After a severely underwhelming performance in game one, the Carolina Hurricanes back line were able to round back into form in game two, holding the Montreal Canadiens to just two goals in their win.
With Montreal lacking the versatility that is needed to stretch out their coverage, expect the Hurricanes to build on their momentum and hold the Canadiens off the scoreboard, further solidifying their position in the latest Stanley Cup odds.
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| Best NHL Prop Bets Today | BetMGM Odds | Kalshi to WIn |
|---|---|---|
| Montreal Canadiens Team Total Under 2.5 | +110 | Montreal Canadiens 45% |
| Nikolaj Ehlers Anytime Goal Scorer | +240 | Carolina Hurricanes 56% |
| Sebastian Aho Anytime Goal Scorer | +220 | Carolina Hurricanes 56% |
| Odds and market prices are accurate as of the time of publishing and subject to change before the event. | ||
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With the Carolina Hurricanes back line firing on all cylinders, negative regression looms large over the Montreal Canadiens front line, keeping them under their team total.
After playing at a high level throughout the regular season, the Carolina Hurricanes back line have been able to carry over their success into the playoffs, leading the field in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their suffocating coverage has helped Frederik Andersen wall off opposing Shots on Goal at a very high rate, averaging just 1.55 Goals Against per game and a .927 Save Percentage in 10 games.
Heading into Monday night, expect the Hurricanes to continue to smother the Montreal Canadiens front line, bottling up a group who lacks the playmaking that is needed to bust their coverage with just three players averaging more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game. With the Canadiens incapable of stretching out their back line, the Hurricanes will be able to collapse their forwards to the middle, increasing their chances of walling off their shot attempts before the puck reaches the net.
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The hero of game two for Carolina, Nikolaj Ehlers has been aggressive in his efforts of pressuring the net this season, averaging 2.54 Shots on Goal per game. With the Canadiens back line struggling to defend their net, the width of Ehlers shooting lanes will widen when he weaves the puck through their coverage, improving the quality of his Shots on Goal in front of the crease.
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Even though Sebastian Aho has failed to find the back of the net in his last six games, he has still been able to create high quality shot attempts, averaging 0.31 Expected Goals per game in the playoffs. With Seth Jarvis pulling defensive attention away from him in the top line, Aho will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal, increasing his probability of scoring.
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