NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Thursday 2/15/24

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The Boston Celtics, Los Angeles Lakers, and Dallas Mavericks trounced their opponents by a combined 89 points, while the pregame drama between the Phoenix Suns and Detroit Pistons wasn’t enough to slow down the former as they surged into the All-Star break. 

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Thursday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo code for $150 in bonus bets.

Vince Williams Jr. Over 12.5 Points (-111) at FanDuel

Williams scored 12 points in back-to-back games after going over this line in six straight games. He scored double-digit points in 15 straight games and continues to impress as a second-year, second-round pick.

Although Williams only went 1-6 from the field his last time out, he took 12 free throw attempts. He’s a high-volume three-point shooter who played 34.7 minutes per game this month and has lots of upside for a team struggling to find scorers. He’s also facing the Milwaukee Bucks, who have a bottom-10 defense and do not look any better under Doc Rivers than they did under Adrian Griffin.

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Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 11.5 Rebounds (-136) at FanDuel

Giannis went under this line last time (by a half-rebound) but grabbed 14 and 18 in the games just before that. With the All-Star break just around the corner and the Bucks falling on hard times lately, we expect to see a great effort from the Greek Freak in an attempt to catalyze his team.

The Memphis Grizzlies shoot the worst percentage from the field and have the lowest rebound rate of every NBA franchise over the last 15 games. That means that there should be a lot of missed shots and few opponents diving in to collect the rebounds, which sets Giannis up for a strong box score. 

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Andrew Wiggins Over 12.5 Points (-104) at FanDuel

Wiggins is back in the starting lineup after spending a while on the bench and played 30 minutes against the Los Angeles Clippers last night. Although he only dropped 10 points, he put up 17 against the Utah Jazz when they met on Monday and is mobile and athletic enough to consistently beat his one-on-one defender, which will be either John Collins or Lauri Markkanen.

On top of being on a three-game skid, the Jazz allowed the most points per 100 possessions over their last 15 games in the entire NBA. Steph Curry will draw the majority of the defense’s attention, which leaves Wiggins as one of several players who should be able to find open looks on Thursday night.

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Anthony Edwards Under 2.5 Threes (+126) at FanDuel

We took this pick and got burned on Tuesday as Edwards made four threes and dropped 41 points on the Portland Trail Blazers. However, we’re going back to the well and using some of the same logic as before.

The Trail Blazers might not be that great of a team, but they held opponents to the second-lowest three-point percentage (34.6%) in the league and also kept the rest of the Minnesota Timberwolves’ starting lineup to 2-11 from deep. Expect them to throw more bodies at Edwards and force the ball out of his hands.

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Anfernee Simons Over 30.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists (-122) at FanDuel

Simons had a poor shooting night (6-19) against Minnesota on Tuesday and still came close to beating this total, ultimately missing by 2.5. He averaged 25.6 points, 5.6 assists, and 3.6 rebounds over his last five games and made four threes in all of them, which puts him on a good path heading into Thursday’s showdown.

The Timberwolves have an elite defense and will make it difficult for the fifth-year pro, but he just needs to do the same thing he did on Tuesday while making just an extra shot or two. 

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