helped him become a legit NBA player. With that motivation in mind and seeing as he averaged 15.2 points per game since he joined the Dallas Mavericks, this feels like a strong play.
Christie went over in his first seven games as a Mavericks before he dropped a two-point dud on Sunday. That said, he should play heavy minutes because of the injuries the Mavs are facing, and we like him to get over this line despite the Los Angeles Lakers’ impressive defense over the last month.
Jayson Tatum Over 6.5 Assists
Tatum averaged a career-best 5.7 assists per game this season and raised that to 6.8 assists per game in February, alongside his 27.4 points and 8.0 rebounds. He handed out 19 helpers in his last two games and has now gone over this line in three straight and in six of his last nine outings.
Tatum gave out seven assists the last time he faced the Toronto Raptors and went over in two of three games against this opponent. Toronto also allowed a ton of points per game, which is more important than their recent stretch of games with few assists allowed.
Ja Morant Over 4.5 Rebounds
Morant went under this line in three straight games, but he also went over in four of five just before that. He also started to play more minutes in recent months and finally broke through coach Taylor Jenkins’ habit of playing every one of his players fewer than 30 minutes per game.
Memphis’ young guard has the athleticism and desire to consistently sky above opposing players to corral loose balls, and he had seven rebounds the only time he played the Phoenix Suns this season. Phoenix is also terrible on the glass and allowed the most rebounds per game over their last 10 outings.
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