With the New York Islanders back line grading out poorly in most defensive metrics, the Carolina Hurricanes are in a great position to score by consistently attacking their net. Later in the night we turn our attention towards the Los Angeles Kings as they face off against the Vancouver Canucks who lack the versatility that is needed to break away from their coverage.
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With the New York Islanders struggling to stay in front of the puck, expect the Carolina Hurricanes to light up the scoreboard, clearing the over on their team total in the process.
Since the start of the regular season, the Hurricanes front line have been in a tier of their own, leading the league in Expected Goals For in 5-on-5 Play. Their depth and versatility has played a major role in their success this year, fielding six players who average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.
Heading into Tuesday night, the Hurricanes front line will be able to build on their momentum as they face off against the New York Islanders who severely struggle in coverage per their below league average mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Seth Jarvis and Sebastian Aho back on the ice, using their gravity to create more space in front of the net for their linemates to exploit.
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Speaking of Jarvis and Aho’s linemates, Logan Stankoven has carved out a role as a productive scorer this season, averaging 0.30 Expected Goals per game. With the Islanders incapable of face guarding, the width of Stankoven’s lanes to the net will widen, making it easier for him to weave the puck through their back line and generate a high quality Shot on Goal in front of the crease.
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With the Los Angeles Kings possessing just a one point lead for the last wildcard spot, they must take advantage of their favorable matchup against Vancouver to keep their hopes of making the playoffs alive.
After winning their last four games in a row, the Los Angeles Kings are in full control of their own destiny, possessing a one point lead over Nashville for the last wildcard spot in the Presidents’ Trophy standings. Their stalwart defense has helped keep them competitive, ranking in the top-10 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
Against the Vancouver Canucks, expect the Kings back line to continue to thrive as they face off against an offense who ranks near dead last in Expected Goals For in 5-on-5 Play. With their back line consistently smothering the Canucks shot attempts, the quality of their Shots on Goal will decline, making it easier for Darcy Kuemper to wall them off who averages just 2.76 Goals Against per game.
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After securing a spot in the playoffs, expect Owen Tippett to continue to thrive against the Montreal Canadiens by taking advantage of a back line who struggles to defend their net.
Even when receiving minimal support from his linemates, Owen Tippett has still been able to play at a high level, averaging 0.34 Expected Goals and 2.71 Shots on Goal per game. With the Montreal Canadiens ranking 27th in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots, Tippett will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal in transition, increasing his chances of scoring.
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