Even though the Vegas Golden Knights secured the win in game one of the Stanley Cup Finals, they were very fortunate, generating just 1.98 Expected Goals to the Carolina Hurricanes 2.43. With positive regression looming large over the Hurricanes back line, expect the Golden Knights to continue to struggle with pressuring their net and be held under their team total. Consequently, oddsmakers are expecting a tight series adjustment, making a noticeable shift in the live Stanley Cup odds ahead of Game 2.
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| Best NHL Prop Bets Today | BetMGM Odds | Kalshi to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights Team Total Under 2.5 | -105 | Vegas Golden Knights 59% |
| Sebastian Aho Anytime Goal Scorer | +260 | Carolina Hurricanes 41% |
| Andrei Svechnikov Anytime Goal Scorer | +190 | Carolina Hurricanes 41% |
| Odds and market prices are accurate as of the time of publishing and subject to change before the event. | ||
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Down 0-1, the Carolina Hurricanes are in desperate need of tying up the series before they hit the road for games three and four.
While the Carolina Hurricanes front line have hogged the spotlight, their back line has been equally just as dominant, leading all playoff contenders in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. With their back line consistently smothering opposing Shots on Goal, Frederik Andersen has been able to wall them off at a high rate, averaging just 1.65 Goals Against per game and a .920 Save Percentage throughout the playoffs.
With Vegas struggling to pressure their net per their low mark in Expected Goals, expect Andersen to round back into form by walling off their low quality shot attempts and hold the Golden Knights off the scoreboard. Especially with the Golden Knights lacking the versatility that is needed to stretch out their back line, fielding just five players who average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game. If the Golden Knights team total climbs up to a flat three, increase your exposure and place another small wager.
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On the other side of the ice, Sebastian Aho has been a steady source of production for the Hurricanes, averaging 0.34 Expected Goals throughout the playoffs. With the Golden Knights steadily falling down the board in Expected Goals Against, expect Aho to take advantage of the wider shooting lanes their lack of coverage provides, improving the quality of his Shots on Goal at multiple levels of the ice.
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When skating alongside Aho and Seth Jarvis, Andrei Svechnikov has been able to thrive, averaging 0.40 Expected Goals and 3.14 Shots on Goal per game. With his linemates pulling defensive attention away from him, Svechnikov will face minimal resistance in his efforts of weaving the puck through the Golden Knights coverage, leading to a higher volume of Shots on Goal which increases his chances of scoring.
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