NBA Player Props and Best Bets: Ant Man, Steph In for Long Nights
The final day of pre-All-Star break action in the NBA has sadly arrived, and we’re here to reveal our best player prop picks before the league’s one-week break.
Jamal Murray topped all scorers with a career-high 55 points in a win over the Portland Trail Blazers, while Karl-Anthony Towns and Jalen Brunson combined for 80 points in an overtime win against the Atlanta Hawks.
Here are our best NBA betting picks for Thursday’s action.
Odds for today's NBA prop bets are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Place a $5 wager at FanDuel Sportsbook and receive $150 in bonus bets if your bet wins.
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Best NBA Prop Bets for Thursday, February 13
Derrick Jones Jr. Under 3.5 Rebounds (-115) at FanDuel
Jones Jr. went under this line in four of his last five games and averaged 3.6 rebounds per game for the Los Angeles Clippers. He’s also about to take on a Utah Jazz team that has enormous size in its frontcourt and, fittingly, ranks sixth in rebounds allowed per game.
LA’s starting forward had three rebounds when he faced the Jazz last Saturday and one rebound when he played them on Nov. 17. He could also play fewer minutes due to the arrival of Bogdan Bogdanovic, who will give the Clippers’ second unit the scoring punch that it often lacked throughout the season.
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Kel’El Ware Under 0.5 Threes (+162) at FanDuel
Ware did not make a single three in his last four games and in five of six outings in February, putting him at 11.1 percent three-point shooting for the month. He shot 37.3 percent from deep for the season but only made 0.7 threes on 1.8 attempts per game, meaning he’s nothing close to a high-volume shooter.
The Dallas Mavericks are seventh in made threes allowed per game, and their injury crisis means they should have players who are more accustomed to defending the perimeter guarding Ware. That could lead to an increase in interior scoring but should limit Ware and the Heat’s potential from three-point land.
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Anthony Edwards Under 4.5 Assists (+122) at FanDuel
If anyone needs proof that Edwards has irrational confidence in himself, he went 10-33 from the field and 4-17 from three in last night’s loss to the Milwaukee Bucks. He only dished out four assists and went under this line in four of five games despite averaging 4.5 assists per game for the year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are the best defensive team in the sport and allowed the fourth-fewest assists per game. Their defensive strength means they don’t have to show extra bodies to Edwards, meaning he should have fewer open passing lanes and should be more incentivized to put up shots, just like he did on Wednesday. He also had just two assists in his only previous matchup with OKC.
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Trey Murphy III Under 10.5 Rebounds+Assists (-120) at FanDuel
Murphy has continued to be an efficient volume shooter, averaging 25.6 points per game in February and bringing his season total to 22.5 points per game. However, he went under this line in nine of his last 12 games and in two of his three previous matchups with the Sacramento Kings.
Despite a shuffle in the lineup following several trade moves, the Kings allowed the fewest rebounds per game over their last five outings (though they were 20th in assists allowed per game). Most of the Pelicans’ key players are available, so that means fewer assist and rebounding opportunities for the impressive swingman.
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Stephen Curry Under 25.5 Points (-120) at FanDuel
Curry put up 25 points against the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday, marking the first time he scored fewer than 32 points in four games. However, that hot streak of games was an outlier for his season, which saw him average 23.4 points per game and go under this line in six straight games to close January.
Golden State now has to take on the defensive-minded Houston Rockets, who kept the four-time champion to 19 points in their only previous matchup. Houston also allowed the second-fewest made threes per game, so this should be more of a Jimmy Butler game than a Curry game, if anyone is going to find success.
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