Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Expect the Oilers to Get Back in the Win Column

Up 3-2, the Minnesota Wild have a great opportunity to close out the series on Thursday by taking advantage of the Dallas Stars harsh regression on defense.

Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Edmonton Oilers with positive regression looming large over their star studded offense when they face off against the Anaheim Ducks who severely struggle in coverage.

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Dallas Stars vs. Minnesota Wild - Prop Bets (7:30 PM, EST)

With the Dallas Stars struggling to stay in front of the puck, expect the Minnesota Wild front line to build on their momentum by consistently pressuring their net.

Minnesota Wild Team Total Over 2.5 (-155) at BetMGM Sportsbook

It has been a turbulent start to the playoffs for the Dallas Stars back line as they continue to fall down the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Their stunning regression has made it difficult for Jake Oettinger to sustain his high level of play, averaging nearly three Goals Against per game throughout the playoffs. With their defense falling back down to reality, the Stars are forced to play in highly volatile contests, lowering their chances of winning.

Unfortunately for the Stars, their struggles on defense are poised to persist on Thursday night as they battle it out against the Minnesota Wild who currently rank in the top-10 in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Their versatility has played a major role in their success by consistently stretching out opposing back lines, fielding six players who average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game. If the Wild team total climbs up to a flat three, then reduce the size of your wager.

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Matt Boldy Anytime Goal Scorer (+142) at FanDuel Sportsbook

One of Minnesota’s most productive scorers, Matt Boldy has been able to generate high quality scoring opportunities at a consistent rate, averaging 0.40 Expected Goals per game. With Kirill Kaprizov pulling defensive attention away from him, the width of Boldy’s shooting lanes will widen, improving the quality of his Shots on Goal from multiple angles on the ice.

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Edmonton Oilers vs. Anaheim Ducks - Prop Bets (10:00 PM, EST)

Fresh off of an underwhelming performance, the Edmonton Oilers front line must round back into form against Anaheim if they want to keep their hopes of competing for the Stanley Cup alive. Should this scoring slump continue, expect their Stanley Cup odds to drop significantly as the postseason draws nearer.

Edmonton Oilers Team Total Over 3.5 (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though the Anaheim Ducks are just one win away from moving on to the second round, their defense has held them back from being a well rounded unit, ranking near dead last in Expected Goals Against across the board. With their back line struggling in coverage, the Ducks are forced to combat against a higher amount of variance, making it hard for them to pull away on the scoreboard.

In a daunting matchup against Edmonton, expect the Ducks struggles on defense to be on full display as they face off against a front line who ranks in the top-5 in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Especially with Lukas Dostal incapable of walling off their high volume of Shots on Goal, averaging 4.32 Shots on Goal per game and a .864 Save Percentage.

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Connor McDavid Anytime Goal Scorer (+115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Connor McDavid has been one of the more dominant scorers in the league, averaging 0.53 Expected Goals and 3.74 Shots on Goal per game. With the Anaheim Ducks struggling to defend their crease per their below league average mark in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots, McDavid will be able to pressure the net at a higher rate, increasing his chances of scoring.

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