NBA Player Props and Best Bets: Bet Butler’s Overs in Miami Reunion and a Fiery SGP
The NBA is back in action on Tuesday, and I have five NBA player prop picks I’m dying to share ahead of tip-off.
Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner broke 30 points as the Orlando Magic’s resurgence continued with a home win against the Los Angeles Lakers, while Coby White stayed hot with 37 points in a win over the Denver Nuggets.
Today’s slate of games features Jimmy Butler making his return to South Beach, the NBA championship favorites on the road out West, and many more exciting matchups.
Here are my top five NBA player prop bets and an NBA same-game parlay for Tuesday.
Additionally, be sure to check out our prediction for the Warriors vs. Heat matchup.
Odds for today's NBA prop bets are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Place a $5 wager at FanDuel Sportsbook and receive $200 in bonus bets if your bet wins.
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Best NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday, March 25
Jalen Duren Over 11.5 Rebounds (+102) at FanDuel
The 21-year-old center snatched 12 rebounds in his last game and went over in six of 11 games in March. He also played more minutes than usual recently and is going against a San Antonio Spurs squad that allowed the sixth-most rebounds per game over the last 30 days of action.
Duren is a physical specimen who will dominate players who don’t meet his level of physicality, which includes Bismack Biyombo and the Spurs’ rotation of big men. There’s also great value on this line considering both teams play at fast paces, which means there will be lots of shots and rebounding opportunities.
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Paolo Banchero Over 2.5 Threes (+146) at FanDuel
Banchero has been on first shooting the rock from distance, making 2.5 threes per game on 41.2 percent shooting from range in March. He went over in four of his last six games and now gets to face a Charlotte Hornets team that ranked 29th in made threes allowed per game and 26th in three-point percentage allowed over the last month.
To make this even better, Banchero went 4-9 (44.4 percent) from downtown in his only matchup with the Hornets this season. He’s confident after scoring 30+ points in three straight games going against a terrible team on the second night of a back-to-back, all of which contribute to this being one of my best NBA player prop picks today.
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Jimmy Butler Over 21.5 Points (-102) at FanDuel
Butler, who is 16-3 as a member of the Golden State Warriors, is making his long-awaited return to South Beach to face the Miami Heat tonight. Immediately, his personality and intensity and the bad blood between him and the Heat’s front office make this player prop pick jump off the page.
Butler also scored 25 points in the Warriors’ last game and would be the main man in the event that Steph Curry still can’t go after he suffered an injury last Thursday. Butler also went over this line in three of his last four games, while the Heat only just broke a 10-game losing streak and are playing some of the worst basketball in the Association.
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Darius Garland Under 23.5 Points (-128) at FanDuel
Garland very well might lock down an All-NBA spot, but he went under this line in five straight games and went under in two of his last three outings without Donovan Mitchell. The Cleveland Cavaliers also appear to have somewhat shut “it” down, losing four of their last five games after starting the year at a staggering 56-10.
The Portland Trail Blazers have become a respectable defensive team and were 14th in points allowed per game over the last month. Garland also scored just 13 points on 4-16 (25 percent) shooting when they met on March 2, the only time he faced them this season.
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Josh Hart Over 13.5 Points (-112) at FanDuel
Hart didn’t eclipse this line in six straight games, yet I believe that he has a great opportunity to find his way to the over on Tuesday. The Dallas Mavericks are battered and bruised, will likely not have Anthony Davis available for the second night of a back-to-back, and allowed the second-most points per game over the last month of play.
Hart, even as a guard, loves to probe the interior and score in the paint. The Mavs are down nearly all of their big men and have really struggled to defend the redacted area, which sets up well for the aggressive Hart, particularly amid the injury-induced absence of star guard Jalen Brunson.
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NBA Same-Game Parlay (+357) at FanDuel
-Atlanta Hawks at Houston Rockets (-8)
Trae Young under 25.5 points: Had a great scoring month but is facing a defense that allowed the fifth-fewest points per game and held him to 21 in their previous meeting.
Caris LeVert under 3.5 rebounds: Went under in eight of his last 10 outings, while the Rockets’ athletic lineup allowed the fifth-fewest rebounds per game.
Amen Thompson 4+ assists: Got to this line in 15 of his last 19 games and is going against a defense that allowed the fifth-most assists per game.
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