WNBA Player Props and Best Bets for Sunday, October 6

With a win in Game 3 on Friday, the Minnesota Lynx took control of their semi-final series with the Connecticut Sun, and Las Vegas lived to fight another day. However, it all comes to a head in Sunday’s Game 4s. 

Bettors can find the odds for both pivotal games along with WNBA player props at their favorite online sportsbook. Both games should be intense, which makes betting on them even more fun. 

The following are some of our favorite player props for both games (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook).

New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces

• Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas. NV

• Game Time & Date: 3 p.m. ET on Sunday, October 6

• Coverage: ABC

• Point Spread: Aces -2.5

 A'ja Wilson, O/U 23.5 Points at -118/-110

Wilson has been a scoring machine for the Aces all year but not as much in the postseason. Not because she is missing shots but because the Liberty is playing solid defense against her, and some of her teammates have been stepping up.  

The OVER is still tempting because it would not be unusual for a team’s superstar to step up in an elimination game. But she had a playoff low 19-points in Friday’s elimination game, so we’re leaning towards the UNDER for this one, too.

Jackie Young, O/U 16.5 Points at -106/-122

Young is one of the players stepping up on the offensive end of the court, with the Liberty focused on slowing Wilson down. She averaged 15.8 ppg during the regular season, so it isn’t a stretch to see her scoring 16.5+ in a postseason game (she has had 17, 17, and 24 in the semifinals). We’re taking the OVER.

Kelsey Plum, O/U 17.5 Points at +102/-132

Plum averaged 17.8 points per game during the regular season, so going over 17.5 is not a stretch. However, while she has done so in three of Las Vegas’ five postseason games, she scored two and six in the other two. 

That makes us concerned she could disappear in this game. However, with the Liberty cracking down on Wilson, opportunities will open up for her to score points. That has us leaning towards the OVER for her.

Sabrina Ionescu, O/U 17.5 Points at -122/-106

After watching her blow up for 36 in the series clincher vs. Atlanta and then scoring 21 and 24 in Games 1 and 2 vs. Las Vegas, it looked like Ionescu was in the zone and ready to take her team to the Finals. But then the Aces defense limited her to one made shot in Game 3 (1-7).

That told us we need to rethink our perception of Ionescu. Prior to scoring 36 vs. the Dream, she had scored over 17.5 points in one other game in September (1-8). She could go off from behind the arc and score 20+, but we think the Vegas defense will shut her down again. Take the UNDER

Breanna Stewart, O/U 20.5 Points at -120/-108

Stewart averaged 17.7 points per game in three regular season contests vs. the Aces. But in the postseason, she has done what a superstar should and stepped up her game to 22.7 ppg vs. Las Vegas. She only had 15 and 19 in Games 2 and 3, but she made a statement in Game 1 with 34 points.

We think she’ll make another one in Game 4. Now, we are not saying she’ll have another 30+ point day, but we’re taking the OVER on her point total.

Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun

• Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

• Game Time & Date: 5 p.m. ET on Sunday, October 6

• Coverage: ESPN

• Point Spread: Sun -1.5

Napheesa Collier, O/U 20.5 Points at -114/-114

Collier averaged 21.7 points per game in three regular-season contests against the Sun. Her average for the semi-finals has been 18, but that number is misleading since the Sun held her to nine in Game 2; she had 19 in Game 1 and 26 in Game 3. With the chance to eliminate the Sun, we expect to see her have a day.

Take the OVER.

Alyssa Thomas, O/U 14.5 Points at -113/-115

Thomas’ scoring was unpredictable during the regular season, but she has scored 17+ in three of five postseason games (and had 12 and 13 in the other two). She has averaged 16 ppg vs. the Lynx in the playoffs (17, 18, and 13). We expect her to do everything possible to keep her team in the title hunt. Take the OVER.

DeWanna Bonner, O/U 14.5 Points at -118/-110

After doing less and less on the scoreboard as the regular season rolled on, we lost faith in Bonner putting points on the board. But she has picked her offense up in the playoffs with 15+ in four of five games. The Lynx will probably be more concerned with Collier and Mabrey, which could leave her with plenty of open looks.

Take the OVER.

Marina Mabrey, O/U 16.5 Points at -114/-114

After scoring 20 in Game 1, Minnesota has limited Mabrey to 15 and 14 points in Games 2 and 3. While it would be great to see her bounce back and have a big day in Game 4, Minnesota will continue limiting her contribution on the scoreboard, forcing the Sun to turn to someone else. Take the UNDER.

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