FIFA World Cup Props Today: Sunday, July 19 - Final

Best World Cup Prop Bets for Wednesday, July 15

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Spain vs. Argentina Prop Bets

The World Cup trophy is up for grabs when Spain faces Argentina at the MetLife Stadium, with the latest World Cup odds pointing toward a tightly contested, historic matchup between the two powerhouses.

Draw at Half-time ($0.49) at Polymarket

Spain and Argentina have not played each other in a competitive fixture since World Cup 1966, so this final has a freshness to it that would have been absent had it been Spain vs England (finalists at Euro 2024) or France vs Argentina (finalists at World Cup 2022). It is a hard game to call, with little separating two teams that play in a similar way.

Both Spain and Argentina are more technical than physical. They like to dominate possession and create overloads in central areas, packing the midfield with as many players as possible. Yet despite these similar approaches, Spain has been more successful at exerting control. It has conceded just one goal all tournament and won each of its four knockout games up to now within 90 minutes.

Argentina, on the other hand, has experienced as much chaos as control. It has not kept a clean sheet in the knockout phase. The defending champion needed extra time to beat Cape Verde and Switzerland, while dramatic comebacks were required to get past Egypt and England, with the winning goal on both occasions coming in second-half stoppage time. 

It will be fascinating to see how Spain and Argentina match up in the final, but we might have to wait until the second half for the game to open up. Spain is not the most productive attacking side, and it will bide its time rather than try to force the issue. Argentina tends to grow stronger as the game wears on, and it will be wary of overcommitting in the first 45 minutes. Go for a draw at half-time at $0.49 with Polymarket. 

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Spain to Score First ($0.54) at Polymarket

We continue our rundown of the best daily World Cup team props with a recommendation to tip Spain to open the scoring. La Roja began the tournament with a 0-0 tie with Cape Verde, but since then it has gone 1-0 up in every single game. Because it does not concede many goals, Spain has been able to open the scoring even in the latter stages of matches, such as when Mikel Merino scored the winner against Portugal in second-half stoppage time.

We expect Spain to draw first blood against Argentina too. Lionel Scaloni’s side fell behind to England in the semi-finals, having previously gone 2-0 down to Egypt in the round of 16. On other occasions, Argentina has struck first. But with Spain likely to dominate possession here, the South American side will spend plenty of time on the back foot, certainly more so than usual.

Argentina’s defense has looked vulnerable during this World Cup. It shipped two goals each to Cape Verde and Egypt, neither of which is one of the strongest sides on the planet. It perhaps would have conceded twice to Switzerland as well had Breel Embolo not been shown a red card. Argentina has frequently relied on its offensive firepower to bail out its defense.

As we have already discussed, Spain is not the most free-scoring side. But Lamine Yamal is getting back to his best, Mikel Oyarzabal has done well up front, Dani Olmo is a dangerous No.10, and the full-backs provide attacking thrust on the flanks. With all that in mind, select Spain as the scorers of the first goal - you can buy that position at $0.54 with Polymarket.

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Lionel Messi to Provide an Assist ($0.25) at Polymarket

It is now time to look at the soccer player props odds. The assist market often gets overlooked for the anytime goalscorer market, and it is easy to see why. Goals are easier to predict than assists, which rely on the finishing ability of a team-mate as such as the creative capacity of the passer. And not every goal has an assist anyway.

Yet that means there is often better value in this market, and that is certainly the case for the World Cup final. It is widely known that, at the time of writing ahead of the third-place play-off, Lionel Messi is level with Kylian Mbappe at the top of the scoring charts with eight goals apiece. But many may not realize that only Michael Olise (five) has registered more assists than Messi (four).

Nine of Argentina's last 10 goals have been scored by players other than Messi. The holder has not been completely reliant on its 39-year-old captain for goals. But Messi has been instrumental as a playmaker. Most notably, he provided the assist for both of Argentina's goals against England in the semi-final, as well as for the opener against Switzerland in the quarters.

In the knockout phase, Messi has often focused on collecting the ball in deeper areas and progressing it into dangerous positions, either via crosses or passes. He also takes Argentina’s corners and free-kicks, providing him with more opportunities to lay on opportunities for his colleagues. 

Throughout his career, Messi has been a creator as well as a converter of chances. Select him to provide an assist at $0.25 with Polymarket, as he attempts to win the World Cup for a second time.

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