UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez - Odds, Predictions, Picks
The UFC makes its debut in Belgrade, Serbia this weekend, as Serbian fighter Uros Medic squares off against Daniel Rodriguez for a ranked welterweight bout. Veteran Jan Blachowicz also returns to the Octagon for a light heavyweight meeting with Navajo Stirling.
Medic is looking to extend his three-fight winning streak and continue his climb up the welterweight rankings, but Rodriguez is on a hot streak himself
Polish fighter Blachowicz is hoping to snap a four-fight winless streak in the co-main event, while opponent Stirling has yet to suffer a loss during his pro career
It’s set to be a thrilling night of action for the first ever UFC event in Serbia. We’ve previewed every single fight on the main card and provided our picks and predictions for UFC Fight Night 283 below.
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez - Odds
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| Fighter | FanDuel Odds | Kalshi Chances |
|---|---|---|
| Uros Medic | -430 | 76% |
| Daniel Rodriguez | +300 | 24% |
| Fighter | FanDuel Odds | Kalshi Chances |
| Jan Blachowicz | +260 | 25% |
| Navajo Stirling | -360 | 75% |
| Fighter | FanDuel Odds | Kalshi Chances |
| Aleksandar Rakic | -350 | 76% |
| Marcin Tybura | +255 | 24% |
| Fighter | FanDuel Odds | Kalshi Chances |
| Dusko Todorovic | +138 | 40% |
| Robert Valentin | -178 | 60% |
| Fighter | FanDuel Odds | Kalshi Chances |
| Vlasto Cepo | -400 | 76% |
| Gilbert Urbina | +285 | 24% |
| Fighter | FanDuel Odds | Kalshi Chances |
| Milos Janicic | -106 | 47% |
| Noah Gugnon | -120 | 53% |
| Odds and market prices are accurate as of the time of publishing and subject to change before the event. | ||
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UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez - Picks & Predictions
Uros Medic vs. Daniel Rodriguez - Welterweight Division
Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling - Light Heavyweight Division
Our pick: Jan Blachowicz (+260) at FanDuel
Aleksandar Rakic vs. Marcin Tybura - Heavyweight Division
Dusko Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin - Middleweight Division
Vlasto Cepo vs. Gilbert Urbina - Middleweight Division
Our pick: Vlasto Cepo by KO/TKO (-220) at FanDuel
Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon - Lightweight Division
Our pick: Milos Janicic (-106) at FanDuel
Uros Medic vs. Daniel Rodriguez - Welterweight Division
| Uros Medic | TALE OF THE TAPE | Daniel Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | AGE | 39 |
| 6 ft 1 in | HEIGHT | 6 ft 1 in |
| 71 in | REACH | 74 in |
| 13-3-0 | RECORD | 20-5-0 |
Medic will close up this weekend’s fight card with a bout against veteran Rodriguez. The pair are both on good streaks heading into the fight. However, it’s the Serbian with the home advantage who is the heavy -430 favorite with FanDuel.
The streaking Medic has won his last three consecutive fights, defeating Gilbert Urbina, Muslim Salikhov, and Geoff Neal, all by knockout. None of his 16 career bouts have gone the distance, so expect that trend to continue against Rodriguez. After returning to welterweight in 2023, “The Doctor” has gone 5-2, and is starting to climb the rankings.
Californian “D-Rod” heads into the Octagon on a three-fight winning streak himself, securing victories over Alex Morono, Santiago Ponzinibbio, and Kevin Holland. It’s been just over a year since he earned the unanimous decision win over Holland, but he’ll still feel like he’s got good momentum heading into the bout.
Medic’s knockout power is evident, and he’ll be on the hunt straightaway for the early finish. As for Rodriguez, he’s more of a precision striker and will look to rack up the volume. It seems like it will be tough for “D-Rod” to avoid a heavy hit, especially given he’s nearly 40, but he has shown that he’s got a strong chin.
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Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling - Light Heavyweight Division
| Jan Blachowicz | TALE OF THE TAPE | Navajo Stirling |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | AGE | 28 |
| 6 ft 2 in | HEIGHT | 6 ft 4 in |
| 78 in | REACH | 79 in |
| 29-11-2 | RECORD | 10-0-0 |
Experienced veteran and former UFC light heavyweight champion Blachowicz enters his 43rd pro fight looking to snap a four-fight winless streak. The Pole has just one win over his last six bouts, and takes on an undefeated Stirling this weekend. New Zealander Stirling is the -360 favorite with FanDuel.
Blachowicz’s recent record is perhaps a little misleading due to the strength of the opponents he’s faced. His two recent defeats was first a narrow loss to former champ Alex Pereira, followed by a hard-fought yet deserved loss to current champ Carlos Ulberg. He drew with Bogdan Guskov in his most recent showing, but had to fight back after almost getting knocked out in the first round.
Stirling is taking this fight at short notice, but is the clear favorite to defeat Blachowicz. He’s bigger than the Pole, is 5-0 with the promotion, and comfortably dispatched Ion Cutebala last time out. The fact that he’s almost 15 years younger is another factor, and he is much faster than his opponent, which could help him avoid the Pole’s power. That said, Blachowicz has the experience to deal with an opponent like Stirling.
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Aleksandar Rakic vs. Marcin Tybura - Heavyweight Division
| Aleksandar Rakic | TALE OF THE TAPE | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | AGE | 40 |
| 6 ft 4 in | HEIGHT | 6 ft 3 in |
| 78 in | REACH | 78 in |
| 14-6-0 | RECORD | 27-11-0 |
Aleksandar Rakic is aiming to snap a four-fight losing streak on Saturday as he takes on Polish fighter Marcin Tybura. The 34-year-old is currently the -350 favorite with FanDuel, and will be making the move up to heavyweight here.
Those four straight defeats for Rakic have prompted his move up to heavyweight. He lost to Azamat Murzakanov in his last fight back in October, while he also suffered recent losses to Magomed Ankalaev, Jiří Procházka, and Blachowicz.
Tybura has lost his last two back-to-back against Tyrell Fortune and Ante Delija. The 40-year-old’s last win was against Mick Parkin in March 2025, and he does have a solid promotional record of 14-10 overall.
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Dusko Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin - Middleweight Division
| Dusko Todorovic | TALE OF THE TAPE | Robert Valentin |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | AGE | 31 |
| 6 ft 1 in | HEIGHT | 6 ft 2 in |
| 74 in | REACH | 77 in |
| 13-6-0 | RECORD | 12-6-0, 1 NC |
Serbian Dusko Todorovic will battle it out with Robert Valentin in a middleweight clash. It’s the latter who is the -178 favorite with FanDuel, as he looks to build on his first promotional win over Julien LeBlanc in his last fight.
“Krusko” has struggled for consistency since joining the UFC, having yet to win successive bouts, and has an underwhelming record of 4-6 with the promotion. “Robzilla” hasn’t had a great start in the UFC either with a record of 1-3, but both fighters head into this clash on the back of victories.
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Vlasto Cepo vs. Gilbert Urbina - Middleweight Division
| Vlasto Cepo | TALE OF THE TAPE | Gilbert Urbina |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | AGE | 30 |
| 6 ft 1 in | HEIGHT | 5 ft 9 in |
| N/A | REACH | 75 in |
| 14-3-0 | RECORD | 7-5-0 |
Vlasto Cepo enters his matchup with Gilbert Urbina as the -400 favorite with FanDuel for his UFC debut. “El Chapo” has a strong pro record of 14-3, and has spent the last three and a half years in Czech-Slovak MMA organization Oktagon. He’s won his last two successive fights, both with finishes inside the first round.
US opponent Urbina has fought four times in the UFC, but has a poor record of 1-3, being knocked out in back-to-back bouts by Charles Radtke and Medic. We’re not expecting this one to last long, and with home support on his side, this fight looks set up nicely for Cepo.
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Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon - Lightweight Division
| Milos Janicic | TALE OF THE TAPE | Noah Gugnon |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | AGE | 25 |
| 6 ft 0 in | HEIGHT | 5 ft 10 in |
| 72 in | REACH | 68.5 in |
| 19-3-0 | RECORD | 9-2-0 |
Milos Janicic and Noah Gugnon make their UFC debuts at UFC Belgrade, with both fighters boasting promising career records. French fighter Gugnon is the narrow -120 favorite with FanDuel as he looks to continue his five-fight win streak.
Montenegrin Janicic is also on a hot streak entering the bout, winning his last eight consecutive fights. Several of those wins have come in the South-European MMA organization FNC. All eight victories came via early finishes.
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How to Watch UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Location: Belgrade Arena, Belgrade, Serbia
When: Saturday, August 1
Time: 1:00 PM ET
How: Paramount+
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