Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Target the Red Wings Team Total

After a hot start to the year, the Detroit Red Wings have the opportunity to build on their momentum as they face off against the New York Islanders who severely underwhelm on defense. At the same time as their puck drop, we turn our attention towards San Jose as the Sharks front line will continue to struggle with generating high quality Shots on Goal in their matchup against the New York Rangers revamped back line.

Best NHL Prop Bets Today, October 23

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Detroit Red Wings vs. New York Islanders - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Detroit Red Wings Team Total Over 2.5 (-150) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Heading into the 2025-2026 season, the Detroit Red Wings were projected to regress on offense after making minimal adjustments to their front line in the offseason. Seven games into the year, the Red Wings have managed to brush aside regression as their offense ranks near the top of the board  in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.49 Expected Goals per game.

In Thursday night’s contest against the New York Islanders, the Red Wings offense will have the opportunity to light up the scoreboard as they face off against a back line who ranks 28th in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Ilya Sorokin struggling to mask their lack of coverage as the Islanders goalie is currently averaging a stunning 3.90 Goals Against per game. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Red Wings team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate overs.

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Dylan Larkin Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Dylan Larkin has played a major role in Detroit’s success this season as the Red Wings captain is averaging 0.54 Expected Goals and 3.33 Shots on Goal per game. WIth his supporting cast pulling defensive attention away from him with their playmaking, expect Larkin to continue to exploit the high quality shooting lanes his linemates provide and generate another high volume of shot attempts.

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San Jose Sharks vs. New York Rangers - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

San Jose Sharks Team Total Under 2.5 (-165) at BetMGM Sportsbook

While the Red Wings have thrived on offense, the San Jose Sharks have underwhelmed as their front line ranks below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Their lack of versatility hurts their ability to create high quality Shots on Goal as only four players average an Expected Goal higher than 0.25. This allows opposing defenses to remain relatively still in coverage which lessens the chances of a gap opening up in front of their net.

Unfortunately for the Sharks, their struggles on offense are poised to persist as they face off against a revamped New York Rangers back line who ranks top-10 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Igor Shesterkin anchoring their net as the former Vezina Trophy winner is averaging just 1.17 Goals Against per game and a .957 Save Percentage. Should the Sharks team total drop down to 1.5, then reduce the size of your wager.

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Chicago Blackhawks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning - Prop Bets (6:45 PM, EST)

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Total Over 3.5 (-155) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though the Tampa Bay Lightning are just 1-3-2, the Stanley Cup contenders front line have managed to play at a very high level as their offense is averaging over 3.5 Expected Goals per game. With the Chicago Blackhawks back line struggling to stay in front of the puck as their near dead last mark in Expected Goals Against indicates, expect the Lightning to consistently pressure their net and clear the over on their team total.

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