The WNBA has a doubleheader on deck tonight, with the Phoenix Mercury taking on the Atlanta Dream and the Minnesota Lynx playing the Aces in Las Vegas. If you are not confident you can pick a winner, don’t worry. Online sportsbooks like FanDuel offer a full menu of WNBA player props, where new users can get $200 in Bonus Bets for just placing a bet.
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Location: Gateway Center in College Park, GA
Game Time & Date: 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, August 21
Coverage: Mercury Live/WNBA League Pass
Point Spread: Mercury -1.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Copper led the way for the Mercury in an early season matchup with the Dream with 38 points. She had an uncharacteristically lousy night in her last outing (seven points vs. the Chicago Sky Sunday) but scored 29 points against them just a few days earlier.
Atlanta’s defense is comparable to Chicago’s from a statistical perspective. But they have been better on the road (80 points per game allowed) than at home (81.5). They have been on a roll since returning from the break with wins over two playoff-bound teams, Seattle and Connecticut.
Her total is a little high, but she is one of the most prolific scoring threats in the WNBA. Because of the plus-money odds on the OVER, we are leaning that way. But the UNDER is not necessarily a bad bet here, either.
Taurasi averages 2.7 made three-pointers per game, shooting 40.2% from behind the three-point line. She had two in her last game, vs. Chicago, but hit three in the other two since returning from the break. Atlanta has allowed 8.2 threes per game. Taurasi has hit 3+ in 11 games.
This market could easily go either way, but the +122 odds are too good to pass up. We’re taking the OVER.
Howard exploded in the first game after the break with 30 points against a good Seattle defense. But then she struggled in the second game with 13 against Connecticut. In Atlanta’s May 18 game vs. Phoenix, she had 21 points in 39 minutes.
The Mercury defense stifled Chicago in two games since the break, holding them to under 70 points in both. But then it gave up 98 to Indiana. Howard is more apt to stop herself with a bad shooting night than the Phoenix defense is, which makes us think that the OVER is the smart play.
Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel
Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, NV
Game Time & Date: 9:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, August 21
Coverage: ESPN
Point Spread: Aces -3.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook
O/U 11.5 Rebounds at -114/-114 via FanDuel
Minnesota has had one of the better defenses in the league this season, whether they play at home (72.9 points per game allowed, second best) or on the road (77.8, third best). But no one stops A’ja Wilson. She had 29 against the Lynx on May 29 and 28 in the Commissioner’s Cup game.
Wilson is averaging 29.4 points per game over her last five and 28 over the last ten. There is no reason to think the Lynx will slow her down in this game. Take the OVER.
As for her rebound total, she is averaging 12 per game for the season but has been on a tear lately, pulling down an average of 14.6 in her last five games. If you go back ten games, her average drops down to 13.3. She had eight in the Commissioners Cup game and 15 in the May 29 one.
Take the OVER.
Plum is one of four players tied for the league lead in three-pointers made per game with three. She hit four of seven attempts her last time out against the Sparks. But she had two or fewer in four of her five previous games. However, Plum has hit 3+ in 15 games this season.
Her overall history points towards the OVER being the play, but her recent history says it is the UNDER. Factor in opponents hitting just 28.5% of their three-point attempts against Minnesota, and we’re taking the UNDER.
The defending champs have struggled on the defensive end of the court this season, giving up an average of 82.4 points per game (No.7 in the league). It held the Lynx to 66 points on May 29, but Collier scored 18. However, she only had 14 points in the Commissioner’s Cup game.
Collier hasn’t really found her groove (regarding scoring) since her return from injury. She had 15 and nine in the two games prior to the break and 17 and 30 in the two games since. But both of those games were against a poor Washington defense.
We could make a solid argument in support of the UNDER. But with how the Vegas defense is playing, we are leaning towards the OVER with the hope that Collier’s scoring continues to trend upward.
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