WNBA Player Props and Best Bets: Expect Big Numbers From A’ja Wilson and Caitlin Clark

Tonight’s WNBA schedule includes two of the best teams in the league, the Las Vegas Aces and Indiana Fever, but they aren’t playing each other. If the competition isn’t too tough, that could mean we’ll have a number of solid WNBA player props to choose from.

Caitlin Clark and the Fever will take on the Atlanta Dream at 7 p.m. EST. A’ja Wilson will lead the Las Vegas Aces against the Connecticut Sun. Both games start at 7 p.m. EST.

Best WNBA Prop Bets for Tuesday, May 20

Caitlin Clark, OVER 21.5 Points

Had Clark not needed a significant second-half push to reach 20 points against Chicago, I wouldn’t sweat taking the OVER here, but she did. However, since the Mystics put up 94 points on the Dream in their season opener, I’m not too worried about it.

Washington’s rookie guards scored 14 (Kiki Iriafen) and 19 points (Sonia Citron) on Atlanta. Caitlin Clark will score 22+ points in front of a home crowd.

Caitlin Clark, to Make 4+ Three-Pointers

Anyone who bet a lot on Clark’s three-point metrics last season knows that she can run hot/cold. She had consecutive games with 4+ made three-pointers twice last year, a pair of games around midseason, and five in a row towards the end of the year.

Last season, she recorded four vs. Atlanta in three of four games. So far, there is no reason to think this Dream defense is going to be any better.

DeWanna Bonner, UNDER 10.5 Points

She may be No. 3 on the all-time WNBA scoring list, but points are not Bonner’s primary function. Indiana’s offense is going through Caitlin Clark, Aliyah Boston, Natasha Howard, and Kelsey Mitchell. Most of Bonner’s baskets will likely come from second-chance shots.

Bonner had seven against Chicago, going 2-9 from the court and 3-4 from the free throw line. I’d be surprised to see her get that many shots again this week. But even if she does, keep your expectations low.

A’ja Wilson, OVER 26.5 Points

What is always going to make betting on Wilson’s prop total a challenge is that she is capable of going off for 30+ on any given night. Going OVER 26.5 points is not a significant accomplishment for her. That being said, she doesn’t always score 26.5+ points a game.

Against the Sun last season, she averaged 25 ppg. But this version of the Sun does not play defense nearly as well as last year’s version. As long as she takes her shots (15- 20+ attempts), she’ll clear 26.5 points.

A’ja Wilson, OVER 12.5 Rebounds

Wilson and Nikola Jokic are the only ones who can have a rebound total this high and for it not to be absurd. Last week, Wilson picked up where she left off, with 16 boards vs. She averaged 11 per game vs. the Sun last year, but this is a different Connecticut team.

The only thing that can stop Wilson is herself (and that’s not going to happen).

Marina Mabrey, UNDER 18.5 Points

Mabrey averaged 14.9 points per game last season and around 17 against the Aces (across four games). But she went OVER 18.5 points once. In Connecticut’s opener, she went 5-21 from the floor and 1-8 from three-point range,  against a lackluster Washington defense..

But tonight, she’ll face a good Vegas defense. She’ll take her shots, and she’ll probably make more than she did vs. the Mystics. However, asking her to go over 18.5 points after scoring 11 in the opener is asking a bit much.