NBA Player Props and Best Bets for November 19: The In-Season Tournament Returns
The NBA is back in session on Tuesday with six In-Season Tournament matchups across the league, including the highly-anticipated Cleveland Cavaliers-Boston Celtics showdown.
The Orlando Magic pushed their winning streak to six games on Monday, while the Philadelphia 76ers fell to a disastrous 2-11 start. Damian Lillard also hit a late game-winning shot as James Harden’s historic night helped the LA Clippers beat the in-power Golden State Warriors.
Here are our best NBA player prop picks for Tuesday night.
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Best NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday, November 19
John Collins Over 16.5 Points (-125) at FanDuel
Collins might not start every game, but he’s been productive nonetheless. The 27-year-old averaged 17.5 points for the year and 19.4 on 59/42/96 shooting splits in November. Somehow, he still trended under this line, but there’s reason to believe that he’ll find the over on Tuesday.
The Los Angeles Lakers are 25th in defensive rating and 20th in two-point percentage allowed to opponents (55.7). As brilliant of an interior defender as Anthony Davis is, he’s often asked to shoulder too large of a burden. Plus, LA does not have backup big men or wings that are great at defending the interior.
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Nikola Jokic Over 27.5 Points (-111) at FanDuel
This is the most decisive that Jokic has been as a scorer in his career. That isn’t always backed up by numbers, but he averaged 29.7 points per game with some of the most absurd shooting splits in the history of the sport, including 56.3 percent from the field, 56.4 percent from three, and 84.3 percent from the line.
Jokic and the Denver Nuggets are taking on the Memphis Grizzlies, who have two active but undisciplined defenders in Jaren Jackson Jr. and Zach Edey patrolling the interior. Jokic, who is shifty and crafty, should be able to keep them off-balance, draw fouls, and get to the line with ease.
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Lu Dort Under 13.5 Points (-118) at FanDuel
We’re betting on Dort regressing to the mean here. He went over in four of his last five games but still only averaged 12.3 points in November and 12.2 for the year as a whole, even despite shooting the ball more efficiently than he did at any point in his career.
The OKC Thunder are facing the San Antonio Spurs, who give up the fifth-fewest points per game. OKC is also playing without Chet Holmgren, which means that Victor Wembanyama will have more space to roam and shut down driving lanes for players such as Dort.
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Cam Thomas Under 3.5 Rebounds (+102) at FanDuel
Thomas is on the floor for one reason and one reason only, to get buckets. He scores 24.6 points per night but averaged just 3.4 rebounds and went under in nine of his last 11 games.
The Brooklyn Nets are facing the Charlotte Hornets, who rank sixth in rebound rate and generally do a nice job on the boards. There’s also the non-zero chance that this turns into a one-on-one match between Thomas and LaMelo Ball, which essentially takes away his chances of going over on his rebounding line.
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Chris Paul Under 9.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel
CP3 generally trended over this line and scored 11 points in back-to-back games. However, he’s down to 34 percent shooting from three in November and is about to face the best defense in all of basketball.
The Thunder posted the best defensive rating in the sport at 102.4 and held teams to 102.2 points per game. Without Holmgren in the lineup, they played a bunch of defensive-minded guards, all of whom will accept the challenge and make life difficult for Paul, especially now that he is devoid of the athleticism he had in his younger years.
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