Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Expect the Sabres Front Line to Round Back Into Form

After being held to just two goals in their loss to the Montreal Canadiens in game three, positive regression looms large over the Buffalo Sabres by attacking a defense who ranks below league average in most defensive metrics. Later in the night, expect the Anaheim Ducks to build on their momentum by using their versatility to create wider gaps in the Vegas Golden Knights coverage.

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Buffalo Sabres vs. Montreal Canadiens - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Down 1-2 in the series, the Buffalo Sabres must round back into form on offense against Montreal if they want to avoid playing in an elimination game.

Buffalo Sabres Team Total Over 2.5 (-145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, the Buffalo Sabres front line have been one of their few consistent sources of production, ranking in the top half of the board in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Their turnaround on offense has helped reduce the amount of negative variance in their contests, making it easier for them to mask their struggles on defense and win at a high rate.

Heading into Tuesday night’s contest against the Montreal Canadiens, expect the Sabres to get back up off the mat by taking advantage of a defense who resides near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Even with Jakub Dobes anchoring down in their net, the Sabres ability to pressure the crease from multiple angles will force the Canadiens goalie to constantly scramble between the pipes, opening up wider gaps beside him for their front line to exploit.

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Alex Tuch Anytime Goal Scorer (+207) at FanDuel Sportsbook

While Tage Thompson hogs the spotlight, Alex Tuch has quietly been very productive for the Sabres, averaging 0.30 Expected Goals and 2.47 Shots on Goal per game. With Thompson pulling defensive attention away from him, Tuch will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal when he blitzes through the Canadiens back line, increasing his chances of finding the back of the net.

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Anaheim Ducks vs. Vegas Golden Knights - Prop Bets (9:30 PM, EST)

With the Vegas Golden Knights showing signs of regression on defense, expect the Anaheim Ducks front line to continue to thrive and clear the over on their team total in the process.

Anaheim Ducks Team Total Over 2.5 (-145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After struggling to play at a competitive level last year, the Anaheim Ducks front line have turned into a lethal unit capable of carrying them to the Stanley Cup Finals, climbing into the top-5 in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Their elite depth and versatility has played a major role in their success this season, fielding eight players who average more than 0.30 Expected Goals per game. As the team heads into a pivotal Game 5 against Vegas with the series tied 2-2, many analysts are closely watching their surging Stanley Cup odds.

With the Vegas Golden Knights back line steadily dipping down the board in Expected Goals Against in 5-on-5 Play, the Ducks will be able to continue to pick apart their gaps in coverage across the ice, resulting in a higher volume of shot attempts to be generated in front of their crease. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Ducks team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.

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Cutter Gauthier Anytime Goal Scorer (+195) at BetMGM Sportsbook

In just the third year of his career, Cutter Gauthier has been able to carve out a role as the focal point of the Ducks offense, averaging 0.39 Expected Goals per game. With the Golden Knights struggling in coverage per their regressing marks in Expected Goals Against, the width of Gauthier’s shooting lanes will widen, improving the probability of his shot attempts turning into Shots on Goal.

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