After holding off the Vegas Golden Knights late surge in game five, the Carolina Hurricanes are now just one more win away from hoisting the Stanley Cup.
Luckily for the Hurricanes, their back line will make it easier for them to pull away on the scoreboard by consistently smothering the Golden Knights who lack the versatility that is needed to stretch out their coverage.
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| Best NHL Prop Bets Today | BetMGM Odds | Kalshi to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights Team Total Under 3 | -135 | Vegas Golden Knights 44% |
| Seth Jarvis Anytime Goal Scorer | +240 | Carolina Hurricanes 52% |
| Jackson Blake Anytime Goal Scorer | +295 | Carolina Hurricanes 52% |
| Odds and market prices are accurate as of the time of publishing and subject to change before the event. | ||
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With the Golden Knights depth struggling to pressure the net, they will be vulnerable to falling into a prolonged scoring lull and fail to match the Carolina Hurricanes output.
After falling into a cold stretch of play at the end of the regular season, the Vegas Golden Knights have started to underwhelm in their efforts of pressuring the net again in the Stanley Cup Finals, falling down the board in Expected Goals For in 5-on-5 Play. Their lack of playmakers in their bottom lines makes it tough for them to keep pace for the full duration of the contest, possessing just five total players who average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.
Unfortunately for the Golden Knights, their struggles on offense will continue to be a thorn in their side against the Carolina Hurricanes as they battle it out against a back line who excels in coverage per their league leading mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Brandon Bussi playing at a high level, averaging just 2.18 Goals Against per game and a .908 Save Percentage. If the Golden Knights team total crashes down to 2.5, then reduce the size of your wager.
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Since the start of the regular season, Seth Jarvis has been efficient, averaging 0.44 Expected Goals and 3.15 Shots on Goal per game. With the Golden Knights back line struggling to stay in front of the puck as their regressing mark in Expected Goals Against indicates, Jarvis will face minimal resistance in his efforts of weaving the puck through their coverage and generate a high volume of shot attempts in front of their net.
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A steady source of production in the Hurricanes second line, Jackson Blake has been able to consistently pressure the net throughout the playoffs, averaging 0.34 Expected Goals per game. With Logan Stankoven pulling the Golden Knights defensive attention away from him, the width of Blake's shooting lanes in front of the crease will open up, improving the probability of his shot attempts turning into Shots on Goal.
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