Best NHL Prop Bets Today: A Battle Between Two Vezina Trophy Contending Goalies
With Connor Hellebuyck and Darcy Kuemper expected to get the start in net in the matchup between the Winnipeg Jets and Los Angeles Kings, we kick off Tuesday’s slate of games targeting a full game under as it makes for the perfect total to escalator bet. Before their puck drops, we turn our attention towards the Florida Panthers team total as their offense faces off against a Montreal Canadiens back line who severely struggles in coverage.
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Winnipeg Jets vs. Los Angeles Kings - Prop Bets (10:30 PM, EST)
Escalator Bet Full Game Under 5.5 (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Since the start of the regular season, the Winnipeg Jets Connor Hellebuyck has made a strong case for winning his second straight Vezina Trophy award as he continues to play at a very high level. In 57 appearances, Hellebuyck currently leads the league in average Goals Against per game, Save Percentage, and in Goalie Wins. His back line has also started to give him the coverage he needs to sustain his high marks in net as the Jets defense ranks top-5 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
Against Los Angeles, Hellebuyck will have the opportunity to strengthen his claim for the Vezina Trophy as he faces off against an offense who ranks 20th in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.02 Expected Goals per game. Their lack of viable scorers hurts their ability to pressure the net as only three players average more than 0.30 Expected Goals per game while no one eclipses 0.40. This allows Hellebuyck to remain relatively anchored in net, lessening the chance of a gap opening up behind him.
On the other side of the ice, Darcy Kuemper gets the benefit of playing behind a Kings back line who leads the league in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their suffocating coverage has helped Kuemper play at a high level this season as the Kings goalie is averaging 2.10 Goals Against per game and a .919 Save Percentage. With Winnipeg’s offense also struggling to generate Expected Goals at a league average rate, escalator bet the full game total by sprinkling smaller wagers on the alternate unders.
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Josh Morrissey Under 1.5 Shots on Goal (+140) at BetMGM Sportsbook
With the Kings defense excelling at defending their net as their top ranked mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations indicates, the Jets Josh Morrissey will see a drastic decrease in the width of his shooting lanes. This also lessens the chance of him generating a Shot on Goal when shooting from the blue line as their stout coverage will stop the puck from reaching the net. With his offense unable to stretch out their back line, expect Morrissey to be held under his total in Shots on Goal.
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Florida Panthers vs. Montreal Canadiens - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)
Florida Panthers Team Total Over 3.5 (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Even though the Florida Panthers offense already ranks second overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations, the reigning Stanley Cup champions made one of the bigger moves at the trade deadline and acquired Brad Marchand from the Boston Bruins. Marchand gives the Panthers another reliable forward who excels at pressuring the net at a consistent rate as the former Bruin averages 0.45 Expected Goals and 2.84 Shots on Goal per game.
Marchand, along with the rest of the Panthers offense, will have the opportunity to thrive against Montreal as the Canadiens defense ranks 30th in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with the Panthers possessing more than enough playmakers to stretch out the Canadiens coverage to help create higher quality scoring opportunities as six players average nearly 0.40 Expected Goals per game. With minimal resistance between them and the net, expect the Panthers to clear the over on their team total.
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Florida Panthers Puck Line -1.5 (+135) at Caesars Sportsbook
Not only have the Canadiens back line struggled to play at a competitive level, but their offense also ranks below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Their lack of versatility hurts their chances of spacing out the Panthers coverage which lowers their chances of pressuring their net. Expect Sergei Bobrovsky to wall off their low quality Shots on Goal and keep the Canadiens off the scoreboard while his own offense builds up a lead to cover the puck line.
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