UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry - Odds, Predictions, Picks

The Octagon heads to Philly this weekend for a numbered UFC event headlined by UFC Welterweight Champion Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry. Makhachev has just one loss on his pro record, while Machado Garry is looking to follow up his latest win over Belal Muhammad.

• Makhachev is currently on a massive 16-fight winning streak ahead of this title fight, while Machado Garry has suffered just one loss with the promotion

• A title fight between Mackenzie Dern and Gillian Robertson for the UFC Women’s Strawweight Championship takes places in the co-main event

We’ve examined the latest odds ahead of the huge event taking place in Philadelphia. You can also find a breakdown of each fight and our predictions. Get ready for a hyped UFC 330 card this weekend.

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UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry - Picks & Predictions

Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry - Welterweight Division

• Our pick: Islam Makhachev by Points (+135) at FanDuel

Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson - Women’s Strawweight Division

• Our pick: Mackenzie Dern by Points (+170) at FanDuel

Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin - Catchweight

• Our pick: Charles Johnson (-130) at FanDuel

Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Dustin Stoltzfus - Middleweight Division

• Our pick: Mansur Abdul-Malik by TKO/KO (+105) at FanDuel

Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics - Lightweight Division

• Our pick: Over 1.5 rounds (-118) at FanDuel

Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry - Welterweight Division

Makhachev became the welterweight champ on debut after defeating Jack Della Maddalena last November, tying him up for the UFC’s longest win streak in history (16). It’s not much of a surprise to see him listed as the -350 favorite with FanDuel up against Machado Garry. This will be Makhachev’s first welterweight title defense.

The Russian’s elite grappling and ground control emulates that of legend Khabib Nurmagomedov. He also came out of the Dagestani system. That has led to just one loss on his record, when he was caught by Adriano Martins in the first round at UFC 192 over ten years ago. His current streak of 16 straight victories puts him on par with Anderson Silva, so not only will he be defending the belt on Saturday, Makhachev will be looking to make UFC history.

Dublin native Machado Garry has surged up the welterweight rankings since joining the promotion in 2021, picking up notable victories over the likes of Neil Magny, Geoff Neal, Michael Page, Carlos Prates and Muhammad. His only loss was against Shavkat Rakhmonov back in December 2024, but he has since followed up that defeat with successive wins over Prates and Muhammad in 2025.

The size difference is an interesting component of this bout. Machado Garry is four inches taller and has a four-inch reach advantage. “The Future” will need to make the most of those factors to help keep Makhachev at distance and limit takedowns. Makhachev also has impressive striking skills, so there’s a lot for the Irishman to be wary of.

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Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson - Women’s Strawweight Division

Women’s strawweight champ Dern defends her title for the first time this Saturday, as she goes up against the red-hot Robertson. Dern has won her last three straight bouts, while Robertson is on a five-fight win streak. It’s Dern who is listed as the -230 favorite with FanDuel.

A decision victory over Brazilian Virna Jandiroba earned Dern the vacant belt last October. Prior to that, she defeated Loopy Godinez and Amanda Ribas to ascend up the rankings and merit a title shot. She’s a top grappler with her Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background, and certainly has the advantage over Robertson in this area.

Canadian fighter Robertson is heading into this one with excellent momentum, with her streak featuring triumphs over the likes of Luana Pinheiro, Marina Rodriguez, and Amanda Lemos. She hasn’t lost since June 2023 against Tabatha Ricci. “The Savage” is also good on the ground, but will likely struggle on the mat against someone like Dern.

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Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin - Catchweight

Veteran Charles Johnson has been incredibly active during 2026 having already taken part in three fights this year, going 1-2. He heads to the Octagon once again as he faces off against late replacement Eduardo Chapolin, and is the -130 favorite with FanDuel.

Johnson secured a win over Bruno Silva back in March by split decision, but followed that up with a late submission defeat against Asu Almabayev. That’s seen him drop out of the top 15 in the flyweight division.

Brazilian opponent Chapolin is stepping in at late notice against Johnson, and is also making his promotional debut following a win in Dana White’s Contender Series against An Tuan Ho. However, White did not originally award Chapolin a contract on the back of that win; it’s only due to the need for a late call up that the Brazilian is featuring here.

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Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Dustin Stoltzfus - Middleweight Division

Mansur Abdul-Malik is looking to get back in the win column in Philly this Saturday after he lost to Yousri Belgaroui last time out. He’s the heavy -720 favorite with FanDuel for his middleweight bout with Dustin Stoltzfus.

That was Abdul-Malik's first pro loss after he had gone undefeated in his 10 prior fights. The only other spot on his record was a draw with Cody Brundage last June. As for Stoltzfus, he’s an experienced fighter who has been with the promotion since 2020. However, the 34-year-old has struggled, posting a UFC record of 3-7.

It’s no wonder that the younger and more in-form fighter in Abdul-Malik is such a large favorite to win this fight according to the oddsmakers. He’ll be expected to win this one comfortably, but Stoltzfus does have the volatility to drop the 28-year-old.

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Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics - Lightweight Division

Opening up the UFC 330 main card is a lightweight bout between Edson Barboza and Esteban Ribovics. Despite the two fighters coming off of defeats last time out, it’s Ribovics who is the -590 favorite with FanDuel. The Argentine fighter was submitted by Mateusz Gamrot in his last bout, while his Brazilian counterpart has lost his last three consecutive fights.

Barboza certainly does not have age on his side, given that he is now 40-years-old. He’s shown plenty of signs that he’s past his best, too, especially since hasn’t won a fight since October 2023 against Sodiq Yusuff.

Ribovics has at least been in the win column more recently, securing a win on the judge’s scorecards against Elves Brenner in August 2025.

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How to Watch UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

• Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States

• When: Saturday, August 15

• Time: 9:00 PM ET

• How: Paramount+