Knicks vs. Mavericks Prediction and Odds for November 27: NBA Finals Preview

The high-flying New York Knicks (10-7) are on a crash course with the Dallas Mavericks (10-8) in the heart of Texas on Wednesday. 

The Knicks dropped 145 points on Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets their last time on the court to market their fifth win in six games. On the other side, the Mavs are coming off of a 129-119 win over the Atlanta Hawks and also won five of their last six.

Here, we will review the betting odds and share our favorite picks for the Knicks vs. Mavericks encounter on Wednesday.

Knicks vs. Mavericks Betting Odds for Wednesday, November 27

The Knicks are 8-8-1 (50 percent) against the spread, 5-5 (50 percent) ATS on the road, and 7-7-1 (50 percent) ATS as the favorite.

The Mavs are 9-8-1 (52.9 percent) ATS, 5-4 (55.6 percent) ATS at home, and 4-2-1 (66.7 percent) ATS as an underdog.

The following odds for the Knicks vs. Mavericks game are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Place your bets at BetMGM and claim up to $1,500 in bonus bets* with our promo code WSNSPORTS.

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Knicks vs. Mavericks Prediction

New York Knicks Preview

The Knicks are in a state of offensive euphoria at the moment. Karl-Anthony Towns is playing the best basketball of his career and cruised to an average of 26.3 points on 54.8 percent shooting from the field and 47.1 percent from three despite only arriving in the Big Apple a few months ago.

Towns’ ability to stretch the floor combined with Jalen Brunson’s knack for getting downhill and drawing fouls, Josh Hart’s rim pressure in transition, and OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges’ abilities to slash or spot up for three has made New York one of the preeminent homes for modern offense in basketball.

The Knicks posted the second-best offensive rating in the league and are only 0.4 points behind the Cleveland Cavaliers. Their biggest issues have come on defense, where they’re only 23rd in points allowed per 100 possessions and allowed opponents to shoot the fifth-highest percentage from three (37.3).

How can Tom Thibodeau remedy these shortcomings? It’s easier said than done, but there needs to be a way to leverage the defensive abilities of Anunoby and Bridges. Towns also has to do a better job at locking down the interior, though his offensive production and a lack of interior bench depth somewhat justify his unimpressive defense.

As impressive as the Knicks have been, only the Washington Wizards were worse in clutch time (games within five points in the final five minutes). The Knicks posted a -44.2 net rating during these moments, which is more than twice as bad as the Detroit Pistons, for comparison. 

An important factor in this matchup could be the battle of the boards. Whereas the Mavericks are a mediocre 17th in rebound rate, the Knicks are seventh.

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Dallas Mavericks Preview

Dallas rolled the dice by letting go of its point-of-attack defender, Derrick Jones Jr., and bringing in an old Klay Thompson during the offseason. While the decision had many skeptics, it’s already begun to pay off based on the Mavs’ results and statistical performances.

The Mavs are sixth in offensive and seventh in defensive rating, resulting in them outscoring their opponents by 5.7 points per 100 possessions—one spot behind the Knicks (6.6).

Thompson’s movement shooting and quick trigger has been the perfect complement to Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving’s ability to create shots for themselves and their teammates out of isolation. The ball also moves better now, and there’s more space to attack the driving lanes due to Thompson’s gravity beyond the arc.

The two-man tandem of Daniel Gafford and Dereck Lively II is wreaking havoc once again. In 43.2 combined minutes, the pair averaged 21 points, 13.7 rebounds, and 2.9 blocks on better than 70 percent shooting. If that was one player, they’d be a member of the All-NBA team, which means Dallas is getting elite production on the interior regardless of who is on the court.

The Mavericks dominated clutch time last year. They haven’t been great thus far, but their performances in the fourth quarter last year proved they can drive game homes down the stretch.

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Knicks vs. Mavericks Betting Pick

• Knicks vs. Mavericks pick: Mavericks +4.5 (-115) at BetMGM

The Knicks are in total flow state on the offensive end. While the Mavs aren’t putting up the same gaudy numbers, they’ve been consistently solid and have elite upper-end potential thanks to their star guards.

This will be a solid litmus test for both teams. The Knicks’ investment in their team means they want and really need to make the Finals, while the Mavs were just there and are hoping to get over the hump with a win.

This matchup could go either way, but we trust the Mavs’ consistency at home and defense to help them cover and potentially win.

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How to Watch Knicks vs. Mavericks on 11/25/24

• When: Wednesday, Nov. 27 @ 6:30/7:30 p.m. CT/ET

• Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

• TV: ESPN

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