Basketball at Paris Olympics 2024: Winner Predictions, Picks & Odds

Written by: Christian Jope
Published July 11, 2024
9 min read
  • The USA is the favorite to win gold in Paris.

  • Team USA has taken home basketball gold at four straight Olympic Games.

  • Basketball at the 2024 Paris Olympics begins on July 27.

The 2024 Paris Olympics are just a few weeks away, and the 12 participating teams have been confirmed! To open the tournament, the USA is the favorite to take home another gold medal. While the USA, led by LeBron James and Stephen Curry, looks unstoppable on paper, there are plenty that will give them a great challenge for the top prize!

For the best basketball bets, WSN has you covered with daily betting picks and tips this summer! Throughout the Olympic Tournament, there are plenty of exciting games and props to consider. New users at FanDuel Sportsbook can receive $200 in bonus bets with a $5 wager! No promo code is needed!

Team USA projects to dominate the competition and is the clear favorite to take home gold. However, Canada, who defeated them to earn bronze at the FIBA World Cup, is the top contender for the award behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's leadership. Hosts France will also have their say, as the frontcourt duo of Victor Wembanyama and Rudy Gobert leads them.

Let's check out the bets!

2024 Olympics Men’s Basketball - Gold Medal Winner

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Gold Medal Winner - Pick

The reigning four-time Olympic gold medalist in basketball, the USA is rightly the favorite to take home gold for a fifth consecutive summer game. Team USA can usually find its way to the medal rounds through its offensive pace alone, but it also boasts one of its best-ever defensive rosters. While the likes of France, Canada, and Serbia will surely give them a good match, Team USA’s depth of talent and quality projects to overwhelm the competition once again.

Bet on Team USA (-470) at FanDuel 

Basketball at Olympics 2024 Predictions

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Who is the Favorite to Win Men’s Basketball Gold at the 2024 Olympics?

USA (-470) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

  • Head Coach: Steve Kerr (GSW)

  • Assistant Coaches: Mark Few (Gonzaga), Tyronn Lue (LAC), Erik Spoelstra (MIA)

  • Key Players: LeBron James, Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant

As has been the case for the last twenty years, Team USA is the standard for basketball on the Olympic level. They secured gold over the past four Olympic games—2020 Tokyo, 2016 Rio de Janeiro, 2012 London, and 2008 Beijing. Team USA's success on the Olympic level, 16 gold medals, comes from fielding some of the world's top players, particularly NBA players, after the 1992 Dream Team.

Team USA enters this Olympics with its usual star-studded roster, which sports some of the top talents across the NBA. They are led by LeBron James, who will be competing in his fourth Olympics; Kevin Durant, who will also be competing in his fourth Olympics; and Stephen Curry, who will be making his Olympic debut. One of the biggest stories of the tournament is the presence of Joel Embiid, who has forsaken his home country of Cameroon and his adoptive nation of France to try and win gold with Team USA.

Compared to other rosters in the Olympic tournament, the United States is well above its competition. They'll try to get off to a better start this tournament, considering they lost their opening match to France in the 2020 Tokyo Olympics. Balanced and threatening at every position, Team USA's greatest challenge will be their focus.

Bet on USA (-470) at FanDuel 

Who Are the Top Contenders to Win Men’s Basketball Gold at the 2024 Olympics?

Canada (+110) at FanDuel Sportsbook

  • Head Coach: Jordi Fernández (BKN)

  • Assistant Coaches: Nate Bjorkgren (POR), Philip Jevtovic, Nathaniel Mitchell (MIL), Michael Meeks

  • Key Players: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jamal Murray, Dillon Brooks

Despite nine appearances at the Olympics in basketball, Canada's only medal came at the inaugural Olympic basketball tournament during the Berlin 1936 Summer Games. Notably, a country that thrives at the Winter Olympics, Canada's basketball talent has reached a golden generation that aims to upset their American neighbors for a second consecutive international competition.

Canada enters this Summer Olympics with one of their strongest rosters. They are led by 2023-24 NBA MVP runner-up Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and 2023 NBA Champion Jamal Murray. Canada has struggled to have their most talented players suit up for the national team, but 2024 looks to change that trend. While Canada sports the deepest squad in their program's history, they will miss the presence of two-time National College Player of the Year Zach Edey and ten-year NBA veteran and NBA Champion Andrew Wiggins - both withheld from the competition by their professional teams.

After upsetting the United States to win bronze at the 2023 FIBA World Cup, Canada entered the Olympics confident of earning another upset. Owning one of the tournament's best guard rotations, Canada's offense projects to be among the best. On the other hand, the quality of their frontcourt has raised questions about their competitiveness against the best countries.

Bet on Canada (+110) at FanDuel 

France (+1600) at FanDuel Sportsbook

  • Head Coach: Vincent Collet (Metropolitans 92)

  • Assistant Coaches: Pascal Donnadieu, Kenny Atkinson (CLE)

  • Key Players: Victor Wembanyama, Rudy Gobert, Evan Fournier

As the host of the 2024 Paris Olympics, France looks to earn its first-ever gold medal in basketball. Having made ten Olympic appearances in basketball, France has earned three silver medals—1948 London, 2000 Sydney, and 2020 Tokyo. With a roster of both upcoming and veteran talent, France projects to earn at least a podium place this summer.

France enters the tournament sporting potentially the strongest frontcourt in the competition. Reigning NBA Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert leads the way for France while supported by the current NBA Rookie of the Year, 7 '4 Victor Wembanyama. Partnered with the veteran talents of Nando De Colo, Nicolas Batum, and Evan Fournier, Les Bleus are one of the tournament's best-balanced teams.

While they won silver at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, France aims to bounce back from a disappointing 18th-place finish at the 2023 FIBA World Cup. France needed more pace and versatility at the 2023 FIBA World Cup, which they hope to have remedied ahead of the 2024 Olympics. As the host country, they're expected to have a strong performance, and their new-look roster boasts plenty of promise.

Bet on France (+1600) at FanDuel 

Serbia (+1600) at FanDuel Sportsbook

  • Head Coach: Svetislav Pešić

  • Assistant Coaches: Nenad Jakovljević (Virtus Bologna), Saša Kosović (Bahçeşehir Koleji), Oliver Kostić, Marko Marinović, Ognjen Stojaković (DEN)

  • Key Players: Nikola Jokic, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Stefan Jovic

Serbia has a complicated basketball history, having had success with players representing the now-defunct Yugoslavia and Serbia & Montenegro national teams. After winning silver at the 2016 Rio Olympics, Serbia earned another silver medal at the 2023 FIBA World Cup. Sporting a deep and experienced roster, Serbia hopes to claim its first Olympic gold medal.

Fielding one of the biggest stars in world basketball, Serbia is led by three-time NBA Most Valuable Player Nikola Jokić. He'll be joined by the inside-outside threats of Bogdan Bogdanovic and Nikola Milutinov, two players central to their success at the 2023 FIBA World Cup. With an additional veteran presence in Stefan Jović and Vasilije Micić, along with upcoming prospects Nikola Jović and Aleksej Pokuševsk, Serbia's depth of talent is among the best in the tournament.

Looking to build on their second-place finish at the FIBA World Cup, Serbia is bolstered by adding one of the world's best talents, Nikola Jokic. Serbia's interior play, defense, and offensive organization have been some of the best in the world for years now. Despite their relatively slow pace of play, Serbia has shown through efficiency that they can compete with any team.

Bet on Serbia (+1600) at FanDuel 

How to Watch Basketball at the 2024 Paris Olympics

  • Dates: July 27 - August 10

  • Location: Paris, France

  • How to Watch: NBC, Peacock (Streaming)

More 2024 Paris Olympics Predictions

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Christian Jope

NBA Betting Analyst

Betting Picks
Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Applied Economics)
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
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