NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Tuesday 3/26/24

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The San Antonio Spurs hung on to beat the Phoenix Suns without Victor Wembanyama behind 26 points and 18 rebounds from Jeremy Sochan, while the Atlanta Hawks rallied from down 30 to beat the league-leading Boston Celtics.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Tuesday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo code for a chance for a $200 bonus.

Jonathan Kuminga Under 18.5 Points (-128) at FanDuel

Kuminga, a Most Improved Player candidate, averaged 19.5 points in March and was on a great streak of overs. However, he hit the under in three of his last four outings, isn’t making his few three-point attempts, and is getting a tough matchup in the form of a desperate Miami Heat team.

There’s arguably no team that does a better job guarding guard and wing drives with anyone in their rotation, even if there is an on-paper mismatch. The Heat also allowed the fourth-fewest points per game over their last 15 outings and have excellent rim protection with Bam Adebayo, which should make life difficult for the spry 21-year-old Kuminga.

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Rui Hachimura Over 14.5 Points (-118) at FanDuel

Hachimura’s move into the starting lineup unlocked the Los Angeles Lakers’ offense and allowed them to become one of the most prolific units despite a horrible start to the year shooting the basketball. With LeBron James expected to miss Tuesday’s clash with the Milwaukee Bucks, last year’s trade acquisition should have an even larger role than he usually does.

In nine games without LeBron this season, Hachimura averaged 16.6 points and hit the over five times. He only managed nine his last time out and will have the responsibility of guarding Giannis Antetokunmpo at times, but he’ll also get lots of extra shot opportunities without LeBron on the court.

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Anthony Davis Over 3.5 Assists (-122) at FanDuel

Davis has become an underrated playmaker at the center position. Although he doesn’t have a high assist total, he’s had several games where he flashed an impressive knack for finding the open man, several of those coming in games in which his Kingly teammate was not on the court.

Davis is an even 4-4 on overs when LeBron doesn’t play and he does this season, most recently giving out five assists in a matchup with this same Bucks team. He also went over in four of his last seven, and with the rest of the Lakers’ shooting the ball as well as they are, Davis should be able to find his way to at least four assists.

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Trey Murphy III Over 5.5 Rebounds (-104) at FanDuel

Murphy III is becoming one of the most important players on the New Orleans Pelicans team not named Brandon Ingram or Zion Williamson. His excellent shooting (3.7 threes per game on 41 percent shooting in March) is a huge plus, but so is his rebounding (6.5 rebounds per game over his last six games).

The Pelicans are taking on a scrappy Oklahoma City Thunder team that is excellent at mostly everything except for rebounding, which they rank just 28th in as far as rebound rate. Murphy’s size and wingspan should help him gain an advantage over most of their wings and allow him to cash another over in this market.

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Luka Doncic Over 32.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

Betting on a player to score a minimum of 33 points can seem risky, but then again, Doncic averages 34 points per night and is shooting a career-high 37.3 percent from beyond the arc. He hit the over in seven of his last 11 games despite shooting the ball below his usual standard in his last few games and has the opportunity to have a big night on Tuesday.

The Dallas Mavericks are set to battle the Sacramento Kings, who simply don’t have a reliable defensive weapon for the Slovenian superstar. Even the best defenders in the league can’t slow him down, and expecting a De’Aaron Fox-Keon Ellis backcourt duo to do just that is optimistic at best.

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